Showing posts with label trade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade. Show all posts

Saturday, November 2, 2024

SEA vs Imperious Bully 2024

24-2-2 Why America Would Defend The Philippines - Ec Talk > .
24-2-5 East Asia, After America || Peter Zeihan > .
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Trade & Tariffs 2024

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24-3-22 Xina Starting a Trade War - PolyMatter > . 
24-7-29 [DJT's Threat] of Trade War: Game-Changer for US-X & ROC?]| Digging > .24-6-21 [Pork] Trade War With Europe | SXS Tensions - Update > .
     "       Pettis 24-6-8 > .
24-5-29 [Xina Manipulating to Impose NoXious] World Order - gtbt >> .
24-5-29 [Security vs XIR] West starting second trade war vs Xina - M&M > .

WW2 amphibous challenges





> Trade, Chokepoints >>

Sunday, November 19, 2023

23-11-19 Red Sea Crisis □

24-1-8 [Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels harm global economy] - Caspian > . skip > .
24-10-26 [Islamist MENAce: Iran vs Israel & Arabs] - Spaniel > .
24-10-17 B-2 Strike on Yemen was really about Iran - McBeth > .
24-10-7 Konstantin Kisin Off the Fence About Israel’s War - Triggernometry > .
24-9-4 Iran and Israel's Long and Complicated History | Quillette > .
24-6-6 Egypt is a Ticking Time Bomb - gtbt > . skip > .
24-5-30 Red Sea Chaos: Freight Rates Soar; Port Congestions; Houthi - Shipping > .
24-4-16 [XIR] Iran's use of [terrorist] proxies to [harm] USA and Israel - Caspian > .
24-3-16 MBZ & UAE - thriving in a dangerous world - Caspian > .
24-2-25 Impact on Global Trade: Disruptions in Red Sea, Black Sea, Panama Canal > .
24-2-20 Roots of Iran’s Anger Against America - Context Matters > .
24-2-10 Borders: Some Countries Are Nearly Impossible to Escape - Map > .
24-2-8 The Hezbollah-Iran Alliance - IDF > .
24-2-5 Red Sea Transits of Tankers, Bulkers & Gas Carriers Plunge - Shipping > .
24-2-4 Iran would lose a war with the United States | Michael Clarke - Times > .
   24-3-10 [History of Yeme] Why Houthis Control Half of Yemen - K&G > .
  23-2-27 Alternate Techniques to Fight Pirates in Mid-Ocean - Fluctus > .
24-1-30 US and Iran: Deciding What to Bomb || Peter Zeihan > .
24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .
24-1-13 Iran, Xina, NK Supplying Ruscia's War Machine - drones+ | gtbt > . 
24-1-9 Red Sea Crisis & Operation Prosperity Guardian: Response Options - Spaniel > .
23-12-10 Yemen Announces a Blockade of Shipping to Israel | Shipping > .
Yemen & Region - anffyddiaeth >> .


Saturday, January 22, 2022

Globalization ➾ 2022 ➾ Deglobalization

24-3-21 Elisabeth Braw: Globalization Failing; R-UUnpredictable | Silicon > .
24-3-20 What a Deglobalized Economy Will Look Like - M&M > .

Monday, July 26, 2021

CAI, RCEP - Asia, Europe, USA

24-7-20 Malaysia [could become] next global chip giant - Caspian Report > .
2021 QUAD? Can Biden create an Asian NATO against China? - VisPol > .
22-2-24 Australia considers replacing bullying CCP with Indian Market - Insight > .
22-1-6 Australia & Japan sign security cooperation treaty - Focus > .
21-12-28 Australia to streamline weapon-buying process - Focus > .

CAI, RCEP - Asia, Europe, USA ..

The Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) is a proposed investment deal between the People's Republic of China and the European Union. Proposed in 2013, the deal had NOT been signed as of 27 October 2022. In December 2020, the European Commission announced that the agreement was concluded in principle by the leaders of the EU Council, pending ratification by the European Parliament.

