Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Disruptive Trolling

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23-9-24 [DIP] F-35 Conspiracy: From Crash to Disinformation - McBeth > .
22-12-18 Poopaganda calls for "people's war" | [Message Shift] (subs) > .
22-12-14 Failing, Backfiring Ruscist Poopaganda (subs) - Katz > .
22-12-5 Russians tired of poopaganda | Gardening beats Soloviev (subs) - MK > .
22-11-27 Poopaganda: Soviet Future Faking to "Correct Past" (subs) - MK > .
22-11-19 Splinternet - Xina 1st of 35+ Countries Leaving Global Internet - Tech > .
22-11-17 Poopagandistic malice | [Demented] reactions to Kherson (subs) - Katz > .
22-5-15 How to fight Chinese internet Trolls (50 cent Army explained) - cfc > .
22-5-5 Ukrainian Journalists Fighting Rascist 'Fake News’ > .
22-3-16 CCP Rhetoric, Conspiracy Theories, Russian DISinformation | Digging > .
22-3-4 "Wait for the Olympics Before you Attack!" - China-Russia Propaganda - ADV > .

American adversaries such as Russia and China are using cyber-enabled deception operations to spread divisive messages. In 2016, Houston’s Islamic Da’wah Center became the site of two dueling protests, both of which began in online communities formed by a Kremlin-backed organization. Discovering and calling out specific disinformation campaigns can be difficult, but by increasing awareness that our adversaries are actively trying to inflame divisions in our society, we can begin to counter these insidious efforts. 

A troll farm or troll factory is an institutionalised group of internet trolls that seeks to interfere in political opinions and decision-making.

In Internet communication, a troll is defined as a person who provokes disputes, e.g. by raising controversial topics or attacking other participants. However, a troll factory is an entity conducting disinformation propaganda activities on the Internet. This activity is often concealed under an inconspicuous name, e.g. public relations agency, Internet research centre, etc. The operations of troll factories are usually focused on the political or economic sphere. The aim of the operations may be e.g. attacking political opponents, unfairly attacking a competing company or other action indicated by the ordering party. Troll factories achieve their goals using, among other things, fake news and hate speech.

One study showed that 30 governments worldwide (out of 65 covered by the study) paid keyboard armies to spread propaganda and attack critics. According to the report, these governments use paid commentators, trolls, and bots to harass journalists and erode trust in the media. Attempts were made to influence elections in 18 of the countries covered by the study.

The Russian web brigades, including Internet Research Agency, became known in the late 2010s for the Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections. The Internet Research Agency has employed troll armies to spread propaganda, command Twitter trends, and sow fear and erode trust in American political and media institutions.

Russian “troll farms”—groups of organized online agitators—identify grievances in other countries and then insert themselves into those debates with the aim of inflaming them. Rather than promoting any one political ideology, professional Russian trolls instead focus on fanning Americans’ emotions around heated topics such as gun control or immigration, and then pitting Americans against Americans. The tactic is—literally—divide and conquer.

During the 2020 United States presidential election and the COVID-19 pandemic, Turning Point USA and its affiliate Turning Point Action were described as troll farms for paying young conservatives in Phoenix, Arizona, some of them minors with parental support, to post misinformation about the integrity of the electoral process and the threat of COVID-19. The payout included bonuses for posts that generated greater engagement. They used their own social media accounts or fake accounts without disclosing their relationship with Turning Point and were instructed by Turning Point to slightly alter and repost the modified messages a limited number of times to avoid automatic detection.

The Great Translation Movement (大翻译运动; Dà Fānyì Yùndòng) is an online anti-war movement launched during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. It seeks to expose perceived pro-Russian, anti-American, anti-Japanese, and anti-Western sentiment and Chinese irredentism over claimed territories such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, as well as racially discriminatory sentiments in China, the life in cities under lockdown due to the zero-COVID policy and the policies of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) by translating government propaganda and policies, anti-Western public opinion and postings on life in the cities during lockdown found on the Chinese internet and public announcements into other languages, including English, Japanese, French, Korean, and Spanish. The Guardian has pointed out that the Great Translation Movement has been a source for English-language speakers to understand the Chinese state media's reaction towards Russian invasion of Ukraine.

