Wednesday, January 5, 2022

Χίna ➾ Taiwan 2022+

0:00 Intro
1:14 Unsinkable Aircraft Carrier
8:39 Arms Race
13:22 Barriers
17:15 Possible Scenarios
19:55 Outro
Indo-Pacific Militaries 
22-10-26 Tension between XXP and Taiwan increases after 20th Congress > .22-8-11 Xina and Taiwan: How their militaries compare - Forces > .

Annex by 2049? Born 15 June 1953, Xi Jinping would turn 96 in 2049. Thus, promising seizure of Taiwan by 2049 (100th anniversary of Mao's victory over the Kuomintang (国民党, KMT) and the founding of Taiwan's KMT government) would almost certainly be another politician's problem. Meanwhile, aggressive posturing is politically useful.

What will China do in 2022? - Economist > .
China’s Xi Jinping seems likely to have his third term in office ratified by the Communist Party Congress in 2022. What could that mean for China, and for the rest of the world?
00:00 What will China do in 2022?
02:38 Chinese nationalism is at an all time high
03:39 The death of private enterprise in China?
04:15 China’s relationship with the United States
05:50 Will China invade Taiwan?
07:12 Understanding China is our most important job.

ROC military: As of March 2022, Taiwanese men are conscripted for four months of service. Taiwan's military has just doubled the length of call-back training, but some critics say the country is still sorely underprepared for battle.


Xina ➾ USA 2022

22-2-2 Xina - The War Has Already Begun - laowhy86 > .
23-7-29 Taiwan: Japanese & US Moves | Update > .
23-6-1 Sex Scandals - Untold stories of PLAN (2) - Lei > .
23-5-21 Should We Be Worried About The BRICS? | EcEx > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-3-8 [Slumping] Xina Blaming & Threatening USA - Focus > .
23-3-1 House Panel Lays Out Xina Threats | Focus > .
23-1-26 Xinhua & Xina's Most Obnoxious Karen - serpentza > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-12-20 US military in Pacific to prevent Xinese invasion of Taiwan - PBS > .
22-10-20 Xina’s global police stations: War prep, strategy vs Taiwan - Lei > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-22 Xina is Using [Western] Media Against [West]! - cfc > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-16 G20 '22 - Xina distancing itself from Ruscist fallout - Update > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-24 Xi's [Probably Unachievable] Goals - Digging > . 
22-10-17 China Rebrands Confucius Institutes to Hide Subversive Past - Unc > .
22-10-10 Coming Conflict with China | Michael Beckley > . full > .
22-10-9 "Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise" | Susan Shirk - CU > .
22-9-28 Beijing regrets "no limit" friendship with Pootin. Xi unhappy > .
22-9-27 "Unrestricted warfare" & weaknesses of Xinese military - Lei > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-13 Xina's Popularity Plunging |Geopolitical surveys - Lei > .
22-4-22 Xina Won't Bail Out the Russian Economy - VisPol > .
22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-4-7 Χίna isn't overtly supporting PoooTin in Ukraine - VisPol > .
22-3-28 Conversation with Australian Senator the Hon Penny Wong - CSIS > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For Xina - Rudd > .
22-3-16 Xina: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-3-10 Xina's Embarrassing Flip Flop on Russia - laowhy86 > .
22-3-3 How Xina Secretly Helped Russia Invade Ukraine - laowhy86 > .
22-2-14 Arrogant Bullying Punishment of Xina's Enemies - VP > . skip ad > .
>> Xina >>>

Comment on Evacuating US citizens from Taiwan
Every US Embassy has an RSO (Regional Security Officer) whose job it is to prepare contingency evacuation plans in the event that US citizens and key host nation personnel need to be evacuated. On the surface it may seem fairly simple in evacuating the Embassy personnel. There are USAID contractors, US humanitarian organizations, US citizens with dual passports, and expatriates living in the country. They are scattered all over the country, including in remote locations. The RSO works in very close coordination with the military through the attaches. The attaches are responsible for collecting much of the on the ground intelligence about the capacity of bridges, fuel storage and fuel connectors at airports, available rural landing strips, the condition of roads needed for evacuation, and the kind of security forces that may be necessary. ....

