Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Russia ⇔ Χίna 2022

22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–Xina rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-4-11 Dr. John Lee | Rising Tensions With Xina - John Anderson > .
22-4-7 Χίna isn't overtly supporting PoooTin in Ukraine - VisPol > .
22-3-28 Conversation with Australian Senator the Hon Penny Wong - CSIS > .
22-3-22 That’s What Xi (Jinping) Said | Hoover (full) > .
22-3-18 Putin & Xi: Will Xina double down on Russia? | DW > .
22-3-16 XXP Rhetoric, Conspiracy Theories, Russian DISinformation | Digging > .
22-2-24 Global Power Rivalry | Michael Buckley > .
22-2-7 NATO's Ukraine Mistake | John Mearsheimer > .


Mystery of alleged 22-2-23 Xinese hack on eve of Ukraine invasion . 

The Times first reported that hackersalleged to be based in China, began targeting Ukrainian websites on 23 February, the day before the invasion. That [suggests] they had advance notice of Moscow's plans and if their intention was somehow to support Russia.

A broad set of Ukrainian government and commercial organisations were said to have been targeted by hackers, including organisations linked to nuclear power. It is unclear how far this activity was scanning for vulnerabilities online and how many websites were actually compromised. The aim looks to have been espionage - stealing secrets - rather than the kind of sabotage operations which Russia was accused of carrying out just before the invasion, and when it started.

22-2-2 Against the backdrop of the Ukraine crisis, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s first post-pandemic visit to Xina is of major significance. Sino-Russian relations have flourished in recent years, with Putin and Xinese leader Xi Jinping presiding over a rapid expansion of military, economic, financial, and technological ties.

— Will the escalation of the war in Ukraine drive Beijing and Moscow even closer together? — Is Beijing prepared to provide financial assistance to Moscow and to expand cooperation in the energy realm that might help the Russian economy withstand the pain of Western sanctions? 
— Would such cooperation further tilt the balance in Beijing’s favor, given the increasingly asymmetrical nature of the Sino-Russian relationship?

00:00:00 Xi Jinping
00:02:35 Cold war 2
00:04:00 Technology Wars
00:04:35 Iron Curtain
00:06:00 Nuclear Weapons
00:08:00 China will Never Westernize
00:10:35 Decoupling US/China Economy

Sunday, January 9, 2022

Tech Ċold Ŵar 2 ➾ Geoeconomics

χ China's Race for AI Supremacy - Bloomberg > .
24-10-25 [Huawei's Defiant Purchase of TSMC AI Chips] - Update > . 
24-6-20 Hazardous Life of an Undersea Cable - Asianometry > .
24-6-3 [X's industrial policy, systemic weakness impair innovation] - Update > .
24-4-15 AI Deception: How Tech Companies Are [Scamming Investors] - ColdF > .
23-9-13 Huawei's 7nm Chip Isn't Big Chinese Breakthrough || Peter Zeihan > .
23-9-12 China's 7nm Semiconductor Breakthrough - Asianometry > .
23-8-18 AI Origins to Catastrophism vs Optimism - gtbt > .23-5-26 War for Computing Power Is In Full Swing - gtbt > .23-3-2 Xina Leads US in Key Technology Research: Report | Focus > .23-1-23 Xina’s Two-Year Tech Crackdown Winds Up | WSJ > .22-10-14 US-China: Tech | Semiconductors - Update > .22-10-12 Biden Bans Xina's Access to Advanced Semiconductors | Zeihan - now > .
22-9-21 Western scholars debate decoupling; Xi plots tech dominance - Digging > .
22-8-30 How ASML, TSMC And Intel Dominate The Chip Market | CNBC > .
Climate & Decoupling 
Industrial Theft 
Internet Cables 
Chips, FABs, Infrastructure - Means >> .R&D&M Wars - Tense >> .
Tech Competition - Tense >> .

2022 ..Energy ➾ 2022 ..

22-8-9 The CHIPS and Science Act (or Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors for America Act), also known as simply the CHIPS Act, is a U.S. federal statute enacted by the 117th United States Congress and signed into law by President Joe Biden on August 9, 2022. The act provides billions of dollars in new funding to boost domestic research and manufacturing of semiconductors in the United States.