50 Cent Party, 50 Cent Army and wumao are terms for Internet commentators who are hired by the authorities of the People's Republic of China to manipulate public opinion and disseminate disinformation to the benefit of the governing Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The name is derived from the allegation that such commentators are paid RMB¥0.50 for every post. It was created during the early phases of the Internet's rollout to the wider public in China.

Authors of a paper published in 2017 in the American Political Science Review estimate that the Chinese government fabricates 488 million social media posts per year. Research by professors at Harvard, Stanford, and UC San Diego indicated a "massive secretive operation" to fill China's Internet with propaganda, and has resulted in some 488 million posts written by fake social media accounts, representing about 0.6% of the 80 billion posts generated on Chinese social media. To maximize their influence, such pro-government comments are made largely during times of intense online debate, and when online protests have a possibility of transforming into real life actions. The colloquial term wumao has also been used by some English speakers outside of China as an insult against people with perceived pro-CCP bias

Spies, Lies, and Algorithms: The History and Future of American Intelligence, here: https://www.hoover.org/research/spies...
“Why Cyber Is Different,” https://www.policyed.org/intellection...
“How Cyber Attacks Threaten Our Security” https://www.policyed.org/intellection.... “Crowdsourcing and the Mobs,” https://www.hoover.org/research/crowd...
“Threats Never Sleep,” https://www.hoover.org/research/threa... .

Bibliography 
Aro, J. (2016), The Cyberspace War: Propaganda and Trolling as Warfare Tools, European View, (15), 121–132. 
Bernal, P. (2018), The Internet, Warts and All: Free Speech, Privacy and Truth, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. 
Lehto, M., Neittaanmäki, P. (Eds.) (2018), Cyber Security: Power and Technology, Springer, Cham. 
Duskaeva, L.R., Konyaeva, L.R. (2016), Trolling in Russian Media, Journal of Organizational Culture, Communications and Conflict, (4), 58–67. 
Karpan, A. (2018), Troll Factories: Russia’s Web Brigades, Greenhaven Publishing, New York.

Disunited Nations (2020)


Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World (2020) .
According to Zeihan, the post-1945 era of peace and prosperity was a historical aberration, made possible by a U.S.-led system of trade and alliances. This hegemonic system—what he calls “the Order”—provided the foundation for decades of progress in education, health, prosperity, security, democracy, and human connectivity. The bad news, according to Zeihan, is that the Order was a historically unique, never-to-be-repeated anomaly, and its demise will spark chaos and disorder on an epic scale. The t-RUMP Badministration sped up the process, but the Order has been weakening for decades. Zeihan offers a gloomy picture of collapsing markets, deteriorating global norms, escalating conflicts over energy and food, and the return of great-power struggles over maritime supremacy and territorial borders. Scholars who debate the consequences of hegemonic decline will find this tale familiar.

Dolschtoßlegende - Propagating Evil

How Hitler Manipulated Germany into Committing Genocide - WW2 > .

Dolschtoẞlegende - Stab in the Back Myth.

Dooming Gaddafi

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23-7-21 LIBYA | A Foreign Policy Disaster? - J K-L > .

2:50 - Chapter 1 - Libya
5:50 - Chapter 2 - The king of Libya
7:35 - Chapter 3 - Coup d'état
8:40 - Chapter 4 - Gadaffi
10:45 - Chapter 5 - Asserting control
12:00 - Chapter 6 - A rocky ride
15:20 - Chapter 7 - International influence
17:40 - Chapter 8 - Open terrorism
18:50 - Chapter 9 - Isolation
19:55 - Chapter 10 - 21st Century
21:05 - Chapter 11 - The Arab spring
22:20 - Chapter 12 - The final fall
23:05 - Chapter 13 - A failed state

Heritability of IQ →  

The ongoing Libyan civil war starts in 2011, with the fall of Gaddafi's regime by a NATO coalition led by the United States, France and Great Britain (as well as the propaganda support of Qatar). What were the real motivations and causes that pushed the West to move against the government of the old Libyan dictator? Oil? Imperialism? Let's see what are the bases that have laid the groundwork for the conflict in Libya that, starting from the Arab Spring, would last until today, tearing a country into two distinct parts: the one led by Haftar with the National Transitional Council in Tobruk and that of the ex prime minister Al-Serraj, with the Government of National Accord in Tripoli.

