Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Economics of Agriculture □


19th November 2024 Protests >. We compare Keir Starmer's 2023 speech to the NFU conference to the protests held by farmers over the change to inheritance tax in the recent Labour Budget. We discuss the political representation at the protest from Reform UK, Clarkson, the Lib Dems and the Tories, including speeches by Kemi Badenoch and Ed Davey, while also asking if this is going to become a culture war issue. We also look at ome press statemets from Reeves, DEFRA minister Steve Reed and agricultural minister Daniel Zeichner. We conclude that the protest itself was apolitical and single issue, but this is clearly not over yet.

2024 November United Kingdom farmers' protestsOn November 19th, 2024, protests were organised by some farmers in London against new inheritance tax laws on agricultural land. The measure emerged from the Labour government of the United Kingdom budget plans, resulting in thousands of British farmers protesting in Parliament Square and addressing MPs directly in parliament.

The dispute centered on changes to inheritance tax on agricultural assets. Previously, the intergenerational transfer of farms had been exempt from taxation as a result of a 1992 tax break.

In November 2024, the newly elected Labour government announced plans to remove this tax exemption for farms valued over £1,000,000 in order to generate revenue for public services. Set to take effect in April 2026, the new policy would see a 20% inheritance tax on farm valued over that threshold, half the usual rate of inheritence tax, and could be paid across ten years. The inheritance tax exemption would remain in place for farms valued below the £1,000,000 threshold.

Opposition to the change from some farmers stemmed from the claim that farmers, while asset rich, are "cash poor", which they claimed would create a situation where some inheriting families would have to sell their farm lands to meet tax obligations. Supporters of the change claimed that farmers' had been manipulating the tax break to avoid taxation on profits.

Organisiations representing British farm owners said income declines across various agricultural sectors in the year ending February 2024, with some farms experiencing revenue drops exceeding 70%. Average annual incomes ranged from a modest £17,000 for livestock grazing operations to £143,000 for specialized poultry farms, further exacerbating the thinness of profit margins despite high land valuations.

The scale of potential impact is a point of contention. UK Government figures suggested the measure would affect approximately 27 percent of farms in the UK (aproximately 56,700 farms), equivilent to 500 farms annually. The Country Land and Business Association (CLA) suggested that 35 percent of farms (aproximately 70,000 farms) would be impacted. Analysis by BBC News Verifty stated that the figures of the UK government were more probable than the CLA's.

Oct 24, 2018

Thursday, July 4, 2024

24-7-4 UK Upheaval □

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24-7-4 Keir Starmer, Britain’s next prime minister - Economist > .
24-7-14 Can the Conservative party survive defeat? | FT > .
24-7-13 Who and What is Keir Starmer? David Starkey > .
24-7-12 Melanie Phillips: Britain chooses Labour [Danger to Israel, West] - JNS > .
24-7-5 Jonathan Pie: '50 Shades of Beige' | Britain's New PM | NYT > .
24-6-29 Fareed Zakaria: revolutions, tribalism, demise of West | Spectator > .

Given that weakism has completely abandoned rationality, I expect that the British will soon be as sorry about this kneejerk landslide as they are about BrexTWIT. For Britain's sake, I hope I'm wrong. On the positive side: the SNP has taken a drubbingLiz Truss lost her seat rather ungraciously, whereas others swamped by the changing tide were gracious losers; and, 30-years-wait-to-be-MP Nigel Farage's Reform accomplished little despite an annoying social media plague of Reform-bots.

A comment thread beginning with "Reform - 4 million votes and 5 seats. LibDem - 3.5 million votes and 71 seats" reveals much about the MAGA-like capacities of Reform voters = emotional reactivity with almost zero attempt to comprehend the underlying mechanisms of multi-party vote splitting in an FPP system.  

Thursday, January 11, 2024

24-1-11 Retaliation against Houthis □

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24-3-10 Why the Houthis Control Half of Yemen - K&G > .24-1-30 US and Iran: Deciding What to Bomb || Peter Zeihan > .
24-1-30 Would Ending the Gaza War End the Red Sea Crisis? [no] - Spaniel > .
24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .
24-1-21 US Military Strikes Back Against Houthis - T&P > .
24-1-21 US & UK Airstrikes in Yemen (mapped) - Balkan > .
24-1-16 What conflict in the Red Sea could mean for global supply chains | ABC Aus > .
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24-1-11 UN votes on Red Sea Houthi attacksUS & UK action - SBS > .
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24-1-15 Global Crises: ISIS vs Iran, Hezbollah, Ecuador, Myanmar - Waro > .


