22-10-10 'Quiet quitting' long underway in Xina - CNBC I > .22-9-22 "Let it Rot" - Xina's Youth are Giving Up on Life - serpentza > .
Friday, August 8, 2014
Unemployment with Xinese Characteristics
22-10-10 'Quiet quitting' long underway in Xina - CNBC I > .22-9-22 "Let it Rot" - Xina's Youth are Giving Up on Life - serpentza > .
Wednesday, August 6, 2014
Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion
23-8-7 Germany's Gamble: Why Ostpolitik P00ti Policy Backfired - Spaniel > .
States increasingly “weaponize interdependence” by leveraging global networks of informational and financial exchange for strategic advantage. The theoretical literature on network topography posits that standard models predict that many networks grow asymmetrically --- resulting in the greater connectivity of some nodes. The standard model nicely describes several key global economic networks, centering on the United States and a few other states. Highly asymmetric networks allow weaponized structural advantages for coercive ends.to states that enjoy (1) effective jurisdiction over the central economic nodes and (2) appropriate domestic institutions and norms. In particular, two mechanisms operate. Firstly, states can employ the “panopticon effect” to gather strategically valuable information. Secondly, they can employ the “chokepoint effect” to deny network access to adversaries.
Weaponized Interdependence: How Global Economic Networks Shape State Coercion .
The uses and abuses of weaponized interdependence in 2021: Some thoughts about economic statecraft over the next year or so (WaPo)To the extent that weaponized interdependence has manifested, the United States has been the hegemonic coercer. Paradoxically, the concept is attracting attention because other countries (read, China) possess the capabilities to play the game. Thus, the United States needs to play defense as much as offense. The Biden administration and its boosters seem super-keen on this notion. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) process might not work as well as intended. U.S. actions to limit weaponized interdependence can lead to unanticipated blowback that can damage the USA as much as the intended target.
Why Nations Prosper or Fail
Wirtschaftswunder und Ordoliberalismus
The German Economic Miracle -- Wirtschaftswunder -- took place in the aftermath of the destructive World War, when West Germany was still occupied by the Allied powers. Germany rose up on the back of the so-called ordoliberalism and the American Marshall Plan.
These initial problems were overcome by the time of the currency reform of 1948, which replaced the Reichsmark with the Deutsche Mark as legal tender, halting rampant inflation. This act to strengthen the West German economy had been explicitly forbidden during the two years that JCS 1067 was in effect. JCS 1067 had directed the U.S. forces of occupation in West Germany to "take no steps looking toward the economic rehabilitation of Germany".
At the same time, the government, following Erhard's advice, cut taxes sharply on moderate incomes. Walter Heller, a young economist with the U.S. occupation forces who was later to become chairman of President Kennedy's Council of Economic Advisers, wrote in 1949 that to "remove the repressive effect of extremely high rates, Military Government Law No. 64 cut a wide swath across the German tax system at the time of the currency reform." Individual income tax rates, in particular, fell dramatically. Previously the tax rate on any income over 6,000 Deutschmark had been 95 percent. After tax reform, this 95 percent rate applied only to annual incomes above 250,000 Deutschmark. For the West German with an annual income of about 2,400 Deutschmark in 1950, the marginal tax rate fell from 85 percent to 18 percent.
The era of economic growth raised West Germany and Austria from total wartime devastation to developed nations in modern Europe. At the founding of the European Common Market in 1957 West Germany's economic growth stood in contrast to the struggling conditions at the time in the United Kingdom.
The term "ordoliberalism" (Ordoliberalismus) was coined in 1950 by Hero Moeller, and refers to the academic journal ORDO. Ordoliberal ideals (with modifications) drove the creation of the post-WW2 German social market economy. They were especially influential on forming a firm competition law in Germany. However, the social market economy was implemented in economies where corporatism was already well established, so ordoliberal ideals were not as far reaching as the theory's economic founders had intended.
According to Stephen Padgett, "a central tenet of ordo-liberalism is a clearly defined division of labor in economic management, with specific responsibilities assigned to particular institutions. Monetary policy should be the responsibility of a central bank committed to monetary stability and low inflation, and insulated from political pressure by independent status. Fiscal policy—balancing tax revenue against government expenditure—is the domain of the government, whilst macro-economic policy is the preserve of employers and trade unions." The state should form an economic order instead of directing economic processes, and three negative examples ordoliberals used to back their theories were Nazism, Keynesianism, and Russian socialism. The Ordoliberal idea of a social market economy is often seen as a progressive alternative beyond left and right and as a third way between collectivism and laissez-faire liberalism.
While the ordoliberal idea of a social market is similar to that of the third-way social democracy advocated by the likes of the New Labour government (especially during the premiership of Tony Blair), there are a few key differences. Whilst they both adhere to the idea of providing a moderate stance between socialism and capitalism, the ordoliberal social market model often combines private enterprise with government regulation to establish fair competition (although German network industries are known to have been deregulated), whereas advocates of the third-way social democracy model have been known to oversee multiple economic deregulations. The third way social democracy model has also foreseen a clash of ideas regarding the establishment of the welfare state, in comparison to the ordoliberal's idea of a social market model being open to the benefits of social welfare.
Ordoliberals are also known for pursuing a minimum configuration of vital resources and progressive taxation. The ordoliberal emphasis on the privatization of public services and other public firms such as telecommunication services; wealth redistribution and minimum wage laws as regulative principles makes clear the links between this economic model and the social market economy.
Ordoliberals promoted the concept of the social market economy, and this concept promotes a strong role for the state with respect to the market, which is in many ways different from the ideas connected to the term neoliberalism. Ironically, the term neoliberalism was originally coined in 1938, at the Colloque Walter Lippmann, by Alexander Rüstow, who is regarded as an ordoliberal today.
Most members of the school were also Sozialpolitiker (social policy advocates), i.e. concerned with social reform and improved conditions for the common man during a period of heavy industrialization. They were more disparagingly referred to as Kathedersozialisten, rendered in English as "socialists of the chair" (compare armchair revolutionary), due to their positions as professors.
Canadian scholars influenced by the school were led by Harold Innis (1894–1952) at Toronto. His staples thesis holds that Canada's culture, political history and economy have been decisively influenced by the exploitation and export of a series of "staples" such as fur, fishing, lumber, wheat, mined metals and coal. The staple thesis dominated economic history in Canada 1930s–1960s, and is still used by some.
After 1930 the historical school declined or disappeared in most economics departments. It lingered in history departments and business schools. The major influence in the 1930s and 1940s was Joseph Schumpeter with his dynamic, change-oriented, and innovation-based economics. Although his writings could be critical of the school, Schumpeter's work on the role of innovation and entrepreneurship can be seen as a continuation of ideas originated by the historical school, especially the work of von Schmoller and Sombart. Alfred D. Chandler, Jr. (1918–2007), had a major impact on approaching business issues through historical studies.
Because of the connected history, ordoliberalism is also sometimes referred to as "German neoliberalism" (the Freiburg school of economics was called 'neoliberalism' until Anglo-American scholars reappropriated the term). Equivocation led to frequent confusion and "mix ups" of terms and ideas in the discourse, debate and criticism of both economic schools of liberalism until in 1991 the political economists Michel Albert with Capitalisme Contre Capitalisme and in 2001 Peter A. Hall and David Soskice with Varieties of Capitalism aimed to separate the concepts and develop the new terms liberal market economy and coordinated market economy to distinguish neoliberalism versus ordoliberalism.
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igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...
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