Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Next Ukrainian Offensive?

22-9-28 Next Ukrainian offensive? - Binkov > .
22-12-13 Spotlight on Ukraine - Ben Hodges - geonow > .
22-12-3 How Ukraine Liberated Kherson - Ruscian Invasion - K&G > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-22 Where Will Ukraine Strike Next? 3 Main Options for Kyiv - Spaniel > .
22-11-3 Kharkiv, Kherson, Kerch Bridge - Ruscian Invasion - K&A > .
22-10-20 Ukraine Continues Attacking - Russian Invasion DOC - K&G > .
22-10-15 Zaporozhye Counteroffensive? The Belarus Threat [Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-10-13 Ukraine Surprising World By Pushing Ruscian Navy Back - Sutton > .
22-10-13 How UKRAINE is winning the WAR - VisPol > .

00:01:40 — What Am I Covering?
00:03:14 — LTG Ben Hodges (Ret.)
00:04:16 — Ukraine Pre-February
00:05:29 — Wartime Evolution
00:07:28 — Force '23 - Ukraine's Military Objectives
00:08:37 — The Force Requirement
00:09:37 — Manpower vs Metal
00:10:46 — Interview pt.I: Ukrn Force Generation
00:11:34 — Interview pt.I: Answer
00:13:23 — Can It Be Done?
00:14:02 — Heavy Weapons
00:14:10 — Warsaw Standard
00:15:47 — Interview pt.II: Equipment
00:16:16 — Interview pt.II: Answer
00:18:51 — Nato Armour?
00:20:56 — Interview pt.III - Nato Armour?
00:21:20 — Interview pt.III - Answer
00:22:33 — Maintenance and Sustainment
00:23:33 — Russia's Own Advantages
00:24:28 — Interview pt.IV: Overcoming Maintenance and Sustainment Challenges
00:24:59 — Interview pt.IV: Answer
00:29:36 — Long Range Capabilities
00:32:12 — Munition & Shell Crisis
00:33:11 — Sustaining the Soviet(+) Systems
00:35:12 — Unconventional Sources
00:35:54 — Iran's Contribution?
00:37:20 — Nato Standard in Quantity
00:38:51 — Feeding The Guns
00:39:32 — Interview pt.V: Feeding The Guns
00:40:16 — Interview pt.V: Answer
00:44:02 — Case Study: US Industry Response
00:45:54 — Case Study: US Ammo Production
00:47:40 — Is Production up to the Task?
00:49:48 — Interview pt.VI: Is the West capable of sustaining Ukraine?
00:50:22 — Interview pt.VI: Answer
00:51:36 — The Force Generation Race
00:52:03 — What About the Russian Effort?
00:52:46 — Interview pt.VII: Russian and Ukrainian Mobilisation Assessment
00:53:10 — Interview pt.VII: Answer
00:54:17 — What About The Russian Effort? - Cont.
00:55:02 — Interview pt.VIII: Likely Failure Point for the Russian Military?
00:55:33 — Interview pt.VIII: Answer
00:59:57 — Who wins the Force Generation Race?
01:00:54 — Interview pt.IX: Final Reflections and Predictions
01:01:21 — Interview pt.IX: Answer
01:04:28 — Conclusions

Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Despicable Antics

Ruscism dēlenda est ...
22-9-27 Ruscia moves to annex parts of Ukraine - Caspian > .
24-4-16 [XIR] Iran's use of [terrorist] proxies to [harm] USA and Israel - Caspian > .
23-10-23 Poland Must Defend Ukraine against Historical Rival: Russia - GeoP > .
23-10-19 [R-U & NoXious XIR Axis behind Hamas atrocities] - DiD > .
23-8-30 Fear is the new normal in Russian politics - Anders > .
23-8-29 Dictatorships: From Spin to Fear | Ruscist Regression (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-29 Major FBI Operation Targeted Qakbot Botnet - Director Wray > .
23-7-13 What's Next For Ruscia After Wagner's Mercenary Revolt - CNBC > .
23-7-2 Is Vladimir P00tin’s power coming to an end? | 60 Min Aus > .
23-6-9 Inside Wagner, Ruscia’s Secret War Company | WSJ Doc > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-5-13 [P00pagandistic manipulation and public opinion] (subs) - Katz > .
23-4-16 R-U Hybrid Warfare: P00paganda, cyber, hybrid methods - Perun > .
23-3-15 Timothy Snyder on reasons for ICC "WAR CRIMES" decision > .
23-3-5 Wagner Group, Russian PMCs & Ukraine - Hx, R-U - Perun > .
23-2-10 Political Apoothy | Blame Game, Coping Strategies (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-8 Ruscia’s Warpaint | Once “decent” people провоенный (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-3 [Demented Krumblin Conspiracy Poopaganda] (subs) - Katz > .
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-19 Kremlin's Bizarre Ideological Mission for 2023 - Vlad > .
22-12-16 3 reasons why Pootin started the ztupid war (subs) - Katz > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-12-5 Russians tired of poopaganda | Gardening beats Soloviev (subs) - MK > .
22-11-4 Pootin's Son: Ramzan Kadyrov - Part 1 - Terrorussia > .
22-10-24 How a Russian Nuclear Strike Could Play Out | WSJ > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-20 The Russian war narrative after mobilization - Anders > .
22-10-16 The most pointless war of the century (subs) - Katz > .
Proxy Warfare 