Wednesday, January 25, 2023

23-1-25 Tanksgiving □

23-1-25 Ukraine welcomes Western tanks; Ruscist missile strikes – BBC > .
23-10-6 Heavy Tanks vs Lighter Tanks vs IFVs - nwyt > .
23-7-29 Why the US Military isn't Out of Ammo - T&P > .
23-2-20 Military spending: UK may offer some insights - CNBC > .
23-2-7 German Defense Minister promises more Leopards | DW > .
23-2-5 Resupplying Ukraine: Arms, Aid & Escalation - sources | Perun > .
23-2-5 22-12-16 Fronts, Attrition, Weapon Packages 23-1-15 - K&G > .
23-2-1 Ukraine Newsreel: Tanks to Ukraine as Orcs Plan Offensive - Anim > .
23-2-1 NATO tanks vs Orcine tanks in Ukraine - Binkov > .
23-1-31 Next Ukrainian Counteroffensive Operation - Reporting > .
23-1-26 Abrams, Leopard, Challenger 2 vs T-72: Western Tanks | WSJ > .
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Thursday, October 20, 2022

22-10-20 Truss Resigns □

22-11-11 Great Britain: Descent Into Chaos | Truss to Sunak | My Take > .
22-12-30 Most disappointing politicians - VisPol > .
22-12-13 Rishi Sunak's first 50 days as PM - comparison to Truss - Times > .

Rishi Sunak (born 12 May 1980) is a British politician who has served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 25 October 2022 and Leader of the Conservative Party since 24 October 2022. Sunak served as Chancellor of the Exchequer from 2020 to 2022 and Chief Secretary to the Treasury from 2019 to 2020, and he has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Richmond (Yorks) since 2015.

Sunak was born in Southampton to parents of Indian descent who migrated to Britain from East Africa in the 1960s. He was educated at Winchester College, studied philosophy, politics and economics (PPE) at Lincoln College, Oxford, and earned an MBA from Stanford University as a Fulbright Scholar. While at Stanford, he met his future wife Akshata Murty, the daughter of Indian billionaire N. R. Narayana Murthy of Infosys. After graduating, Sunak worked for Goldman Sachs and later as a partner at the hedge fund firms The Children's Investment Fund Management and Theleme Partners.

Sunak was elected to the House of Commons for Richmond in North Yorkshire at the 2015 general election, succeeding William Hague. Sunak supported Brexit in the 2016 referendum on EU membership. He was appointed to Theresa May's second government as Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Local Government in the 2018 reshuffle. He voted three times in favour of May's Brexit withdrawal agreement. After May resigned, Sunak supported Boris Johnson's campaign to become Conservative leader. After Johnson became Prime Minister, Sunak was appointed Chief Secretary to the Treasury. Sunak replaced Sajid Javid as Chancellor of the Exchequer after Javid's resignation in the February 2020 cabinet reshuffle. As Chancellor, Sunak was prominent in the government's financial response to the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact, including the Coronavirus Job Retention and Eat Out to Help Out schemes. He resigned as chancellor in July 2022, followed by Johnson's resignation amid a government crisis.

Sunak stood in the Conservative party leadership election to replace Johnson, and lost the members' vote to Liz Truss. After Truss's resignation amid a government crisis, Sunak was elected unopposed as Leader of the Conservative Party on 24 October 2022. He was appointed Prime Minister by King Charles III, the first to be appointed during his reign, a day later, becoming the first British Asian and Hindu to hold that position.

Tuesday, May 31, 2022

Paranoid Ruscist Aggression

22-11-22 Why [the Ruscian Federation] cannot become a democracy - Caspian > .
22-11-11 Can Ruscia's [Press Gang] Mobilization Make a Difference? - T&P > .
Proxy Warfare 
R-U - Latest Map - αλλο >> .

Spin Dictator to Fear Authoritarian ..

MAD Vlad the Bad deserves Despensering.

Comment:
The idea of a nuclear threat taboo is false. Nuclear brinkmanship has been around since 1948, such as: 
1. Truman sending B-29s to UK in 1948 Berlin Blockade; 
2. Truman's November 30 1950 press conference about use of nuclear weapons in Korea; 3. Eisenhower's secret threats to China in 1953 which lead to the Korean armistice; 
4. Dulles offering to use 2 tactical nukes in 1954 to save the French at Dien Bien Phu; 
5. Threats to use nukes against China in 1955 during first Quemoy crisis (China vs Taiwan); 
6. "Diplomatic use of the Bomb" (Nixon's term) to deter USSR during Suez Crisis; 
7 and 8. The 1958 and 1961 Berlin crises; 
9. The 1961 Cuban missile crisis; 10. Public reports of Joint Chiefs of Staff advising Johnson of likely need for nuclear weapon use to save the marines at Khe Sanh in 1968; 11. Secret threats by Nixon to deter USSR attacking the Chinese nuclear capability 1969-1970; 
12. Nixon's secret threats of nuclear attacks on North Vietnam from 1969 to 1972; 
13. Nixon's threats (according to him to deter Soviet response to possible Chines intervention against India in Indo-Pakistan war of 1971 (possibly also to push India to end the war); 
14. Nixon ordering DEFCON 3 to deter USSR during 1973 Arab-Israeli War; 
15. Ford ordering DEFCON 3 in 1976 over skirmish in Korean DMZ; 
16. 1980 Carter doctrine in the Middle East; 
17. August 1980 secret nuclear warnings to USSR to not invade Iran (it was building up it's military on the border at the time); 
18. Reagan reaffirming Carter Doctrine in January 1981; 
19. Bush Senior threatening nuclear response if Iraq used chemical weapons during Desert Storm; 
20. Clinton secret nuclear threats against North Korea in 1995 over it's development of nuclear weapons; 
21. Public nuclear threats by Defence Secretary Perry against Libya's Tarhuna underground chemical weapons facility in 1996. 

