Thursday, June 16, 2022

Middle East - Powermongering

22-7-17 Why there is no Arab superstate - Caspian > . skip ad > .
24-4-19 Inside the Mossad: Israel's Elite Secret Service | TBN > .
24-4-16 [XIR] Iran's use of [terrorist] proxies to [harm] USA and Israel - Caspian > .
24-3-16 MBZ & UAE - thriving in a dangerous world - Caspian > .
24-3-6 Could the Mossad Have Stopped Iran? | Unpacked > .
24-2-8 Israel: High-Tech Military; Intelligence Failure - Caspian > .
24-2-1 Why [despite weakist antisemitism] US Supports and Funds Israel | WSJ > .
24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .
23-11-10 Qatar Angling to Be World’s Lead Hostage Negotiator | WSJ > .
23-11-5 [XIR] Corrupt, Sanctioned Iran's Military & Power Projection - Perun > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-10-17 [BRI Scam; Xina Using H-I War; MENA Policy] | Update > .
23-10-17 H-I War Israel | Unity & Russian Resistance =/= Hamas (subs) - Katz > .
23-10-16 Xina's Hypocrisy re Hamas Atrocities-Israel's Response - Digging > .
23-10-14 [Nefarious Hybrid XIR "want to destroy America" Plot] - Versed > .
23-9-5 Israel's Everlasting [Internal & External] War - gtbt > .
23-8-11 Saudi Arabia's Challenging Geography - Real > .
23-8-6 Turkish Strategy & R-U War - Arms, Economics - Perun > . skip > .
23-7-25 Why US Troops Fought Wagner Mercenaries in Syria - T&P > .
23-7-22 Saudi Arabia’s Catastrophic “Everything” Problem - Real > .
23-5-11 Turkey Votes. Erdoğan’s Last Dance? - gtbt > . skip > .
23-5-2 Why Iran is Helping Ruscia’s Invasion of Ukraine - Real > .
23-5-1 Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam - Africa - Mega > . skip > .
23-3-13 Iran, Xina, Saudi Arabia - Influence  Wangling - Update > .
23-1-26 Pan-Turkism & Turkey's Ambitions in Central Asia - gtbt > .
22-12-30 [Kurds] Why Turkey is Preparing to Invade Syria (Again) - Real > .
22-12-17 How Qatar uses the World Cup for nation building - Caspian > .
22-12-15 Mahsa Amini protests - Islamic Republic of Iran Fights to Live On - gtbt > .
22-12-14 Xi’s Saudi trip & Sino-Arab relations; X-¥ oil vs petrodollar - Lei > .
22-12-8 Xina seeking Saudi ties - Update > .
22-11-25 Why Saudi Arabia is Gladly Helping Russia - T&P > .
22-11-10 Saudi Arabia rescuing ruscia (infuriating US) - VisPol > . skip > .
22-11-5 Saudi Arabia Cuts Output, Challenges Alliance With US - gtbt > .
22-10-11 Gulf States, "Dutch Disease", Big Dumb Mega Projects | EcEx > .
22-10-9 How Rwanda Plans to become Insanely Rich - Casual Scholar > .
22-6-16 How the Middle East sees the Russo-Ukrainian War - gtbt > .
22-6-30 Wonky Saudi-US relationship - VisPol > .

02:10 The New Generation / Saudi Arabia & UAE
10:44 Sultan in crisis / Turkey
16:35 Iranian Dilemmas / Iran
21:19 Israel and the Syrian Triangle / Israel
23:05 Arab Spring 2.0
26:05 Outro

Why Arabs Lose Wars :: Middle East Quarterly .

Why Arabs Lose Wars > . Why Arabs Can't Fight - The Arab Culture Theory:

The Theory asserts that the poor performance of Arab armies in battle is caused by culturally-regular behavior and patterns of thought among Arab military personnel, particularly junior officers. It focuses on a number of particular traits which sociologists, anthropologists, and political psychologists of the Middle East agree are salient elements of the dominant Arab culture.

  • Promotion of conformity with group norms over innovation and independent thinking.
  • Promotion of a rather extreme deference to authority which discourages initiative among subordinates.
  • Promotion of avoidance at all costs, of shame -- discouraging an individual from accepting responsibility and encouraging the manipulation of information to conceal shameful acts.
  • Promotion of  fierce loyalty to the group which encourages individuals to shield friends and relatives from from shame and reinforces the emphasis on conformity.
  • Regarding manual labor as shameful, and considering technical and scientific work as a form of manual labor.

Arab Culture Theory predicts that these patterns of culturally-regular behavior will produce identical patterns of behavior on the battlefield which are crippling to Arab armies and air forces. These patterns of military ineffectiveness can be boiled down to four pervasive problems:

  • Militaries display severe problems with tactical leadership. Junior officers demonstrate little initiative, creativity, flexibility, or capacity for independent action in combat. Thus ground and air forces appear incapable of fighting maneuver battles or improvising ad hoc operations in the heat of battle.
  • Militaries suffer paralysis due to poor information flows. Junior officers and enlisted personnel regularly dissemble, exaggerate, obfuscate, and lie to conceal mistakes and unpleasant news, no matter how large or small.
  • Military personnel possess very limited technical skills. As a result, armed forces can rarely take full advantage of their weapons and equipment. 
  • Because Arab technicians do not understand how to properly care for sophisticated machinery, militaries have difficulty maintaining their equipment. Few military operators understand the need for constant preventive maintenance. [Rather than addressing the problem, militaries blame the suppliers.]

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igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

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