The formal U.S. Department of Defense review of the AUKUS pact is still ongoing, despite some news reports claiming the deal is secure. The review, initiated in June, focuses on concerns that fulfilling AUKUS commitments, particularly the sale of U.S. Virginia-class submarines to Australia, could strain U.S. production lines and diminish the U.S. own submarine fleet. The results are not yet public, and any potential outcomes could involve adjustments to timelines or cost-sharing rather than a complete cancellation of the pact.
Review and potential impact
Ongoing review: A U.S. Department of War official has stated the AUKUS initiative remains under review, and no updates are available at this time, despite earlier reports suggesting a conclusion before Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's visit to the White House.
Focus of the review: The review, initiated by a former administration official, focuses on the ability of U.S. production lines to deliver submarines to Australia by 2032 and the potential impact on the U.S. fleet size.
Australia's confidence: Australia has expressed confidence in the deal and has been involved in the review process, making new defense spending commitments as the review continues.
Potential outcomes: While a full cancellation is considered unlikely, a possible outcome could be a change in delivery timelines or a renegotiation of cost-sharing arrangements.
Impact on Australia: The ongoing uncertainty forces Australia to seriously consider alternative options for submarines, as its current fleet will become outdated, potentially leading to a gap in submarine capability.
China is building what is believed to be the world’s biggest military command center on the outskirts of Beijing. The new site for the PLA is ten times the size of the Pentagon with satellite images revealing deep underground networks believed to contain bunkers. This new base could reshape the global security landscape as China hopes to modernize its military like the U.S., NATO countries and Russia.
As tensions escalate in the Indo-Pacific between the United States and China, particularly over Taiwan, the U.S. military is reviving WW2-era bases in the Western Pacific to counter China's growing military capabilities. These 80- to 85-year-old bases, from Tinian to Peleliu, are being modernized to support the U.S. Air Force’s Agile Combat Employment (ACE) strategy, a cornerstone of its Pacific defense plan.
In addition to revitalizing Pacific bases, the US has expanded its presence in the Philippines under the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement or EDCA, increasing the total from 5 to 9. These sites are Naval Base Camilo Oius, Lo airport, Camp Melor, Dela Cruz, and Balabak Island.