These are just the American examples, but others have also done so: 
Israel loaded nukes onto it's Jericho missiles in 1973; 
Modi and Khan warning each other in 2019 (India v Pakistan); Khrushchev's "We will bury you!" in 1956; 
Stalin about to launch an attack on the West before he died (as he believed one was inevitable anyway); 
Mao's declaration that China could lose 300 million and still win; 
2006 Chirac threatening nuclear attack on any country that used terrorism against France. Reagan pulled back his rhetoric and brinkmanship once he was informed that the USSR actually believed he was about to launch a first strike in 1983 ("The Evil Empire", Exercise Able Archer, the shoot-down of KAL 007, and Operation RYAN - see https://coldwarconversations.com/episode229/ for more information on that dreadful year); 
Reagan truly believed the USSR was an Evil Empire and they truly believed he was a madman about to attack. The USSR so believed the West would launch a decapitation First Strike they developed Perimeter, a dead hand retaliation system, but never warned the West about it (Doctor Strangelove for real). 

There never was a taboo against nuclear weapon threats, except that leaders have always held back on following through due to the assumption of massive worldwide condemnation, but it only takes one lunatic unable to win his trumped up war to decide NOT using them is an even GREATER risk to HIS hold on power. South Africa disarmed in 1989 because it improved their security position in Southern Africa and de Klerk saw they had no useful military value to South Africa. Unfortunately we can't, as a planet, decide the same thing. Nuclear weapons are too powerful a tool for countries to give up, yet if we don't, then sooner or later they will be used again.

Saturday, January 8, 2022

UK ➾ 2022

21-11-30 Secret Intelligence Top 4 Threats | Richard Moore MI6 Chief - geopop > .
PooTin
Security & Intelligence Agencies - Bonum V. Mālum >> .

4 threats = Russia, China, Iran, terrorism ↴

MI6 chief Richard Moore speaks about the world's biggest threats—from a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine to China’s increasing access to personal data.

00:00 - 00:49 MI6 is stepping out of the shadows
00:49 - 02:55 Will Putin invade Ukraine?
02:55 - 03:49 China’s influence has grown
03:49 - 04:40 Our relationship with China
04:40 - 05:33 A new technological battleground
05:33 - 07:01 China’s data and surveillance trap

Full interview with ‘C’ on “The Economist Asks” podcast: https://econ.st/3ImiVhV
Why Moore sees China as the main intelligence threat: https://econ.st/3fDOVBX .

Thursday, January 6, 2022

West ➾ Russia 2022

22-6-23 Germany's $100 Billion Military Upgrade - CaspianReport > .
22-4-14 Lithuanian Army Ready For War? Task & Purpose > .
22-4-8 How (so many) Russian Tanks Are Being Destroyed - CoCa > .
22-4-5 Do Sanctions Work? - Economics Explained > . skip ad > .
22-4-4 Russia’s David vs Ukraine’s Goliath? Manpower woes - Binkov > .
22-4-1 Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine Sparking NATO Defense Spending Spree? > .
22-3-31 The weapons Ukraine uses against Russia - CaspianReport > .
22-3-30 Cold War 1, Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Ċold Ŵar 2 Sanctions > .
22-3-30 How will Germany spend its massive €100 billion military budget? | DW > .
22-3-29 The Sanctioned Russian Economy 🇷🇺 : A new Russia? - Action > .
22-3-27 Are Tanks Obsolete? [Vlad's Disaster &] The Future of Warfare - nwyt > .
22-3-25 “Bear Trap” – War in Ukraine: 1 Month of Russian Invasion - Animarchy > .
22-3-23 Polish citizens join army b/o Russian invasion of Ukraine - BBC > .
22-3-22 Cold War 2.0? Global Economic Impact of Sanctions Against Russia | WSJ > .
22-3-20 Ukraine’s ‘secret weapons’: Training foreign fighters | 60 Min Aus > .
22-3-19 [Тѕаr Rυnt dragging] Russia headed to strategic defeat in Ukraine - Caspian > .
22-3-18 The Rather Pathetic Economy of Russia - EcEx > .
22-3-13 Russia Failing - Ukraine Operational & Historical Overview - Animarchy > .

Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...