Showing posts with label Africa-21. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Africa-21. Show all posts

Saturday, April 15, 2023

Conflicts 2023

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23-4-18 Why are wars trending longer? - Economist > .
23-4-26 Sudan's conflict explained: [Warlords in] Khartoum - Tele > .
23-4-24 Sudan Crisis 2023 Explained | Military conflict - Amit > .
23-4-23 Wagner Group fuelling conflict in Sudan, to Russia's benefit | Times > .
23-4-20 Ongoing clashes in Sudan leave at least 270 dead | DW > .
Western Security 
X-T 
Africa Answers - STG Series >> .

Sunday, January 1, 2023

Elections 2023

23-1-16 Elections to Watch in 2023 - TLDR > .

Political Resignations 2023 ..

Africa
2023 Nigerian general election, 25 February
Israel 
23-7-25 Israel's Protests Restart: Can Netanyahu Survive?- TLDR Global > .
Italy 
23-11-28 Dutch election: Geert Wilders win - fears of far-right shift in Europe > .
23-6-11 Dutch Government Collapses: What Happens Next? - TLDR EU > .
UK 
4 May: 2023 England local elections w






23-9-6 India's opposition unites to take on PM Modi | DW > .

Thursday, June 16, 2022

Middle East - Powermongering

23-11-10 Qatar Angling to Be World’s Lead Hostage Negotiator | WSJ > .23-8-6 Turkish Strategy & R-U War - Arms, Economics - Perun > . skip > .22-12-17 How Qatar uses the World Cup for nation building - Caspian > .22-12-14 Xi’s Saudi trip & Sino-Arab relations; X-¥ oil vs petrodollar - Lei > .22-11-25 Why Saudi Arabia is Gladly Helping Russia - T&P > .
22-6-30 Wonky Saudi-US relationship - VisPol > .

02:10 The New Generation / Saudi Arabia & UAE
10:44 Sultan in crisis / Turkey
16:35 Iranian Dilemmas / Iran
21:19 Israel and the Syrian Triangle / Israel
23:05 Arab Spring 2.0
26:05 Outro

Why Arabs Lose Wars :: Middle East Quarterly .

Why Arabs Lose Wars > . Why Arabs Can't Fight - The Arab Culture Theory:

The Theory asserts that the poor performance of Arab armies in battle is caused by culturally-regular behavior and patterns of thought among Arab military personnel, particularly junior officers. It focuses on a number of particular traits which sociologists, anthropologists, and political psychologists of the Middle East agree are salient elements of the dominant Arab culture.

  • Promotion of conformity with group norms over innovation and independent thinking.
  • Promotion of a rather extreme deference to authority which discourages initiative among subordinates.
  • Promotion of avoidance at all costs, of shame -- discouraging an individual from accepting responsibility and encouraging the manipulation of information to conceal shameful acts.
  • Promotion of  fierce loyalty to the group which encourages individuals to shield friends and relatives from from shame and reinforces the emphasis on conformity.
  • Regarding manual labor as shameful, and considering technical and scientific work as a form of manual labor.

Arab Culture Theory predicts that these patterns of culturally-regular behavior will produce identical patterns of behavior on the battlefield which are crippling to Arab armies and air forces. These patterns of military ineffectiveness can be boiled down to four pervasive problems:

  • Militaries display severe problems with tactical leadership. Junior officers demonstrate little initiative, creativity, flexibility, or capacity for independent action in combat. Thus ground and air forces appear incapable of fighting maneuver battles or improvising ad hoc operations in the heat of battle.
  • Militaries suffer paralysis due to poor information flows. Junior officers and enlisted personnel regularly dissemble, exaggerate, obfuscate, and lie to conceal mistakes and unpleasant news, no matter how large or small.
  • Military personnel possess very limited technical skills. As a result, armed forces can rarely take full advantage of their weapons and equipment. 
  • Because Arab technicians do not understand how to properly care for sophisticated machinery, militaries have difficulty maintaining their equipment. Few military operators understand the need for constant preventive maintenance. [Rather than addressing the problem, militaries blame the suppliers.]

Tuesday, July 13, 2021

Poverty

Monday, December 16, 2019

23-2-17 Munich Security Conference 23-2-19

23-2-22 Munich Security Conference after R-U Invasion - Geopolitics; Stubb - STG > .
23-2-19 War in Ukraine dominates Munich Security Conference; PRC vs ROC - NBC > .

The 59th Munich Security Conference (MSC 2023) took place from 17 to 19 February 2023 at the Hotel Bayerischer Hof in Munich.

This was dominated by the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian War. Vladimir Putin and his "special military operation" were discussed by most of the speakers but he was not invited and did not attend. The consensus was that the world was tense and fractured as the West also faced confrontation with China and an indifferent global South.

