24-6-6 Egypt is a Ticking Time Bomb - gtbt > . skip > .
24-3-16 MBZ & UAE - thriving in a dangerous world - Caspian > .24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .23-11-10 Qatar Angling to Be World’s Lead Hostage Negotiator | WSJ > .
23-8-6 Turkish Strategy & R-U War - Arms, Economics - Perun > . skip > .
23-5-11 Turkey Votes. Erdoğan’s Last Dance? - gtbt > . skip > .
22-12-17 How Qatar uses the World Cup for nation building - Caspian > .22-12-14 Xi’s Saudi trip & Sino-Arab relations; X-¥ oil vs petrodollar - Lei > .22-12-8 Xina seeking Saudi ties - Update > .
22-11-25 Why Saudi Arabia is Gladly Helping Russia - T&P > .22-6-30 Wonky Saudi-US relationship - VisPol > .
02:10 The New Generation / Saudi Arabia & UAE
10:44 Sultan in crisis / Turkey
16:35 Iranian Dilemmas / Iran
21:19 Israel and the Syrian Triangle / Israel
23:05 Arab Spring 2.0
26:05 Outro
Why Arabs Lose Wars :: Middle East Quarterly .
15-1-5 Why Arabs Lose Wars - Zaytoon > .
10:44 Sultan in crisis / Turkey
16:35 Iranian Dilemmas / Iran
21:19 Israel and the Syrian Triangle / Israel
23:05 Arab Spring 2.0
26:05 Outro
Why Arabs Lose Wars > . Why Arabs Can't Fight - The Arab Culture Theory:
The Theory asserts that the poor performance of Arab armies in battle is caused by culturally-regular behavior and patterns of thought among Arab military personnel, particularly junior officers. It focuses on a number of particular traits which sociologists, anthropologists, and political psychologists of the Middle East agree are salient elements of the dominant Arab culture.
- Promotion of conformity with group norms over innovation and independent thinking.
- Promotion of a rather extreme deference to authority which discourages initiative among subordinates.
- Promotion of avoidance at all costs, of shame -- discouraging an individual from accepting responsibility and encouraging the manipulation of information to conceal shameful acts.
- Promotion of fierce loyalty to the group which encourages individuals to shield friends and relatives from from shame and reinforces the emphasis on conformity.
- Regarding manual labor as shameful, and considering technical and scientific work as a form of manual labor.
Arab Culture Theory predicts that these patterns of culturally-regular behavior will produce identical patterns of behavior on the battlefield which are crippling to Arab armies and air forces. These patterns of military ineffectiveness can be boiled down to four pervasive problems:
- Militaries display severe problems with tactical leadership. Junior officers demonstrate little initiative, creativity, flexibility, or capacity for independent action in combat. Thus ground and air forces appear incapable of fighting maneuver battles or improvising ad hoc operations in the heat of battle.
- Militaries suffer paralysis due to poor information flows. Junior officers and enlisted personnel regularly dissemble, exaggerate, obfuscate, and lie to conceal mistakes and unpleasant news, no matter how large or small.
- Military personnel possess very limited technical skills. As a result, armed forces can rarely take full advantage of their weapons and equipment.
- Because Arab technicians do not understand how to properly care for sophisticated machinery, militaries have difficulty maintaining their equipment. Few military operators understand the need for constant preventive maintenance. [Rather than addressing the problem, militaries blame the suppliers.]
➾ 2022 ..
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