Taiwan has some 80,000 plus to evacuate. The good news is that it's a small island and helicopters can do a lot of the work as long as they are not in danger. But you have to put 80,000 people somewhere which is usually aboard ship because the transit distances for cargo aircraft are too long. And if Taiwan is under attack, that probably means our Naval forces are under attack as well. My point is that with my experience dealing with both Embassy RSO's and the military, no matter what plan they come up with, it ain't going to pretty and lots lives will be lost in the process if Taiwan is under attack. True, we may some advanced warning of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, but not enough time to evacuate all 80'000 plus Americans or dual passport holders. Many thousands will be left behind just like we left thousands of US citizens behind in Afghanistan, which the MSM ignored in order to protect incompetent Biden. After Biden left them all behind, only private organizations of US veterans were able to smuggle thousands of them out without the help of our military and State Department. It was a very dark day for the USA. I'll tell you what my plan would be. Create enormous caves in the mountains for the evacuees to go to with at least a years worth of provisions and accommodations where they would be safe until the US and other nations could evacuate them in small groups. In an evacuation of US citizens, their safety is paramount until there are sufficient resources to evacuate them. Unfortunately, I think Taiwan is so strategic to the US, Japan, the Philippines, Vietnam, the Malacca Striates, Indonesia, and even India and Australia that any attempt by China to invade Taiwan would be one hell of a bloody mess. God only know who would prevail.

ХіХіР ➾ Хіnese

22-2-2 Caution! In Xina Things can Wildly Escalate out of Control - serza > .
23-12-11 Taiwan, Kinmen (Quemoy), XiXiP Geopolitical Dance | NYT > .
23-6-1 Sex Scandals - Untold stories of PLAN (2) - Lei > .
23-5-21 Should We Be Worried About The BRICS? | EcEx > .
23-4-16 Logan Wright Grasping Shadows X-Ec 1 - Update > . 2 > .
22-10-20 Xina’s global police stations: War prep, strategy vs Taiwan - Lei > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-21 The Congress - How the Xinese Communist Party Works - Poly > .
22-10-27 Revised Party Constitution; Xina's Economy, Pettis - Update > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 XXP's worst at top | 20th Congress | reform, opening up end - Insight > .
22-9-29 Fake News - Wishful Thinking Against XiXiPee - laowhy86 > .
22-9-27 "Unrestricted warfare" & weaknesses of Xinese military - Lei > .
22-8-25 Xi vs Li: Xina’s dual-leadership after the 20th Party Congress? - Lei > .
22-6-20 Money Laundering in Macau = Corrupt Wealth Escape - Tran > .
22-5-10 Xi Jinping’s Year of Instability: China’s Shaky Economy in 2022 - Rudd > .
22-4-26 Political struggle of central vs local governments & debts - Lei > .
22-4-22 Xina Won't Bail Out the Russian Economy - VisPol > .

Saturday, January 1, 2022

2021 ➾ Other Nations

21-12-29 News Missed in 2021, Every Country in World (P1) - Wendover > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .

2:45 North Korea 🇰🇵 3:10 Monaco 🇲🇨 3:36 Nauru 🇳🇷 4:06 San Marino 🇸🇲 4:32 Somalia 🇸🇴 4:55 Tuvalu 🇹🇻 5:22 Vatican City 🇻🇦 5:48 Niger 🇳🇪 6:18 Central African Republic 🇨🇫 6:38 Chad 🇹🇩 7:05 South Sudan 🇸🇸 7:28 Burundi 🇧🇮 7:58 Mali 🇲🇱 8:23 Sierra Leone 🇸🇱 8:55 Burkina Faso 🇧🇫 9:22 Mozambique 🇲🇿 9:52 Eritrea 🇪🇷 10:30 Yemen 🇾🇪 10:57 Guinea 🇬🇳 11:29 Liberia 🇱🇷 11:56 Guinea-Bissau 🇬🇼 12:27 Congo (DRC) 🇨🇩 12:56 Malawi 🇲🇼 13:20 Ethiopia 🇪🇹 13:53 Gambia 🇬🇲 14:25 Sudan 🇸🇩 14:29 Haiti 🇭🇹 15:28 Afghanistan 🇦🇫 15:53 Senegal 🇸🇳 16:22 Togo 🇹🇬 16:48 Djibouti 🇩🇯 17:20 Lesotho 🇱🇸 17:48 Madagascar 🇲🇬 18:15 Tanzania 🇹🇿 18:39 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮 19:08 Nigeria 🇳🇬 19:29 Rwanda 🇷🇼 19:55 Uganda 🇺🇬 20:25 Benin 🇧🇯 20:50 Mauritania 🇲🇷 21:20 Comoros 🇰🇲 21:48 Papua New Guinea 🇵🇬 22:15 Pakistan 🇵🇰 22:40 Cameroon 🇨🇲 23:08 Syria 🇸🇾 23:35 Solomon Islands 🇸🇧 24:03 Zimbabwe 🇿🇼 24:35 Republic of the Congo 🇨🇬 25:10 Angola 🇦🇴 25:38 Myanmar 🇲🇲 26:13 Zambia 🇿🇲 26:45 Equatorial Guinea 🇬🇶 27:08 Cambodia 🇰🇭 27:36 Kenya 🇰🇪 28:12 Nepal 🇳🇵 28:40 East Timor 🇹🇱 29:10 Vanuatu 🇻🇺 29:44 Ghana 🇬🇭 30:05 Eswatini 🇸🇿 30:38 Laos 🇱🇦 31:07 Micronesia 🇫🇲 31:40 São Tomé and Príncipe 🇸🇹 32:07 Kiribati 🇰🇮 32:45 Bangladesh 🇧🇩 33:13 Honduras 🇭🇳 33:35 India 🇮🇳 34:09 Namibia 🇳🇦 34:38 Bhutan 🇧🇹 35:02 Nicaragua 🇳🇮 35:30 Guatemala 🇬🇹 35:56 Cape Verde 🇨🇻 36:25 > Tajikistan >> 🇹🇯 36:50 El Salvador 🇸🇻 37:12 Iraq 🇮🇶 37:32 Guyana 🇬🇾 37:58 Morocco 🇲🇦 38:23 Kyrgyzstan 🇰🇬 38:50 Gabon 🇬🇦 39:10 Vietnam 🇻🇳 39:33 Marshall Islands 🇲🇭 40:00 Egypt 🇪🇬 40:20 Palestine 🇵🇸 40:44 South Africa 🇿🇦 41:10 Venezuela 🇻🇪 41:35 Turkmenistan 🇹🇲 42:04 Samoa 🇼🇸 42:33 Belize 🇧🇿 43:00 Philippines 🇵🇭 43:30 Indonesia 🇮🇩 43:59 Bolivia 🇧🇴 44:27 Uzbekistan 🇺🇿 44:50 Libya 🇱🇾 45:17 Tonga 🇹🇴 45:45 Paraguay 🇵🇾 46:10 Jordan 🇯🇴 46:42 Jamaica 🇯🇲 47:08 Botswana 🇧🇼 47:30 Mongolia 🇲🇳