In March 2021, it was reported that there would be serious doubts about the approval of the deal in the European Parliament given China's "unacceptable" behavior toward members of the parliament, the European Council's Political and Security Committee, and European think tanks.

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is a free trade agreement between the Asia-Pacific nations of Australia, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam. The 15 member countries account for about 30% of the world's population (2.2 billion people) and 30% of global GDP ($26.2 trillion) as of 2020, making it the biggest trade bloc in historyUnifying the preexisting bilateral agreements between the 10-member ASEAN and five of its major trade partners, the RCEP was signed on 15 November 2020 at a virtual ASEAN Summit hosted by Vietnam, and will take effect 60 days after it has been ratified by at least six ASEAN and three non-ASEAN signatories.

The trade pact, which includes a mix of high-income, middle-income, and low-income countries, was conceived at the 2011 ASEAN Summit in Bali, Indonesia, while its negotiations were formally launched during the 2012 ASEAN Summit in Cambodia. It is expected to eliminate about 90% of the tariffs on imports between its signatories within 20 years of coming into force, and establish common rules for e-commerce, trade, and intellectual property. The unified rules of origin will help facilitate international supply chains and reduce export costs throughout the bloc.

The RCEP is the first free trade agreement between China, Japan, and South Korea, three of the four largest economies in Asia. Several analysts predicted that it would offer significant economic gains for signatory nations, as well as "pull the economic centre of gravity back towards Asia, with China poised to take the lead in writing trade rules for the region", leaving the U.S. behind in economic and political affairs. Reactions from others were neutral or negative, with some analysts saying that the economic gains from the trade deal would be modest. The RCEP has been criticized for ignoring labor, human rights, and environmental sustainability issues.

The new free trade bloc will be bigger than both the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement and the European Union. The combined GDP of potential RCEP members surpassed the combined GDP of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) members in 2007. It was suggested that continued economic growth, particularly in China and Indonesia, could see total GDP in the original RCEP membership grow to over US$100 trillion by 2050, roughly double the project size of TPP economies. On 23 January 2017, UNpresident Idiot-in-Cheat signed a memorandum withdrawing the United States from the TPP, a move which was seen to improve the chances of success for RCEP.

CCP's String of Pearls

2020 China's String of Pearls Strategy | Geopolitics - Globe > .
24-4-12 India | [Modious's] Dying Democracy? - Prof J K-L > .
24-2-17 Taiwan Question & World Order | X Economy - Update > .
23-12-2 Xina’s Real Impact on Africa - Attempted Thought > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-10-21 [Bilk & Raid Imperialism 1: Xina Wants NoXious World Order] - Update > .  
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-10-17 [BRI Scam; Xina Using H-I War; MENA Policy] | Update > .
23-9-16 "Belt & Road to Death" - [XiXiP targeted corrupt governments] - Obs > .
23-9-7 Kidnappings, ghost towns: 10 years of Xi’s BRI masterplan | Tele > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-24 Xina's Nine-Dash Line: [Illegal Claims in South China Sea] - Geoff > .
23-5-12 Pakistan is dying ⇒ global problem - Caspian > .
23-4-26 Why powerful nations want bases in tiny Djibouti - Real > .
23-3-13 Xina ~ Sri Lanka Debt Restructuring - Update > .
23-2-28 Xina & ROC war prep: martial law, nuclear emergency, wartime controls > .
23-2-22 US Bases & Philippine Fight Against Xina - T&P > .
23-2-15 India's Necklace of Diamonds Plan to Checkmate Xina - Caspian > .
23-1-13 US & Japan boost cooperation; Marines ready to counter Xina > .
23-1-11 Xinese Warships Spotted in South Pacific - Focus > .
22-12-28 Too many people? Challenges of demographic change | DW > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-11-2 XiXiPee Said They Wouldn't Do It... THEY LIED! - cfc > .
22-10-20 XiXiPee Congress Day 3 - Update > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-31 Shocking Chinese Mercenary Groups Around the World - T&P > .
22-8-4 What Killed Sri Lanka's Economy? - Patrick Boyle > . skip ad > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-4-27 How China [BRI] is TRAPPING INDIA via Pakistan & Sri Lanka - Think > .
22-3-26 China has “Fully Militarized” the South China Sea - Uncensored > .
22-3-18 "Myth" of the Chinese Debt Trap in Africa - Bloomberg > .
22-1-31 Will Taiwan Spark a US-China Conflict? - Whatifalthist > .
2021 Taiwan vs. China - The rocky road to democracy | DW Doc > .
24-5-23 India and Xina preparing for war? | ABC > .
> Pakistan >>
Redshift - China's Geoeconomic Tactics - anf >> .

