Saturday, January 15, 2022

NATO ➾ 2022

22-1-15 Finland and Sweden consider NATO membership - Caspian > .
23-8-20 NATO's Rearmament & Spending - NATO's R-U Response - Perun > .
23-7-6 What’s Blocking Sweden’s NATO Membership? | WSJ > .
23-6-18 Procurement vs Efficacy - Requirements, R&D pitfalls - Perun > .
23-2-3 Fiona Hill - NATO = Barrier to Pooti's Imperial Ambitions - SC > .
23-1-30 Inside Polish Armored Infantry (Squad to Division) - Battle > .
23-1-26 Germany's military in dire state. Fix? | DW > .
23-1-8 War Economies - Russia and Ukraine won't collapse tomorrow - Perun > .
22-12-10 Sweden's joining NATO would crush Russian power - Caspian > .
22-11-27 Polish military modernisation & buying Korean kit - Perun > .
22-11-25 US Military's Biggest Crisis = Recruitment, Retention, Training - nwyt > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-19 How NATO Solves Its Abandonment Problem - Spaniel > .
22-10-1 America's Missile Defense Problem - Poly > .
22-8-6 Kaliningrad: russian thorn in NATO's side - Nova Lectio > .
22-8-6 How Many BCTs can the US Army Form for a Large Scale War? - CoCa > .
22-7-22 Poland could become strongest land force in the EU - Binkov > .
22-7-21 How the economy of Russia is dying (English subtitles) - Максим Кац > .
22-7-5 Kaliningrad Stand-Off - Lithuania vs Russia - gtbt > .
22-12-29 German Rearmament: Is it going wrong? - mah > .
22-6-30 Russia's Cyberattack on Lithuania ~ NATO's Deeper Problems - Spaniel > .
22-6-29 2022 adjusted MoD's Military Budget - UK > .
22-6-28 Jacek Bartosiak - Kaliningrad, Suwalki Gap - Ruscia, Poland, Ukraine - S&F > .
22-6-24 Russia's Kaliningrad Problem with Lithuania = Ukraine 2.0-ish - Spaniel > .
22-6-21 Kaliningrad at center of dispute between Russia and Lithuania | DW > .
22-6-21 Lithuania enforces sanctions on Ruscist shipments to Kaliningrad - Denys > .
22-12-30 Suwalki Gap: NATO's Weakest Point? | BFBS > .
22-4-1 Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine Sparking NATO Defense Spending Spree? > .
22-3-31 The weapons Ukraine uses against Russia - CaspianReport > .
22-3-30 How will Germany spend its massive €100 billion military budget? | DW > .
22-3-23 Polish citizens join army b/o Russian invasion of Ukraine - BBC > .
22-3-20 Europe's Rearming to defend itself against Russia: New era for EU? - VisPol > .
22-3-12 No-Fly Zone Ukraine - Can it be done? Is it smart? - CoCa > . 
22-3-11 Sanctions, Tech-Denial, Psychology of Isolated Russia | Kotkin | New Yorker > .
22-3-10 Sweden's pro-NATO reaction to Russian aggression - Force Tech > .
22-2-19 Why Germany [daren't] help Ukraine (against Russia) - CaspianReport > .
22-2-11 High Resolution - Russia's Gamble in Ukraine - CSIS > .
22-2-11 Why Is it Not in Russia's Interest to Invade Ukraine? - VisPol > .

Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..

Comment 22-4-18 Finnish defenses, possibility of joining NATO.

Comment 1 - 22-4-14.
Finland has made the thought of invading it incredibly costly. Finland can mobilize more than half a million trained soldiers from a population of 5,5 million. Every building above a certain size has a bomb shelter. Every bridge is designed with slots that make destroying them with explosives easy. Finland has prepared for an invasion since the second world war and has enough guns to hand every willing person a East-German AK and tell them to camp in the forest.

And what would Russia gain from invading Finland? Finland has little natural resources, there are only a few million people and Finland's location is not that strategically useful all things considered. The main philosophy behind Finnish deference is a cost benefit analysis. What would a potential invader gain and what would it cost?

The reason behind the move towards NATO is partly fear yes, but also the benefit of remaining neutral is not that great to Finland anymore. During the cold war Finland benefited from being able to trade with both east and west but now that Finland is in the EU Finland has to follow the EU sanctions. It is impossible to sit on the fence anymore.

Comment 2 - 22-4-14.
I'm a Finnish person myself, and I have from the very moment Russia started rattling its saber against Finland that now would be the time to join the NATO. The only real consequences they could impose right now are economic ones, as they are preoccupied with killing Ukrainian civvies and could not realistically attack Finland. And so, between being threatened by Kremlin on a semi-weekly basis and seeing what happened to other countries attempting to remain neutral (although not a part of the EU), I believe that NATO membership's gotta be now or never.

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igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum

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