Saturday, August 19, 2023

Counteroffensive - Контрнаступ (early)

23-8-24 Issues with the Ukrainian Offensive - R-U - K&G > .23-8-9 When will AFU deploy rest of best-equipped armored brigades? - F > .
23-8-3 R-U War - 1st Conclusions from 2022; New Challenges 2023 - ÖstB > .
23-7-28 Bridge Warfare: 2nd on Crimean Bridge; Infrastructure in War - U24 > .
23-7-28 Ukrainian Offensive | Scale Less Than Billing (subs) - Katz > .
23-7-12 Logistics. Ruscia's Fragility in Zaporizhia [Mapped] - gtbt > .
23-7-11 How is the war going? — Mid July 2023 - Anders > .
23-7-11 Why US is (finally!) sending cluster munitions to Ukraine - Forces > .
23-7-10 Why Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Is Moving Slowly | WSJ > .
23-6-30 Fog of War & AFU Counteroffensive: Three Interpretations - Spaniel > .
23-6-30 Z-bloggers claim "6 AFU brigades" attacking on Eastern front - M&H > .
23-6-27 Ukrainian Counteroffensive Begins - K&G > .
23-6-25 Ukrainian Forces Landed across Dnipro | Ruzzians run - Denys > .
23-6-11 Ukraine's Offensive | Swapped Roles, New Disposition (subs) - Katz > .
23-6-10 SatIm: U's Counteroffensive vs R's Defensive Fortifications - Such > .Helm's Deep 2 - Bjørn Medved >> .
Preparation
Conduct 
   Initial > (combat assault) phase
   Breakthrough phase
Exploitation 
Stability 

23-6-11 Think Ukraine’s Offensive Has Started? Wait for the Heavy Brigades by Ben Hodges . "Some have dated the start of this campaign to June 4, two days before Russia’s sabotage of the Kakhovka Dam on the Dnipro River on June 6. That was likely the moment when General Valerii Zaluzhny, the UAF commander-in-chief, decided — in my view — that his three preconditions had been met and that he could therefore give the green light. He would have asked:
  • Is there enough combat power (armored brigades with tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, engineers, artillery, air defense and logistics) to be able to penetrate the Russian linear defenses and achieve their assigned tasks, which probably includes cutting the “land bridge” from Russia to Crimea, and also securing the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant?;
  • Have Russian defenses and logistics been sufficiently degraded; has the Russian rear area and transportation network been adequately disrupted; and are the Russian leadership confused enough as to the aim and timings of the UAF offensive?; and
  • Is the ground dry enough to support the movement of hundreds of heavy, tracked, armored vehicles?"

Tuesday, August 8, 2023

Eastern Front 2023

23-8-10 Donbas is MAFIA HELL: Underbelly of Russian Propaganda - Global M > .23-3-5 Ruscians Suffer Brutal Defeat Near Avdiivka | Reporting > .23-2-7 Stalemate, Setup, Counter-Counterattack? Weird R-U Winter - WS > .
23-1-6 Pressure on Kreminna. Bakhmut Epicentre - gtbt > .
23-1-31 Next Ukrainian Counteroffensive Operation - Reporting > .
23-1-20 Wagner mercenary group = ‘transnational criminal organization’ > .
Бахмутська відьма - героям слава ..

Northern Front 2023

.
22-10-15 The Belarus Threat; Zaporozhye Counteroffensive? - gtbt > .
23-9-10 Could Belarus Be P00’s Consolation Prize? - VisPol > .
23-8-13 Belarus - Independent vs Vassal - Luka, P00, Prigozhin - J K-L > .
23-5-22 Белгород Incursions Begin ..
23-6-4 Freedom for Belarus tied to Freedom for Ukraine - Perspective > .
23-4-29 Russia's Insane Plan to Backstab Belarus - Icarus > .
23-3-5 Bakhmut Crisis, Orcine Vuhledar Disaster - R-U | K&G > .
23-2-23 Ruscian Attack Plan? - K&G > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
23-2-13 Might Lukashenko Accede to Pooti's Threats? - Denys > .
23-2-5 22-12-16 Fronts, Attrition, Weapon Packages 23-1-15 - K&G > .
23-2-4 Belarus Situation - gtbt > .
23-1-13 Pooti's Wildcard: Will Belarus Invade Ukraine? - Warographics > .
23-1-14 Orcs could attack from Belarus: border remains tense - UATV > .

Fortifications are being constructed at the border with Belarus in the Rivne region .

   Air Front ..
   Eastern Front 2023 ..
   Northern Front 2023 ..
   Western Front 2023 ..

➾ 2022 .. 
Orcine Failure in Kyiv ..

Southern Front 2023

23-9-21 AFU Slams Crimean Bases in Largest Drone Strike of R-U War - RfU > .
23-8-27 Ukraine's Impressive Push Through Mine-Field Barrier - Matters > .23-8-13 AFU Reach the Surovikin Line - R-U War - K&G > .
23-8-9 AFU's Landing at Kozachi Laheri: R Major Tomov Missing - Such > .
23-8-9 AFU Boats crossed Dnipro | 250K Orcine Casualties | Artur > .
23-8-8 AFU Crosses Over the Dnipro at Kozachi Laheri? - Such > .23-6-10 Orcs Run for their Lives. Defense Collapses! | Reporting > .
Black Sea Front 
Crimea
23-2-22 Why is Crimea so important to P00ti? - IWM > .
Kakhovka Dam 
23-3-1 Ruscia's Big Dam Risk. Running out of Soldiers? - Spaniel > .
23-2-5 22-12-16 Fronts, Attrition, Weapon Packages 23-1-15 - K&G > .
23-1-21 Orcine "Grand Offensive Goes Terribly Wrong" | Reporting > .
>> R-U Fronts >>>
   Air Front ..
   Southern Front 2023 ..
   Western Front 2023 ..

Western Front 2023

Ukraine's currently peaceful western and southwestern borders - Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Moldova, Transnistria (Приднестровье, Pridnestrov'ya)
Baltics 
24-5-15 Lithuania, Latvia, & Estonia Cooperate On Defence & Security - Lithuania > .
Lithuania's Military & Defense - Lithuania Explained >> .
Belarus 
Estonia 
Hungary 
Latvia 
Lithuania 
23-10-28 Poland's military dream: A tank too far? - Geo Perspective > .
23-8-31 Poland: powerhouse in the making - Caspian > .
> Poland >> ~Ukraine
23-10-6 Poland-Ukraine Grain Dispute; US Role - gtbt > . skip > .
Romania, Moldova 
finēs - pro libertate >> .

   Air Front ..
   Western Front 2023 ..

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...