Tech Theft ➾ Ċold Ŵar 2, 2022

22-1-28 F-35 just fell off a carrier, near China. Who’ll reach it first? - Binkov > .
23-10-14 [Independent Taiwan versus Imperialist Dicktatorship] - Real > . 
23-9-21 A Xinese blockade against Taiwan 'won't work' | Tim Cross > .
23-8-29 Understanding the Limits of Innovation || Peter Zeihan >> .
23-8-10 How Taiwan Accidentally Became an Economic Superpower - Casual > .
23-6-20 NVGs vs PLA - US Night Superiority, Can Xina [steal & copy]? - T&P > .
23-1-23 Xina’s Two-Year Tech Crackdown Winds Up | WSJ > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-15 Xina's Economy is in Bad Shape - ColdFusion > .
22-10-9 "Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise" | Susan Shirk - CU > .
22-9-21 Western scholars debate decoupling; Xi plots tech dominance - Digging > .
22-8-3 Economic Disaster is Already Here - Peter Zeihan - Triggernometry > .
22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-3-5 No. China won't get its hand on the sunken F-35C! - Defense > .
22-1-29 Race is on to reach sunken US plane... before China - BBC > .


Saturday, January 8, 2022

UK ➾ 2022

21-11-30 Secret Intelligence Top 4 Threats | Richard Moore MI6 Chief - geopop > .
PooTin
Security & Intelligence Agencies - Bonum V. Mālum >> .

4 threats = Russia, China, Iran, terrorism ↴

MI6 chief Richard Moore speaks about the world's biggest threats—from a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine to China’s increasing access to personal data.

00:00 - 00:49 MI6 is stepping out of the shadows
00:49 - 02:55 Will Putin invade Ukraine?
02:55 - 03:49 China’s influence has grown
03:49 - 04:40 Our relationship with China
04:40 - 05:33 A new technological battleground
05:33 - 07:01 China’s data and surveillance trap

Full interview with ‘C’ on “The Economist Asks” podcast: https://econ.st/3ImiVhV
Why Moore sees China as the main intelligence threat: https://econ.st/3fDOVBX .

Ukraine ➾ 2022+

21-12-30 What's Next for U.S. and Russia as Tensions Grow Over Ukraine | WSJ > .
23-7-28 Rebuilding Ukraine - Into > .
23-4-11 Ukraine's True History: debunking 10 popular Ruscist LIES - Kyiv > .
23-1-8 War Economies - Russia and Ukraine won't collapse tomorrow - Perun > .
22-11-16 G20 '22 - Xina distancing itself from Ruscist fallout - Update > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-9-7 Intermarium - Poland Ukraine Baltics | George Friedman > .
22-9-4 6 Months of Ukraine War - Economics, Endurance, Energy War - Perun > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
22-7-19 Central Asia post Ukraine-Invasion ⇌ Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, USA - gtbt > .
22-7-4 Intermarium: Is Strongest Union In Europe About To Appear? - Complete > .
22-3-25 “Bear Trap” – War in Ukraine: 1 Month of Russian Invasion - Animarchy > .
22-3-24 Ukraine's War Economy - Into Europe > .
22-3-21 Russia's Strategic Weaknesses in Ukraine - Kamome > .
222-3-19 [Тѕаr Rυnt dragging] Russia headed to strategic defeat in Ukraine - Caspian > .
22-3-2 True state of Ukraine's military today - Binkov > .


Fronts 2022

2014

Ukraine: Inside the spies’ attempts to stop the war: The first signs of Russia's intentions arrived a year ago. Intelligence from satellite imagery pointed to a Russian troop build-up near Ukraine. But analysts had little understanding of Moscow's true intentions. That changed in mid-2021. "From summer we saw a small group of senior people planning for a full military invasion of the whole country," explains one Western intelligence official.

22-1-20 With Russian troops building up at the Ukrainian border and tensions flaring high between the US, NATO and Russia, we can ask how the situation got to where it is: How did Russia lose Ukraine? Looking into the history of the two countries and the politics of the past 15 years including the Orange Revolution and Euromaidan Revolution, look into Ukraine's Western flip.

22-1-13 The Russian military has deployed and sustained major forces on or near Ukraine’s border, raising significant concerns in Washington and other NATO capitals that the Kremlin may be planning a new assault on its western neighbor. Meanwhile, Moscow has demanded security guarantees for Russia and indicated that it otherwise will take unspecified “military-technical” measures.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...