Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts

Saturday, November 2, 2024

SEA vs Imperious Bully 2024

24-2-2 Why America Would Defend The Philippines - Ec Talk > .
24-2-5 East Asia, After America || Peter Zeihan > .
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Sunday, January 1, 2023

Elections 2023

23-1-16 Elections to Watch in 2023 - TLDR > .

Political Resignations 2023 ..

Africa
2023 Nigerian general election, 25 February
Israel 
23-7-25 Israel's Protests Restart: Can Netanyahu Survive?- TLDR Global > .
Italy 
23-11-28 Dutch election: Geert Wilders win - fears of far-right shift in Europe > .
23-6-11 Dutch Government Collapses: What Happens Next? - TLDR EU > .
UK 
4 May: 2023 England local elections w






23-9-6 India's opposition unites to take on PM Modi | DW > .

Thursday, January 13, 2022

Pakistan + Χί ➾ India

23-9-22 75-Yr Conflict India (+USSR) vs Pakistan (+USA) vs Kashmir (+X) - gtbt > .
24-10-27 Pakistan's Oil Discovery Could Impact Global Markets - Caspian > .
24-9-29 India and Xina on verge of teaming up? | ABC Aus > .
24-9-7 [India~Xina Border Disputes: No Direct Flights] - PolyMatters > .
24-5-8 Xina’s Land Grab in Bhutan Threatens India | WSJ > .
24-4-12 India | [Modious's] Dying Democracy? - Prof J K-L > .
23-12-11 India Rising? Xina Reversing? Asian Tigers - gtbt > .
23-10-15 Special Operators - Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) - Waro > .
23-9-30 US vs Xina in Race to Secure Lithium | WSJ > .23-7-15 Why Pakistan's on the Brink of Collapse - T&P > .
Last week, China made two deliveries in India's backyard. The Pakistani Navy received 4 Chinese frigates - while Myanmar's Military Junta acquired a Chinese submarine. Now 3 Indian neighbours have Chinese weapons.

Sunday, December 26, 2021

China-Iran Deal - Geopolitics of Indebtedness

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Iran Military ..

Monday, December 20, 2021

Iran

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Iran: History, Geography, Economy & Culture - Geodiode > .
24-9-4 Iran and Israel's Long and Complicated History | Quillette > .
24-6-21 [Aghanistan Conflicts: Tribalism, Water Conflict, Georivalry] - Real > .
24-6-12 [Raisi, water, Iran, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Ruscia, Turkey] | gtbt > . 
24-5-25 Motive Behind Irans Failed April 14th Aerial Assault on Israel | TBN > .
24-3-5 Alliance Between Venezuela and Iran - IDF > .
24-2-10 Borders: Some Countries Are Nearly Impossible to Escape - Map > .
24-2-8 Israel: High-Tech Military; Intelligence Failure - Caspian > .
24-2-4 Iran would lose a war with the United States | Michael Clarke - Times > .
24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .
23-11-5 [XIR] Corrupt, Sanctioned Iran's Military, Proxies, Power Projection - Perun > .
23-10-17 [BRI Scam; Xina Using H-I War; MENA Policy] | Update > .
23-10-14 [Nefarious Hybrid XIR "want to destroy America" Plot] - Versed > .
23-10-12 Killing Civilians: The New Normal | Wonder Land: WSJ > .
23-10-12 [Israel: Xina's self-serving platitudes; blame-US XiPaganda] - Update > .
23-10-5 Iran's Alarming Water Crisis - Asianometry > .
23-9-14 Iran and Afghanistan headed to war over water? - Caspian > .
23-9-5 Israel's Everlasting [Internal & External] War - gtbt > .
23-7-25 Why US Troops Fought Wagner Mercenaries in Syria - T&P > .
23-7-22 Saudi Arabia’s Catastrophic “Everything” Problem - Real > .
23-7-15 Why Pakistan's on the Brink of Collapse - T&P > .
23-6-3 Iraq, Iran, Syria, Hezbollah - Invasion +20 Years - gtbt > .
23-5-2 Why Iran is Helping Ruscia’s Invasion of Ukraine - Real > .
23-3-13 Iran, Xina, Saudi Arabia - Influence  Wangling - Update > .
23-2-9 Russia, Iran, India Want Persian Corridor 2.0 - gtbt > . skip scam > .
22-12-30 [Kurds] Why Turkey is Preparing to Invade Syria (Again) - Real > .
22-12-15 Mahsa Amini protests - Islamic Republic of Iran Fights to Live On - gtbt > .
22-12-14 Xi’s Saudi trip & Sino-Arab relations; X-¥ oil vs petrodollar - Lei > .
22-8-22 Does Afghanistan have a future? - Caspian Report > .
22-6-22 Oman (ME's Switzerland) - Guarding Gulf, Strait of Hormuz - Explore > .
22-3-17 Why The Middle East Won't Survive Without Oil - OBF > .
22-1-20 Can Biden Renegotiate the Nuclear Agreement with Iran? - VisPol > .

