Monday, October 10, 2022

Escalating Loser

22-10-10 Ruscian Nuclear Attack. How Would the West Respond? - gtbt > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-19 [R-U & NoXious XIR Axis behind Hamas atrocities] - DiD > .
23-9-15 Ordered Mobilized | P00ti's Ruscian Subclasses (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-30 Fear is the new normal in Russian politics - Anders > .
23-8-29 Dictatorships: From Spin to Fear | Ruscist Regression (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-15 Oppenheimer's nuclear warnings more relevant than ever - Caspian > .
23-8-2 Single-Industry Towns' Armies | [Factory to Fodder] (subs) - Katz > .
23-7-2 Is Vladimir P00tin’s power coming to an end? | 60 Min Aus > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-5-8 P00ti Fragmented Military: Internal Rivalries, Mismanagement - Spaniel > .
23-3-5 Wagner Group, Russian PMCs & Ukraine - Hx, R-U - Perun > .
23-3-1 [Seven Losses of P00tin: How to Fail Ztupidly as Dicktator - Matters > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
23-2-5 Scary Stalinism vs Pathetic Pootinism [electioneering] (subs) - Katz > .
23-1-30 Offensive Pooti's Doomed Orcine Escalation (subs) - Katz > . 
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-19 Kremlin's Bizarre Ideological Mission for 2023 - Vlad > .
22-12-16 3 reasons why Pootin started the ztupid war (subs) - Katz > .
22-12-10 2nd wave of mobilization | cannon meat for 2023 (subs) - Katz > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-22 Can Ruscia's [Press Gang] Mobilization Make a Difference? - T&P > .
22-11-11 Economics of Kamikaze Drones - nwyt > . skip > .
22-10-31 The KGB is not dead, it simply has a new name...(FSB) - Enforcer Matt > .
22-10-27 Pooti's [Desperate] Iranian Drones | Peter Zeihan, Ben Hodges > .
22-10-24 How a Russian Nuclear Strike Could Play Out | WSJ > .
22-10-23 Krumblin Ravings About Total War - Vlad > .
22-10-22 War With Ukraine is Coming Home to Ruscian Mobiki - VICE > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-20 The Russian war narrative after mobilization - Anders > .
22-10-20 Iranian Drones and Ruscian Desperation - Zeihan > .
22-10-16 The most pointless war of the century (subs) - Katz > .
22-10-15 Zaporozhye Counteroffensive? The Belarus Threat [Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-10-14 Will We Know if Ruscia is About to Use Nuclear Weapons? - CoCa > .
22-10-13 UKRAINE is winning the WAR - VisPol > .
22-10-10 Krumblin Dynamics Behind Barbaric Bombings - Vlad Vexler > .

“Mobik” [мобик] is a Ukrainian portmanteaux term for a Ruscian conscript invader. It combines “mobilized” + “vatnik”. A vatnik [ватник] is a poor, uneducated person who has been zombified by stupefying Ruscist propaganda.
at No comments:
Labels: , , , ,

Saturday, October 8, 2022

Kerch Bridge Joins Moskva

22-10-8 Crimean bridge is blown | Pootin is humiliated once again (subs) - Katz > .
24-1-26 Battle for Crimea: RuM Bases on Fire, Planes Crashing, Ships Sinking - U24 > .
23-9-10 Battle for Black Sea. R-U: Geopolitics, Grain, Naval Drones > .
23-8-16 Ukr releases video of 23-7-17 Sea Baby attack on Crimean bridge > .
23-7-12 Logistics. Ruscia's Fragility in Zaporizhia [Mapped] - gtbt > .
23-1-6 New SatIm - Crimean Bridge Repairs – Ongoing,  Almost Complete - S > .
23-1-6 Russia [pointlessly] Attacks Karantynny Ostrov Bridge (nr Kherson) - S > .
22-11-22 Where Will Ukraine Strike Next? 3 Main Options for Kyiv - Spaniel > .
22-11-3 Attack on the Kerch Bridge - Kharkiv Front - Ruscian Invasion - K&A > .
22-10-12 How is the war going? — Mid-October 2022 - Anders > .
22-10-10 Crimea Bridge Explosion Analyzed | WSJ > .
22-10-9 Long road of defeats | Crimea Bridge — yet another failure (subs) - Katz > .

23-7-16 At approximately 20:24 EST, reports began to emerge of at least two explosions in the sky over Kerch, Crimea. At 21:04 EST, locals began to report on social media that a general alarm had sounded for all civilians to clear the bridge and evacuate the area. At 21:25 EST, Republic of Crimea Head Aksyonov confirmed the bridge had been shut down and law enforcement agencies were on scene. Although no fire was reported, he did announce that a partial bridge collapse had occurred around the 145th support beam. By 2140 EST, local media reported that at least two had been killed in the collapse. 
multi-kilometer traffic jam ⍗

other bridges 
23-4-19 Huge Blast as a Bridge in Marinka is Remote Detonated - Such > .