Muammar Muhammad Abu Minyar al-Gaddafi (c. 1942 – 20 October 2011) was a Libyan revolutionary, politician and political theorist. He was the de facto leader of Libya, first as Revolutionary Chairman of the Libyan Arab Republic from 1969 to 1977 and then as the "Brotherly Leader" of the Great Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya from 1977 to 2011. He was initially ideologically committed to Arab nationalism and Arab socialism but later ruled according to his own Third International Theory.

Born near Sirte, Italian Libya, to a poor Bedouin family, Gaddafi became an Arab nationalist while at school in Sabha, later enrolling in the Royal Military Academy, Benghazi. Within the military, he founded a revolutionary group which deposed the Western-backed Senussi monarchy of Idris in a 1969 coup. Having taken power, Gaddafi converted Libya into a republic governed by his Revolutionary Command Council. Ruling by decree, he deported Libya's Italian population and ejected its Western military bases. Strengthening ties to Arab nationalist governments—particularly Gamal Abdel Nasser's Egypt—he unsuccessfully advocated pan-Arab political union. An Islamic modernist, he introduced sharia as the basis for the legal system and promoted "Islamic socialism". He nationalized the oil industry and used the increasing state revenues to bolster the military, fund foreign revolutionaries, as well as implement social programs emphasizing house-building, healthcare and education projects. In 1973, he initiated a "Popular Revolution" with the formation of Basic People's Congresses, presented as a system of direct democracy, but retained personal control over major decisions. He outlined his Third International Theory that year in The Green Book.

Gaddafi transformed Libya into a new socialist state called a Jamahiriya ("state of the masses") in 1977. He officially adopted a symbolic role in governance but remained head of both the military and the Revolutionary Committees responsible for policing and suppressing dissent. During the 1970s and 1980s, Libya's unsuccessful border conflicts with Egypt and Chad, support for foreign militants, and alleged responsibility for the Lockerbie bombing in Scotland left it increasingly isolated on the world stage. A particularly hostile relationship developed with the United States, United Kingdom and Israel, resulting in the 1986 U.S. bombing of Libya and United Nations–imposed economic sanctions. From 1999, Gaddafi shunned pan-Arabism and encouraged rapprochement with Western nations and pan-Africanism; he was Chairperson of the African Union from 2009 to 2010. Amid the 2011 Arab Spring, protests against widespread corruption and unemployment broke out in Eastern Libya. The situation descended into civil war, in which NATO intervened militarily on the side of the anti-Gaddafist National Transitional Council (NTC). The government was overthrown and Gaddafi retreated to Sirte, only to be captured and killed by NTC militants.

A highly divisive figure, Gaddafi dominated Libya's politics for four decades and was the subject of a pervasive cult of personality. He was decorated with various awards and praised for his anti-imperialist stance, support for Arab—and then African—unity, as well as for significant improvements that his government brought to the Libyan people's quality of life. Conversely, many Libyans strongly opposed Gaddafi's social and economic reforms; he was posthumously accused of sexual abuse. He was condemned by many as a dictator whose authoritarian administration systematically violated human rights and financed global terrorism.

Douhet - The Command of the Air (1921)

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Douhet & First Person to Drop a Bomb From an Aeroplane - HH > . Douhet > .
Countdown to War: Italy: Mussolini's Fascists Prepare for WW2 - Waro > .
22-12-11 Is strategic bombing of infrastructure ever effective - Perun > .

2022 - Special Douhetesque Blunder ..

General Giulio Douhet (30 May 1869 – 15 February 1930) was an Italian general and air power theorist. He was a key proponent of strategic bombing in aerial warfare. He was a contemporary of the 1920s air warfare advocates Walther Wever, Billy Mitchell and Hugh Trenchard.