Caucasus ..
China-Iran Deal - Geopolitics of Indebtedness ..
Iran (geography, politics, history) ..
Israel vs Nuclear Iran ..Power of Geography ..
US vs Iran-Backed Militias ..


Iran (also called Persia, and officially the Islamic Republic of Iran, is a country in Western Asia. It is bordered to the northwest by Armenia and Azerbaijan, to the north by the Caspian Sea, to the northeast by Turkmenistan, to the east by Afghanistan, to the southeast by Pakistan, to the south by the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, and to the west by Turkey and Iraq. Iran covers an area of 1,648,195 km2 (636,372 sq mi), with a population of 83 million. It is the second-largest country in the Middle East, and its capital and largest city is Tehran.

The Government of Iran is an Islamic theocracy which includes elements of a presidential democracy, with the ultimate authority vested in an autocratic "Supreme Leader", a position held by Ali Khamenei since Khomeini's death in 1989. The Iranian government is widely considered to be authoritarian, and has attracted widespread criticism for its significant constraints and abuses against human rights and civil liberties, including several violent suppressions of mass protests, unfair elections, and limited rights for women and children.

Iran is a regional and middle power, with a geopolitically strategic location in the Asian continent. It is a founding member of the United Nations, the ECO, the OIC, and the OPEC. It has large reserves of fossil fuels—including the world's second-largest natural gas supply and the fourth-largest proven oil reserves. The country's rich cultural legacy is reflected in part by its 22 UNESCO World Heritage Sites. Historically a multinational state, Iran remains a pluralistic society comprising numerous ethnic, linguistic, and religious groups, the largest being Persians, Azeris, Kurds, Mazandaranis and Lurs.

The early 20th century saw the Persian Constitutional Revolution. Efforts to nationalize its fossil fuel supply from Western companies led to an Anglo-American coup in 1953, which resulted in greater autocratic rule under Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and growing Western political influence. He went on to launch a far-reaching series of reforms in 1963. After the Iranian Revolution, the current Islamic Republic was established in 1979 by Ruhollah Khomeini, who became the country's first Supreme Leader.

The 1979 Revolution, later known as the Islamic Revolution, began in January 1978 with the first major demonstrations against the Shah. After a year of strikes and demonstrations paralyzing the country and its economy, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi fled to the United States, and Ruhollah Khomeini returned from exile to Tehran in February 1979, forming a new government. After holding a referendum, Iran officially became an Islamic republic in April 1979. A second referendum in December 1979 approved a theocratic constitution.

The immediate nationwide uprisings against the new government began with the 1979 Kurdish rebellion and the Khuzestan uprisings, along with the uprisings in Sistan and Baluchestan and other areas. Over the next several years, these uprisings were subdued in a violent manner by the new Islamic government. The new government began purging itself of the non-Islamist political opposition, as well as of those Islamists who were not considered radical enough. Although both nationalists and Marxists had initially joined with Islamists to overthrow the Shah, tens of thousands were executed by the new regime afterwards.[163] Many former ministers and officials in the Shah's government, including former prime minister Amir-Abbas Hoveyda, were executed following Khomeini's order to purge the new government of any remaining officials still loyal to the exiled Shah.

