Neue Ostpolitik (German for "new eastern policy"), or
Ostpolitik (German:
[ˈɔstpoliˌtiːk] 🔉) for short, was the normalization of relations between the
Federal Republic of Germany (FRG, or West Germany) and
Eastern Europe, particularly the
German Democratic Republic (GDR, or East Germany) beginning in 1969. Influenced by
Egon Bahr, who proposed "change through
rapprochement" in a 1963 speech at the
Evangelische Akademie Tutzing, the policies were implemented beginning with
Willy Brandt, fourth
Chancellor of the FRG from 1969 to 1974, and winner of the 1971
Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to place this policy at the acme of the FRG.
Ostpolitik was an effort to break with the policies of the
Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which was the elected government of West Germany from 1949 until 1969. The Christian Democrats under
Konrad Adenauer and his successors tried to
combat the Communist government of East Germany, while Brandt's Social Democrats tried to achieve a certain degree of
cooperation with East Germany.
The term Ostpolitik has since been applied to
Pope Paul VI's efforts to engage Eastern European countries during the same period. The term
Nordpolitik was also coined to describe similar rapprochement policies between
North and
South Korea beginning in the 1980s.
Wandel durch Handel (WdH, German for "Change through trade"), also known as
Wandel durch Annäherung ("Change through
Rapprochement"
), is a political and economic notion, mostly associated with
German foreign policy, of increasing trade with
authoritarian regimes in an effort to induce
political change. Although most strongly associated with
Germany, similar policies have been pursued by several
Western countries.
After being a central tenet in German, and
European Union, politics since the
1970s, the policy came under intense scrutiny following the 2022
Russian invasion of Ukraine. In April 2022, European Commissioner for Economy
Paolo Gentiloni stated that "[t]he notion of 'Wandel durch Handel', of bringing about change through trade, has shown its limitations", saying that "[w]e need to rethink our relations with
autocratic regimes and strengthen our ties with like-minded partners". Similarly, European Trade Commissioner
Valdis Dombrovskis stated four days into the Russian invasion that "[t]he weaponization of trade shows no signs of abating. We have no choice but to face up to this reality, and adapt".
: "Ostpolitik" vol. 2 didn't go as planned due to a fundamental misunderstanding of the Merkel government about that policy. Ostpolitik was not just "soft" trade policy and "Handel durch Wandel". It required a massive military deterrence that at the time of Willy Brandt was backed up by substantial (international) troop numbers standing on German soil. It was an offer to the GDR and SU in kindness, not weakness. It very well might have prevented the cold war from turning hot in central Europe. Brandt did not expect the SU to change just by trading with them, and for his government the influence he could have on GDR (let alone SU) policies was limited. The highly ideological approach by the Merkel government expected some kind of free market magic to happen in Russia which they still confused with the SU. They (to be frank: we all) did not listen to the complaints and fears of Eastern European countries. The most important blunder was the incompentence of the European governments to show their willingness to go all the way to fuck-you-town over the sovereignty of Ukraine. Putin thought the West was too weak for a monolithic response - of course, that's also one of the many mistakes on his side. But our determination was way too subtle for the Russian system to be heard.
: I think the idea of “trade dependency = peace” works fairly well for democracies, but not dictatorships. Dictatorships have little to no checks and balances, and the people in dictatorships aren’t “citizens to be served,” but pawns to be used by the dictator, with the countries main goal being to serve the dictator’s ego. A dictator won’t care that their decisions will cause hardships for their own citizens or others, and they are used to silencing and repressing any overt complaints by threat, censorship and propaganda.