Comment: Doubts have been cast on the truck bomb scenario by some structural engineers. They point out that a bomb that explodes on the road bed shouldn't drop the span in two separate places. Another issue is that the asphalt and painted lines are not bubbled or scorched as one might expect from a surface blast. They feel that explosives placed beneath the bridge is much more likely.
at No comments:
Labels: , , ,

More Careless Smoking

22-10-8 KERCH BRIDGE BURNING AND DESTROYED! (#227) - Enforcer > .
at No comments:
Labels: , ,

Saturday, October 1, 2022

Desperate Farce

22-10-1 Why [maniacal Poooti's] Land Grab Threatens the World - Vlad Vexler > .
23-9-15 Ordered Mobilized | P00ti's Ruscian Subclasses (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-30 Fear is the new normal in Russian politics - Anders > .
23-8-29 Dictatorships: From Spin to Fear | Ruscist Regression (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-2 Single-Industry Towns' Armies | [Factory to Fodder] (subs) - Katz > .
23-7-2 Is Vladimir P00tin’s power coming to an end? | 60 Min Aus > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-3-15 Timothy Snyder on reasons for ICC "WAR CRIMES" decision > .
23-3-5 Wagner Group, Russian PMCs & Ukraine - Hx, R-U - Perun > .
23-3-1 [Seven Losses of P00tin: How to Fail Ztupidly as Dicktator - Matters > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
23-2-5 Scary Stalinism vs Pathetic Pootinism [electioneering] (subs) - Katz > .
23-1-30 Offensive Pooti's Doomed Orcine Escalation (subs) - Katz > . 
23-1-19 Kremlin's Bizarre Ideological Mission for 2023 - Vlad > .
22-12-16 3 reasons why Pootin started the ztupid war (subs) - Katz > .
22-12-10 2nd wave of mobilization | cannon meat for 2023 (subs) - Katz > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-22 Where Will Ukraine Strike Next? 3 Main Options for Kyiv - Spaniel > .
22-11-22 Can Ruscia's [Press Gang] Mobilization Make a Difference? - T&P > .
22-11-11 Economics of Kamikaze Drones - nwyt > . skip > .
22-10-31 The KGB is not dead, it simply has a new name...(FSB) - Enforcer Matt > .
22-10-27 Pooti's [Desperate] Iranian Drones | Peter Zeihan, Ben Hodges > .
22-10-24 How a Russian Nuclear Strike Could Play Out | WSJ > .
22-10-22 War With Ukraine is Coming Home to Ruscian Mobiki - VICE > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-20 The Russian war narrative after mobilization - Anders > .
22-10-20 Ukraine Continues Attacking - Russian Invasion DOC - K&G > .
22-10-16 Nuclear threats from Ruscia (subs) - hromadske > .
22-10-15 [Press Gang] Mobilization | Pooti & cannon meat (subs) - Katz > .
22-10-6 Here's How Pootin [Tries to Strike] Back - My Take > .
22-10-4 Pootin’s war: short, medium & long term? – Alex Stubb > .
22-10-4 Melt down | Prigozhin & Kadyrov curse Russian army (subs) - Katz > .
22-10-3 MADness: RUSCIA | A Very Real Nuclear Threat? - J K-L > .



Comment on Ruscian madness: 
As a former nuclear operations commander, I have a lot to say about this. 

Firstly, we (USA) have a treaty in place within which we inspect each other's nuclear weapons. That not only provides a technical understanding of each other's nuclear capabilities, but also the competency of their procedures and crew force. Like ourselves, there are safeguards in place to restrict the usage of a nuclear weapon without the full agreement of the civilian leadership. I word it that way deliberately. Nuclear operations is specifically unautomated throughout the entire command structure. There are human beings at every level (including the top) to ensure the order is both lawful and correct. The system will not allow any singular individual to give the command to launch a nuclear weapon. 

This doesn't mean a launch is impossible, but the situation needs to fit parameters lined out in doctrine and agreed upon by individuals at all levels. How this applies for a "tactical" nuclear weapon is difficult to say as Russia is essentially unique with that type of platform, but the standards for officers in this career path are well beyond the regular force. I'm also of the mind that any nuclear weapon, no matter how small the yield, is strategic in nature. I'm certain my Russian counterparts would have similar views. 

As you've partly discussed, there are myriad ways to dissuade a country from a nuclear strike. There are also a plethora of options for responding, most without escalation. I'm not privy to, nor would I be able to discuss if I were, the pathways developed by the wargamers for such a scenario. But US intel and responses so far have been competent and thorough and I personally trust their judgement to make smart decisions. 

There are going to be moments during the course of this war that will give the general public pause and there will be rhetoric utilized to inspire panic. These are intentional. Public opinion is a powerful force, both in a democracy and otherwise. I would suggest viewing these statements through this prism.