On 4 November 1979, a group of Muslim students seized the United States Embassy and took the embassy with 52 personnel and citizens hostage, after the United States refused to extradite Mohammad Reza Pahlavi to Iran, where his execution was all but assured. Attempts by the Jimmy Carter administration to negotiate for the release of the hostages, and a failed rescue attempt, helped force Carter out of office and brought Ronald Reagan to power. On Jimmy Carter's final day in office, the last hostages were finally set free as a result of the Algiers Accords. Mohammad Reza Pahlavi left the United States for Egypt, where he died of complications from cancer only months later, on 27 July 1980.

The Cultural Revolution began in 1980, with an initial closure of universities for three years, in order to perform an inspection and clean up in the cultural policy of the education and training system.

On 22 September 1980, the Iraqi army invaded the western Iranian province of Khuzestan, launching the Iran–Iraq War. Although the forces of Saddam Hussein made several early advances, by mid 1982, the Iranian forces successfully managed to drive the Iraqi army back into Iraq. In July 1982, with Iraq thrown on the defensive, the regime of Iran took the decision to invade Iraq and conducted countless offensives in a bid to conquer Iraqi territory and capture cities, such as Basra. The war continued until 1988 when the Iraqi army defeated the Iranian forces inside Iraq and pushed the remaining Iranian troops back across the border. Subsequently, Khomeini accepted a truce mediated by the United Nations. The total Iranian casualties in the war were estimated to be 123,220–160,000 KIA, 60,711 MIA, and 11,000–16,000 civilians killed.

Following the Iran–Iraq War, in 1989, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and his administration concentrated on a pragmatic pro-business policy of rebuilding and strengthening the economy without making any dramatic break with the ideology of the revolution. In 1997, Rafsanjani was succeeded by moderate reformist Mohammad Khatami, whose government attempted, unsuccessfully, to make the country more free and democratic.

The 2005 presidential election brought conservative populist candidate, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, to power. By the time of the 2009 Iranian presidential election, the Interior Ministry announced incumbent President Ahmadinejad had won 62.63% of the vote, while Mir-Hossein Mousavi had come in second place with 33.75%. The election results were widely disputed, and resulted in widespread protests, both within Iran and in major cities outside the country, and the creation of the Iranian Green Movement.

Hassan Rouhani was elected as the president on 15 June 2013, defeating Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and four other candidates. The electoral victory of Rouhani relatively improved the relations of Iran with other countries.

The 2017–18 Iranian protests swept across the country against the government and its longtime Supreme Leader in response to the economic and political situation. The scale of protests throughout the country and the number of people participating were significant, and it was formally confirmed that thousands of protesters were arrested. The 2019–20 Iranian protests started on 15 November in Ahvaz, spreading across the country within hours, after the government announced increases in the fuel price of up to 300%. A week-long total Internet shutdown throughout the country marked one of the most severe Internet blackouts in any country, and in the bloodiest governmental crackdown of the protestors in the history of Islamic Republic, tens of thousands were arrested and hundreds were killed within a few days according to multiple international observers, including Amnesty International.

On 3 January 2020, the revolutionary guard's general, Qasem Soleimani, was assassinated by the United States in Iraq, which considerably heightened the existing tensions between the two countries. Three days after, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched a retaliatory attack on US forces in Iraq and by accident shot down Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752, killing 176 civilians and leading to nation-wide protests. An international investigation led to the government admitting to the shootdown of the plane by a surface-to-air missile after three days of denial, calling it a "human error".