During multiple panel discussions, the Vice President of Colombia Francia Márquez and the Foreign Minister of Brazil Mauro Vieira, concurred in their condemnation of the Russian aggression, but also stated their opposition to a further militarisation of the conflict. Márquez called for a new world order, centering life and not militarisation, while Vieira stated that it is necessary to work step by step towards a negotiated settlement in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict.

The Munich Security Conference (MSC; Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz) is an annual conference on international security policy that has been held in Munich, Bavaria, Germany since 1963. Formerly named the Munich Conference on Security Policy (Münchner Konferenz für Sicherheitspolitik), the motto is: Peace through Dialogue. It is the world's largest gathering of its kind.

Over the past four decades the Munich Security Conference has become the most important independent forum for the exchange of views by international security policy decision-makers. Each year it brings together about 350 senior figures from more than 70 countries around the world to engage in an intensive debate on current and future security challenges. The list of attendees includes heads of states, governments and international organizations, ministers, members of parliament, high-ranking representatives of armed forces, science, civil society, as well as business and media.

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

South Africa's Problems

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23-10-21 Is South Africa on the Brink of Collapse? - Warographics > .23-11-24 Why are South Africans Stealing Traffic Lights? - serpentza > .22-8-11 South Africa: History, Geography, Economy & Culture - Geodiode > .


South Africa, officially the Republic of South Africa (RSA or R.S.A.), is the southernmost country in Africa. It is bounded to the south by 2,798 kilometres (1,739 mi) of coastline that stretches along the South Atlantic and Indian Oceans; to the north by the neighbouring countries of Namibia, Botswana, and Zimbabwe; and to the east and northeast by Mozambique and Eswatini. It also completely enclaves the country Lesotho. It is the southernmost country on the mainland of the Old World, and the second-most populous country located entirely south of the equator, after Tanzania. South Africa is a biodiversity hotspot, with unique biomes, plant and animal life. With over 62 million people, the country is the world's 23rd-most populous nation and covers an area of 1,221,037 square kilometres (471,445 square miles). Pretoria is the administrative capital, while Cape Town, as the seat of Parliament, is the legislative capital. Bloemfontein has traditionally been regarded as the judicial capital. The largest city, and site of highest court is Johannesburg.

About 80% of the population are Black South Africans. The remaining population consists of Africa's largest communities of European (White South Africans), Asian (Indian South Africans and Chinese South Africans), and multiracial (Coloured South Africans) ancestry. South Africa is a multiethnic society encompassing a wide variety of cultures, languages, and religions. Its pluralistic makeup is reflected in the constitution's recognition of 12 official languages, the fourth-highest number in the world. According to the 2011 census, the two most spoken first languages are Zulu (22.7%) and Xhosa (16.0%). The next two are of European origin: Afrikaans (13.5%) developed from Dutch and serves as the first language of most Coloured and White South Africans; English (9.6%) is commonly used in public and commercial life, both reflect the legacy of Dutch and British colonialism, respectively.

Friday, June 5, 2015

Xiocolonialism

23-3-8 Xina Vying For Zimbabwe’s Lithium Industry - CNBC > .
22-12-28 Too many people? Challenges of demographic change | DW > .
22-3-18 "Myth" of the Xinese Debt Trap in Africa - Bloomberg > .

Xiocolonialism ..

Monday, September 22, 2014

Geostrategic Challenges - Europe 2022

22-5-27 Europe Needs Ukraine to Overcome its Strategic Weaknesses - Kamome > .
23-7-31 Iron Curtain to Iron Fist: Viktor Orbán Redefining Hungary - Pers > .
22-12-5 German Development Model: Rise, Merkel, Ru, Crisis, Scholz, Xina - gtbt > .
22-12-2 Austria, Hungary, Serbia, Croatia - Danube & Europe's Future - Kraut > .
22-11-22 Why [the Ruscian Federation] cannot become a democracy - Caspian > .
22-11-22 Energy in Europe: Ukrainian Consequences - PZ > .
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
"Eastern Europe"
> EU >

00:00 Europe's Strategic Weaknesses
00:45 ad
01:54 Europe's Main Geopolitical Weaknesses in Continental Europe
05:00 Eastern Europe strategic value for the EU and Russia
08:39 European Union Interests in the Caucasus
10:16 Europe in the Caucasus
11:01 The Importance of Central Asian Fossil Fuels
15:09 Europe interests in Africa
20:24 Europe in the Arctic
24:58 Europe's 5 main areas of interest

Australia's Maritime Strategy: https://youtu.be/RhN9C4yPALI
Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: https://youtu.be/k1j_B6PiPjU
The Malacca Dilemma: https://youtu.be/PJReTyTbbZ4 .

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Geopolitics of Authoritarianism


Ċold Ŵar 2 





sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...