Wednesday, September 21, 2022

Desperate Loser

22-10-1 Russian Mobilisation - what it means for the война in Ukraine - Perun > .
22-9-24 Russians react to 'partial' mobilisation - Vlad > .
22-9-24 Captured Russian Equipment in Ukraine - (Chieftain) - Perun > .
22-9-23 Poo's Desperate Mobilization: 10 Biggest Takeaways - Spaniel > .22-9-23 Mobilization, annexation and nuclear weapons - Anders > .
22-9-23 Russian military cannot absorb reservist troops | Mark Galeotti > .
22-9-23 Russian reserves are 'low grade' & 'don't want to go to war' - Forces > .
22-9-21 Desperate Poo announces "partial" military mobilisation – BBC > .22-9-21 How the world should react to Pootin's speech - Stubb - STG > .
22-9-21 Ruscia: Panic, protests follow Pootin's 'partial mobilization' | DW > .
22-9-22 Why Pootin's Mobilisation will FAIL - Baltic > .
Russian Invasion of Ukraine - K&G >> .

00:00 Why is Putin so obsessed with capturing Ukraine?
05:28 Is Ukraine's autonomy safe?
06:17 Message for Western citizens?
07:15 Nuclear command by Putin
07:45 Contrived terrorism in Russia?
08:14 Putin luckiest outcome?
08:33 Will mobilisation cause revolt?
09:06 Would Putin's successor be worse?
10:17 Why did Putin delay the speech?
11:11 Depoliticised Russians
Month 8 ..
Month 9 ..
2022 - Special Douhetesque Blunder ..
Spin Dictator to Fear Authoritarian ..

Mobik” [мобик] is a Ukrainian portmanteaux term for a Ruscian conscript invader. It combines “mobilized” + “vatnik”. A vatnik [ватник] is a poor, uneducated person who has been zombified by stupefying Ruscist propaganda.

Friday, September 16, 2022

22-9-16 Mahsa Amini protests □

22-12-8 Hidden Reason Autocrats Hate Protests - Spaniel > .
If You're Listening | ABC News In-depth >> .

Timeline of the Mahsa Amini protests: An ongoing series of protests and civil unrest against the government of Iran began in Tehran on 16 September 2022 as a reaction to the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini. She had been arrested by the Guidance Patrol for allegedly violating Iran's mandatory hijab law by wearing her hijab "improperly" while visiting Tehran from Saqqez. According to eyewitnesses, Amini had been severely beaten by Guidance Patrol officers, an assertion denied by Iranian authorities.

The protests quickly spread from Amini's hometown of Saqqez to other cities in the province of Kurdistan as well as to other provinces within Iran. In response to these demonstrations, the Iranian government implemented regional shutdowns of internet access beginning 19 September, followed by widespread internet blackouts along with nationwide restrictions on social media usage as the protests became more widespread. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei dismissed the widespread unrest not only as "riots" but also as a “hybrid war" caused by foreign states and dissidents abroad. Women, including schoolchildren, have played a key role in the demonstrations. In addition to demands for increased rights for women, the protests have demanded the overthrow of the Islamic Republic, setting them apart from previous major protest movements in Iran, which have focused on election results or economic woes. The protests have been described by The Guardian as the biggest threat to the government of Iran since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Unlike the 2019–2020 protests, the 2022 protests were "nationwide, spread across social classes, universities, the streets [and] schools".

According to the non-profit organization Iran Human Rights, as of 29 November 2022 at least 448 people, including 60 minors, had been killed as a result of the government's intervention in the protests, which has involved the use of tear gas and gunfire, making the protests the deadliest since the 2019–2020 protests that resulted in more than 1,500 fatalities. This response to the protests was widely condemned.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...