Presidential elections were held in Iran on 18 June 2021, the thirteenth since the establishment of the Islamic Republic in 1979. Ebrahim Raisi, the then Chief Justice of Iran, was declared the winner in a highly controversial election. The election began with the mass disqualification of popular candidates by the Guardian Council, and broke records of the lowest turnout in Iranian electoral history (around 49%), as well as had the highest share of protest blank, invalid and lost votes (around 13%) despite a declaration by the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, considering protest voting religiously forbidden (haraam) as it would "weaken the regime." Reporters Without Borders reported 42 cases of journalists being summoned or threatened for writing about candidates, and the chief of the police threatened people who discouraged others to vote.

The Guardian Council announced the approval of seven candidates after the wide disqualification of prominent candidates, including Ali Larijani, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (the former president of Iran), and Eshaq Jahangiri (the Incumbent first Vice President), among others, which provoked many activists and candidates to call for boycotting the election, including Ahmadinejad, who said that he would neither participate nor recognize the election. Hassan Rouhani, the incumbent Iranian president, could not run for re-election under the constitution of Iran as he had already served his maximum two consecutive terms.

Considered a "show election" to elect the handpicked candidate of the Iranian Supreme Leader, the elections were the first in Iranian history in which the invalid ballots (around 3.8 million) outnumbered every non-winning candidate and far outnumbered the votes received by second-placed Mohsen Rezaee. The elections were widely described as "neither free nor fair," a "sham," and a "selection" by different international human rights organizations, such as the Human Rights Watch and the Center for Human Rights in Iran, and others called for an investigation into an election which saw a person accused of crimes against humanity (referring to the 1988 executions of Iranian political prisoners, of which Raisi was a supervisor) becoming the winner.

Iran is home to one of the world's oldest civilizations, beginning with the formation of the Elamite kingdoms in the fourth millennium BCE. It was first unified by the Iranian Medes in the seventh century BCE, and reached its territorial height in the sixth century BCE, when Cyrus the Great founded the Achaemenid Empire, which became one of the largest empires in history and the world's first superpower. The empire fell to Alexander the Great in the fourth century BCE and was divided into several Hellenistic states. An Iranian rebellion established the Parthian Empire in the third century BCE, which was succeeded in the third century CE by the Sasanian Empire, a major world power for the next four centuries. Arab Muslims conquered the empire in the seventh century CE, which led to the Islamization of Iran. It subsequently becoming a major center of Islamic culture and learning, with its art, literature, philosophy, and architecture spreading across the Muslim world and beyond during the Islamic Golden Age. Over the next two centuries, a series of native Muslim dynasties emerged before the Seljuq Turks and the Mongols conquered the region. In the 15th century, the native Safavids re-established a unified Iranian state and national identity and converted the country to Shia Islam. Under the reign of Nader Shah in the 18th century, Iran once again became a major world power, though by the 19th century a series of conflicts with Russia led to significant territorial losses. 

80-9-22 Iran-Iraq War 80-8-20

1980-9-22 Start of the Iran-Iraq 8-Year War - HiPo > .
24-3-6 Could the Mossad Have Stopped Iran? | Unpacked > .
24-1-26 Saudi Arabia's Catastrophic "Iran" Problem - Hindsight > .
23-11-5 [XIR] Corrupt, Sanctioned Iran's Military, Proxies, Power Projection - Perun > .

Having become President of Iraq in 1979, Saddam Hussein was keen to consolidate the power of his minority Sunni Muslim Ba’ath government. At almost exactly the same time, Ayatollah Khomeini came to power in Iran in a revolution that overthrew the Shah. Khomeini installed a Shi’ite Muslim theocracy in Iraq’s neighbour and called for the overthrow of Saddam’s regime. This was met with enormous hostility in Iraq, especially after Shi’ite militants assassinated 20 Ba’ath Party officials in April 1980.

Iraq also wanted to push Iran back from the Shatt Al-Arab waterway in order to secure its own oil exports. If the army was successful, Iraq could even increase its own oil reserves by capturing some of Iran’s oil fields.

Iran was poorly prepared for war as its army had recently been purged of officers and soldiers loyal to the former Shah. Furthermore, the country’s economy was in tatters as a result of western countries boycotting trade due to the ongoing hostage crisis at the American Embassy. At first Saddam consequently dubbed the Iran-Iraq War the ‘Whirlwind War’ in which he expected Iran to be defeated relatively swiftly.