0:44 - Suriname 01:10 - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 01:40 - Tunisia 02:05 - Maldives 02:29 - Dominica 02:57 - Fiji 03:22 - Lebanon 03:44 - Algeria 04:07 - Moldova 04:35 - Dominican Republic 04:59 - Azerbaijan 05:21 - Saint Lucia 05:45 - Ecuador 06:10 - China 06:38 - Brazil 07:09 - Colombia 07:38 - North Macedonia 08:03 - Armenia 08:29 - Thailand 08:52 - Peru 09:20 - Antigua and Barbuda 09:44 - Ukraine 10:08 - Saint Kitts and Nevis 10:34 - Mexico 11:01 - Grenada 11:27 - Bosnia and Herzegovina 11:54 - Sri Lanka 12:21 - Iran 12:49 - Cuba 13:12 - Albania 13:39 - Trinidad and Tobago 14:03 - Seychelles 14:36 - Mauritius 15:03 - Serbia 15:30 - Kuwait 15:53 - Malaysia 16:16 - Costa Rica 16:48 - Georgia 17:12 - Oman 17:38 - Barbados 18:08 - Bahamas 18:40 - Panama 19:09 - Bulgaria 19:38 - Uruguay 20:00 - Turkey 20:29 - Belarus 21:01 - Russia 21:27 - Kahakhstan 21:56 - Palau 22:29 - Romania 22:52 - Montenegro 23:20 - Brunei 23:45 - Argentina 24:17 - Qatar 24:49 - Croatia 25:13 - Chile 25:42 - Bahrain 26:04 - Saudi Arabia 26:33 - Hungary 26:55 - Slovakia 27:21 - Portugal 27:47 - Latvia 28:15 - Andorra 28:43 - Poland 29:10 - Lithuania 29:35 - Cyprus 30:04 - Greece 30:27 - United Arab Emirates 30:54 - Italy 31:17 - Estonia 31:40 - Malta 32:06 - Czech Republic 32:27 - France 32:51 - Spain 33:14 - South Korea 33:39 - Luxembourgh 34:04 - Slovenia 34:32 - Liechtenstein 35:00 - Japan 35:24 - Israel 35:50 - Austria 36:14 - United States 36:45 - Canada 37:10 - New Zealand 37:37 - Belgium 38:00 - United Kingdom 38:26 - Singapore 38:58 - Finland 39:22 - Denmark 39:46 - Netherlands 40:14 - Australia 40:36 - Sweden 40:56 - Germany 41:21 - Iceland 42:12 - Hong Kong 42:40 - Switzerland 42:03 - Ireland 43:29 - Norway

2021 ➾ Crises, Breakthroughs

21-12-19 Ukraine: On the Brink of Invasion - Mad Mac > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-8-3 Economic Disaster is Already Here - Peter Zeihan - Triggernometry > .

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...