In 1921 Douhet completed a hugely influential treatise on strategic bombing titled The Command of the Air (Il dominio dell'aria) and retired from military service soon after. Except for a few months as the head of aviation in Mussolini's government in 1922, Douhet spent much of the rest of his life [died 1930] theorizing about the impact of military air power.

In his book Douhet argued that air power was revolutionary because it operated in the third dimension. Aircraft could fly over surface forces, relegating them to secondary importance. The vastness of the sky made defense almost impossible, so the essence of air power was the offensive. The only defense was a good offense. The air force that could achieve command of the air by bombing the enemy air arm into extinction would doom its enemy to perpetual bombardment. Command of the air meant victory.

Douhet believed in the morale effects of bombing. Air power could break a people's will by destroying a country's "vital centers". Armies became superfluous because aircraft could overfly them and attack these centers of the government, military and industry with impunity, a principle later called "The bomber will always get through". Targeting was central to this strategy and he believed that air commanders would prove themselves by their choice of targets. These would vary from situation to situation, but Douhet identified the five basic target types as: industry, transport infrastructure, communications, government and "the will of the people".

The last category was particularly important to Douhet, who believed in the principle of total war.

The chief strategy laid out in his writings, the Douhet model, is pivotal in debates regarding the use of air power and bombing campaigns. The Douhet model rests on the belief that in a conflict, the infliction of high costs from aerial bombing can shatter civilian morale. This would unravel the social basis of resistance, and pressure citizens into asking their governments to surrender. The logic of this model is that exposing large portions of civilian populations to the terror of destruction or the shortage of consumer goods would damage civilian morale into submission. By smothering the enemy's civilian centers with bombs, Douhet argued the war would become so terrible that the common people would rise against their government, overthrow it with revolution, then sue for peace.

This emphasis on the strategic offensive would blind Douhet to the possibilities of air defense or tactical support of armies. In his second edition of The Command of the Air he maintained such aviation was "useless, superfluous and harmful". He proposed an independent air force composed primarily of long-range load-carrying bombers. He believed interception of these bombers was unlikely, but allowed for a force of escort aircraft to ward off interceptors. Attacks would not require great accuracy. On a tactical level he advocated using three types of bombs in quick succession; explosives to destroy the target, incendiaries to ignite the damaged structures, and poison gas to keep firefighters and rescue crews away.

In many cases, he had hugely exaggerated the effects of bombing. His calculations for the amount of bombs and poison gas required to destroy a city were ludicrously optimistic.  WW2 would prove many of his predictions to be wrong, particularly on the vulnerability of public morale to bombing.

In "Rivista Aeuronautica" in July 1928, he wrote that he believed that 300 tons of bombs over the most important cities would end a war in less than a month. During WW2 however, the Allies dropped over 2.5 million tons of bombs on Europe without decisive effect. [Though 2 nuclear devices induced Japan to surrender.]

Outside Italy, Douhet's reception was mixed. His theories were discussed and disseminated in France, Germany and America which were very receptive; In America, Billy Mitchell was a strong advocate. In Britain however, The Command of the Air was not required reading at the RAF Staff College.

A supporter of Mussolini, Douhet was appointed commissioner of aviation when the Fascists assumed power but he soon gave up this bureaucrat's job to continue writing, which he did up to his death from a heart attack in 1930. More than 70 years on, many of his predictions have failed to come true, but some of his concepts (gaining command of the air, terror bombing and attacking vital centers) continue to underpin air power theory to this day.

Douhet advocated a new strategic application for what he identified as the airplane’s superior capabilities in order to avoid the destructive stalemate of WW1 in future wars. Promising a quick and decisive end to war, The Command of The Air synthesized concepts, namely strategic bombing, an independent air force, the dominance of an offensive strategy, and breaking the will of the civilian population, among others, which contributed to the development of the modern air force. Though he was one of many who reflected on airpower’s rapid strategic development, Douhet “stated the case for airpower as no one else did—with all the stops out.”
https://www.classicsofstrategy.com/2015/09/the-command-of-the-air-by-giulio-douhet-19211927.html .

Classic Works in Strategy and Diplomacy ..  
Classic Works in Strategy and Diplomacy .
https://www.classicsofstrategy.com/classicworks.html .

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...