Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Tempting Article 5

Orcine incompetence followed by poopagandistic Ruscist LIES?22-11-16 Panetta: ‘Not Surprised’ By ... Ruscia’s ‘Random Missile Attacks’ > .
22-11-16 R-U on day after Poland missiles – Geopolitics with Alex Stubb > .
22-11-16 Missiles hit Poland - Artur > .
22-11-15 NATO investigates reported Russian missiles in Poland | DW > .
22-11-15 Intentional escalation or, more likely, typical orcine incompetence, a Russian missile strike on Poland constitutes an ARMED ATTACK.

22-11-16 NATO and Poland have concluded that the tragic incident was the direct result of an interceptor missile fired by Ukraine -- fired to protect against a massive missile attack against Ukrainian territory by Ruscian forces. So, the proximate cause was a defensive Ukrainian missile, and the ultimate cause was a deliberate attack by Ruscia. Although Ruscists would NOT dare to directly attack a NATO country, they were ztupid enough to fire missiles very close to the Polish border (Stryi (~80km) and Sambir (~36km) districts in Lviv Oblast, injuring 5).

Was this tragedy the result of ruscist incompetence when programming a missile's target: 

Kyiv : 50.4501N, 30.5234E .
Lviv : 49.842957N, 24.031E .

Wyżłów, Poland: 50.4501N 24.031E .
Verbova, Kyiv Oblast, Ukraine: 49.842957N 30.5234E

Collective defence and Article 5 (NATO)
The principle of collective defence is at the very heart of NATO’s founding treaty. It remains a unique and enduring principle that binds its members together, committing them to protect each other and setting a spirit of solidarity within the Alliance.
  • Collective defence means that an attack against one Ally is considered as an attack against all Allies.
  • The principle of collective defence is enshrined in Article 5 of the Washington Treaty.

Article 4

The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened.


The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.

Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security .

Article 6 

For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack:
  • on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America, on the Algerian Departments of France 2, on the territory of Turkey or on the Islands under the jurisdiction of any of the Parties in the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer;
  • on the forces, vessels, or aircraft of any of the Parties, when in or over these territories or any other area in Europe in which occupation forces of any of the Parties were stationed on the date when the Treaty entered into force or the Mediterranean Sea or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.
The key section of the treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the casus foederis. It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in Europe or North America, to be an armed attack against them all. Upon such attack, each member state is to assist by taking "such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area." The article has only been invoked once (September 11 attacks), but considered in a number of other cases.

Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.

Monday, November 14, 2022

Crimea Offensive

22-11-14 Beginning of the Fall of Crimea - Zeihan on Geopolitics > .
24-1-26 Battle for Crimea: RuM Bases on Fire, Planes Crashing, Ships Sinking - U24 > .
23-8-16 Ukr releases video of 23-7-17 Sea Baby attack on Crimean bridge > .
23-7-30 Black Sea & Naval War - Drones, Blockades & Bridge - Perun > .
23-6-20 SatIm: Rykove Ammo Depot After Storm Shadow Strike --  Such > .
23-1-6 'Ukraine will liberate Crimea by the end of August' | Ben Hodges > .
22-12-13 Crimea & Winter; Ukraine - Lt. General Ben Hodges - geonow > .
22-12-22 Ukrainian forces in the area of Kinburn Spit - Translated > .
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Запоріжжя)
22-12-13 Ukraine Targets Bridge Near Melitopol -- Likely Partisan Activity - Such > .
22-11-28 SatIm Exposes Weakness in Russian Defense | Reporting > .
NYT article .
22-11-24 What Will Happen to the People of Crimea: Denys Davydov | Jake Broe > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-25 Ukraine versus Crimea and South. Ruscians in "suitcase mode" - Dude > .
22-11-15 Kinburn Peninsula & left bank attack by Ukraine | Reporting > .
22-11-15 Ukraine war: What next after liberation of Kherson? - Forces > .
22-9-14 Denys Davydov: Ukraine's Struggle and its Future | Jake Broe > .
> Satellite Imagery >>
Crimea - Крим - αλλο >> .

➾ 2022 ..Kerch Bridge Joins Moskva ..

Thursday, November 10, 2022

22-11-10 Kherson Krumblin □

22-11-12 No to Negotiations | Kinburn Peninsula Next | Reporting > .22-11-11 Liberation of Kherson - Mapped to 11 November - dots > .22-11-10 Kherson Retreat - Satellite Imagery - Defenses, Bridges, Crossings - Such > .22-11-10 How And When Will the War in Ukraine End? - gtbt > .
22-11-11 Ukraine Liberates Kherson | Next Crimea | Ruzzians running - Denys > .
2022 - Special Douhetesque Blunder ..

Katz on poopaganda > : "You know who was really shocked by the retreat from Kherson? The authors and the audience of Z-channels. [Video explores] how the radical public exhausted by the state channels is trying to explain the most significant loss since the beginning of this war."

Surveillance, Intelligence

Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Rationality Clinging On? Red Ripple

22-11-9 tRUMP-Backed Election LIARs Lose Key 2022 Midterm Races | WSJ > .
In the key swing states of Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Pennsylvania, [deplorable] candidates who made FALSE claims about the 2020 election ran for positions that can exert great influence over election administration.
22-11-9 Democratic Showing Could Mean New 'Rules Of Politics': Kornacki > .22-11-9 Democrats dodge 'red wave' = more D votes than polls predicted | DW > .

Geostrategic Blunder

.
22-12-30 Why Losing Crimea Will Destroy Putin - Vlad Vexler > .
23-11-4 [Ruscia Wants to Destroy] International Rules-based Order - Kuzio > .
23-9-22 ATACMS: Sending Ukraine These Missiles = Huge Deal | WSJ > .
23-9-1 [Resistance Essential | Opposition Shouldn't be Duped] (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-14 Post-P00: Elites Flee; Opposition Rises (subs) - Katz > .
23-7-31 Ruscia Cannibalizing Its Economy - Still Not Enough - gtbt > . skip > .
23-7-19 Mutiny, Insurgency, Arrests, Economic Implosion - Konstantin Samoilov > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-5-8 P00ti Fragmented Military: Internal Rivalries, Mismanagement - Spaniel > .
23-3-23 5 Takeaways [Xi’s P00petry visit] - Stubb - STG > .
23-3-15 Timothy Snyder on reasons for ICC "WAR CRIMES" decision > .
23-3-12 Krumblin Presents: Friends Like These (song parody) - rhubarbjin > .
23-3-4 R's Potential Collapse | P00's Balkanization Warnings (subs) - Katz > .
23-3-1 [Seven Losses of P00tin: How to Fail Ztupidly as Dicktator - Matters > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
23-2-20 Record Deficit Heralds the Collapse of the Russian Economy - gtbt > .
23-2-13 Navalny's Defiant Impact Can Only be Judged in Retrospect - Katz > . 
23-2-5 Scary Stalinism vs Pathetic Pootinism [electioneering] (subs) - Katz > .
23-1-30 Offensive Pooti's Doomed Orcine Escalation (subs) - Katz > . 
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-19 Kremlin's Bizarre Ideological Mission for 2023 - Vlad > .
22-12-22 What would Ruscia gain/lose if Belarus joined Ztupid war? - Binkov > .
22-12-6 Ukraine Gained Significant and Irreversible Momentum - Hodges > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-3 General Ben Hodges (Ret.) | Jake Broe Podcast > .
Why authoritarian regimes FAIL:

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...