Despite Saddam’s expectations of a quick and easy victory, however, Iran mobilised its revolutionary population and soon the front lines were filled with enthusiastic volunteers who pushed the Iraqis back to their own border. The war persisted for nearly eight long and bloody years, leading to the deaths of an estimated half a million soldiers and the same number of civilians.

The Iran–Iraq War was a protracted armed conflict that began on 22 September 1980 with a full-scale invasion of Iran by neighbouring Iraq. The war lasted for almost eight years, and ended in a stalemate on 20 August 1988, when Iran accepted Resolution 598 of the United Nations Security Council. Iraq's primary rationale for the invasion was to cripple Iran and prevent Ruhollah Khomeini from exporting the 1979 Iranian Revolution movement to Shia-majority Iraq and internally exploit religious tensions that would threaten the Sunni-dominated Ba'athist leadership. Iraq also wished to replace Iran as the dominant state in the Persian Gulf, which, prior to the Iranian Revolution, was not seen as an achievable objective by the Iraqi leadership due to pre-revolutionary Iran's colossal economic and military power as well as its close alliances with the United States, a superpower, and Israel, a major player in the Middle East. The war followed a long-running history of bilateral border disputes between the two states, as a result of which Iraq planned to retake the eastern bank of the Shatt al-Arab ceded in 1975. Iraq supported Khuzestan Arab separatists seeking an Arab state known as "Arabistan" who had started an insurgency in 1979 with support from Iraq. Saddam Hussein in November 1980 publicly stated that Iraq did not intend to annex Khuzestan Province; rather, it is believed that Iraq sought to establish a suzerainty over the territory.

While the Iraqi leadership had hoped to take advantage of Iran's post-revolutionary chaos and expected a decisive victory in the face of a severely weakened Iran, the Iraqi military only made progress for three months, and by December 1980, the Iraqi invasion of Iran had stalled. As fierce fighting broke out between the two sides, the Iranian military began to gain momentum against the Iraqis and regained virtually all of its lost territory by June 1982. After pushing Iraqi forces back to the pre-war border lines, Iran invaded Iraq and went on the offensive for the next five years until the latter took back the initiative in mid-1988 and launched a series of major counter-offensives that ultimately led to the conclusion of the war in a stalemate. There were a number of proxy forces operating for both countries—most notably the People's Mujahedin of Iran, which had sided with Iraq, and the Iraqi Kurdish militias of the KDP and PUK, which had sided with Iran. The United States, United Kingdom, Soviet Union, France, and most Arab countries provided an abundance of financial, political and logistical support for Iraq. While Iran was comparatively isolated to a large degree, it received various forms of support, with its most notable sources of aid being Syria, Libya, China, North Korea, Israel and Pakistan.

The eight years of war-exhaustion, economic devastation, decreased morale, military stalemate, inaction by the international community towards the use of weapons of mass destruction by Iraqi forces on Iranian civilians as well as increasing U.S.–Iran military tensions all culminated in Iran's acceptance of a ceasefire brokered by the United Nations.

The conflict has been compared to WW1 in terms of the tactics used, including large-scale trench warfare with barbed wire stretched across fortified defensive lines, manned machine gun posts, bayonet charges, Iranian human wave attacks, extensive use of chemical weapons by Iraq, and deliberate attacks on civilian targets. A notable feature of the war was the state-sanctioned glorification of martyrdom to Iranian children, which had been developed in the years before the revolution. The discourses on martyrdom formulated in the Iranian Shia Islamic context led to the tactics of "human wave attacks" and thus had a lasting impact on the dynamics of the war.

In total, around 500,000 people were killed during the war (with Iran bearing the larger share of the casualties), excluding the tens of thousands of civilians killed in the concurrent Anfal campaign targeting Kurds in Iraq. The end of the war resulted in neither reparations nor border changes.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...