0:00 Introduction and Titles to "RUSSIA | A Very Real Nuclear Threat?"
00:39 Russia, Ukraine and the Nuclear Threat
01:48 The Origins of Nuclear Weapons
02:43 The Development and Spread of Nuclear Weapons
03:35 Efforts to Limit Nuclear Weapons
04:55 Why Russia May Really Consider A Nuclear Strike
06:57 A Nuclear Strike as a De-Escalation Strategy?
08:27 Western Responses to a Russian Nuclear Strike
10:20 International Reactions to a Strike

“Mobik” [мобик] is a Ukrainian portmanteaux term for a Ruscian conscript invader. It combines “mobilized” + “vatnik”. A vatnik [ватник] is a poor, uneducated person who has been zombified by stupefying Ruscist propaganda.
at No comments:
Labels: , ,

Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Next Ukrainian Offensive?

22-9-28 Next Ukrainian offensive? - Binkov > .
22-12-13 Spotlight on Ukraine - Ben Hodges - geonow > .
22-12-3 How Ukraine Liberated Kherson - Ruscian Invasion - K&G > .
22-11-23 Kherson Retreat & Winter Prospects [War Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-11-22 Where Will Ukraine Strike Next? 3 Main Options for Kyiv - Spaniel > .
22-11-3 Kharkiv, Kherson, Kerch Bridge - Ruscian Invasion - K&A > .
22-10-20 Ukraine Continues Attacking - Russian Invasion DOC - K&G > .
22-10-15 Zaporozhye Counteroffensive? The Belarus Threat [Mapped] - gtbt > .
22-10-13 Ukraine Surprising World By Pushing Ruscian Navy Back - Sutton > .
22-10-13 How UKRAINE is winning the WAR - VisPol > .

00:01:40 — What Am I Covering?
00:03:14 — LTG Ben Hodges (Ret.)
00:04:16 — Ukraine Pre-February
00:05:29 — Wartime Evolution
00:07:28 — Force '23 - Ukraine's Military Objectives
00:08:37 — The Force Requirement
00:09:37 — Manpower vs Metal
00:10:46 — Interview pt.I: Ukrn Force Generation
00:11:34 — Interview pt.I: Answer
00:13:23 — Can It Be Done?
00:14:02 — Heavy Weapons
00:14:10 — Warsaw Standard
00:15:47 — Interview pt.II: Equipment
00:16:16 — Interview pt.II: Answer
00:18:51 — Nato Armour?
00:20:56 — Interview pt.III - Nato Armour?
00:21:20 — Interview pt.III - Answer
00:22:33 — Maintenance and Sustainment
00:23:33 — Russia's Own Advantages
00:24:28 — Interview pt.IV: Overcoming Maintenance and Sustainment Challenges
00:24:59 — Interview pt.IV: Answer
00:29:36 — Long Range Capabilities
00:32:12 — Munition & Shell Crisis
00:33:11 — Sustaining the Soviet(+) Systems
00:35:12 — Unconventional Sources
00:35:54 — Iran's Contribution?
00:37:20 — Nato Standard in Quantity
00:38:51 — Feeding The Guns
00:39:32 — Interview pt.V: Feeding The Guns
00:40:16 — Interview pt.V: Answer
00:44:02 — Case Study: US Industry Response
00:45:54 — Case Study: US Ammo Production
00:47:40 — Is Production up to the Task?
00:49:48 — Interview pt.VI: Is the West capable of sustaining Ukraine?
00:50:22 — Interview pt.VI: Answer
00:51:36 — The Force Generation Race
00:52:03 — What About the Russian Effort?
00:52:46 — Interview pt.VII: Russian and Ukrainian Mobilisation Assessment
00:53:10 — Interview pt.VII: Answer
00:54:17 — What About The Russian Effort? - Cont.
00:55:02 — Interview pt.VIII: Likely Failure Point for the Russian Military?
00:55:33 — Interview pt.VIII: Answer
00:59:57 — Who wins the Force Generation Race?
01:00:54 — Interview pt.IX: Final Reflections and Predictions
01:01:21 — Interview pt.IX: Answer
01:04:28 — Conclusions
at No comments:
Labels: , ,
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

  • >>>
    >>> Economic >  >>> Geopolitics > >>> Military > >>> Resources > > >> Sociopoli...
  • >>□□ ⧫⧫ ●γ
    >> playlists >>  » >> pages □□ »□ ⧫⧫ section indexes ⧫⧫ ⧫⧫ & ⧫ alphabetic index  ⧫⧫ & ⧫ ● Geographic Entities   ...
  • > > Video Topics > >
    >   > Alliances >  > >  > Authoritarianism >  > > > Civil Wars > > >  > Ċold Ŵar 2 Geopolitics ...