CCP's String of Pearls ..


The String of Pearls is a geopolitical hypothesis proposed by United States political researchers in 2004. The term refers to the network of Chinese military and commercial facilities and relationships along its sea lines of communication, which extend from the Chinese mainland to Port Sudan in the Horn of Africa. The sea lines run through several major maritime choke points such as the Strait of Mandeb, the Strait of Malacca, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Lombok Strait as well as other strategic maritime centres in Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, the Maldives, and Somalia.

The term as a geopolitical concept was first used in an internal US Department of Defense report, "Energy Futures in Asia" in 2005. The term is also widely used in India's geopolitical and foreign policy narratives to highlight India's concerns over massive Chinese Belt and Road Initiative projects across southern Asia. According to the EUISS, the formation of Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (consisting of United States, India, Australia and Japan) is a direct result of China's assertive foreign and security policy in the Indo-Pacific region.

The “Belt and Road Initiative” is a Chinese led infrastructure initiative designed to connect Chinese manufacturers and markets with markets across Eurasia. The Initiative is primarily based on the ancient “silk road” which stretched from Italy in the West, to Southern China in the East. The “Belt” element of the project consists of overland routes through what was the original Silk Road and Russia, and the “Road” element, a series of shipping routes through which China and other states can move goods.

Many commentators in India believe the String of Pearls ["Road"] plan, together with the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor and other parts of China's Belt and Road Initiative under Chinese Communist Party general secretary Xi Jinping, is a threat to India's national security. Such a system would encircle India and threaten its power projection, trade, and potentially territorial integrity. Furthermore, China's support for India's traditional enemy of Pakistan and its Gwadar Port is viewed as a threat, compounded by fears that China may develop an overseas naval military base in Gwadar, which could allow China to conduct expeditionary warfare in the Indian Ocean Region. From the east, the deep-water port of Kyaukpyu is also viewed with a similar concern. The first comprehensive academic analyses of Chinese plan and its security implications for New Delhi was undertaken in February 2008 by an active-duty Indian naval officer. Antedating China's anti-piracy naval deployment in the Indian Ocean beginning in December 2008, and the ensuing acquisition of its first overseas military in Djibouti in August 2017, his analysis predicting China's "permanent military presence" in the Indian Ocean is viewed by Indian policymakers as prescient. Accordingly, India has since been making moves of various types to counter the perceived threat.

The emergence of the String of Pearls is indicative of China's growing geopolitical influence through concerted efforts to increase access to ports and airfields, expand and modernise military forces, and foster stronger diplomatic relationships with trading partners. [Predictably] The Chinese government insists that China's burgeoning naval strategy is entirely peaceful and is only for the protection of regional trade interests. Chinese Communist Party general secretaries Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping have both asserted that China will never seek hegemony in foreign relations. A 2013 analysis by The Economist also found the Chinese moves to be commercial in nature. Although it has been claimed that China's actions are creating a security dilemma between China and India in the Indian Ocean, that has been questioned by some analysts, who point to China's fundamental strategic vulnerabilities.

The defence ministry said the aircraft, including nuclear-capable bombers, entered its air defence identification zone (ADIZ) in two waves. Taiwan responded by scrambling its jets and deploying missile systems. China sees democratic Taiwan as a breakaway province, but Taiwan sees itself as a sovereign state. Taiwan has been complaining for more than a year about repeated missions by China's air force near the island.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...