Tensions, Conflicts, Folly 2025

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24-11-15 Flashpoint Analysis: Riskiest Frozen Conflicts Under DUH 2.0 - Waro > .

Baltic-Carpathian Alliance (Intermarium 2.0) 

25-2-18 Proposed Baltic-Carpathian Alliance (Intermarium 2.0) vs Ruscia - gtbt > .

24-12-29 Europe in a Darwinian Evolutionary Process - gtbt > .

20-4-30 Poland's strategy of the Intermarium - Caspian > .

20-3-24 Europe’s plan to checkmate Russia - Caspian > .

Intermarium/Three seas initiative - Nikola Prolić >> .
Międzymorze - Baltic-Carpathian Alliance - Eyes Red >> .

> Chaos >>

24-12-23 Chaos Is The New Order. World A.D. 2025 - gtbt > .

24-12-20 [Why it feels as though the world is imploding] | Brian Klaas | BT > . 

>> Competition, Economic Warfare >>>

> > Europe > >   > Europe & US vs XIR >>

24-11-12 Europe Needs To Wake Up [and remilitarize] - Warfronts > .

24-8-23 Why [and How] Europe is Preparing for War - nwyt > .

> Global Conflicts 2025 >>

25-1-5 Strategic Winners & Losers of 2024 [0 R-U, X] - Conflicts, Outcomes - Perun > .

25-1-3 Battles Ahead: The World at War in 2025 - Warfronts > .

> Islamist Threat >>

25-1-23 Why nations that fail oppress women fail - Economist > .

24-12-13 [Geert Wilders Warned of Islamist Societal Dysfunction] - Hindsight > .

> Pacific Defense >>   > I-P Coalition of the Willing >>

25-1-24 US military is restoring WW2-era airfields - Caspian > . skip > .

>> PLA >>>

> Proxy WW3 >>

24-12-31 [Global] The Evil Rise of War in 2024 - T&P > . skip > .

> Sudan >>

24-8-13 'Killing People for Nothing:’ Sudan’s Forgotten Civil War | WSJ > .

24-7-26 [Sudan Collapsing: Al-Bashir Overthrown ⇉ Warring Warlords] - Cogito > .

24-6-19 Ukrainian SF Fighting Wagner Mercenaries in Syria & Sudan | T&P > .

24-4-16 Sudan: the Proxy War the World is Ignoring - Waro > .

Tribalist Dysfunction 

25-1-23 Why nations that fail oppress women fail - Economist > .

USA

25-1-31 Why Is The US Always So Often At War? - Second Thought (Socialist) > .

West
24-12-21 National Security: US Views on R-U, Xina, Iran, etc - Preston > .

> Yemen >>

24-11-14 Yemen's Decade of Crisis - Waro > .

2024 ..   > Global Conflicts 2024 >>

25-1-5 Strategic Winners & Losers of 2024 [0 R-U, X] - Conflicts, Outcomes - Perun > .

24-12-29 Warfronts 2024 Retrospective [Proxy WW3] - Warfronts > .

International Relations - Second Thought >> .

National Defense Strategies - Icarus Project >> .

Ports, Controlling Cargo - Naval Gazing >> .

? 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey ?

Geopolitics of Envious Resentment (CRINKS, XIR) ..

Western Opponents of XIR ..

⇒ 2025 ..

Decline of USA ..

⇒ 2024 ..
➾ 2023 ..
➾ 2022 ..

Trade & Skill Wars 2025

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23-7-30 Skills Wars Are the New Trade Wars - EcEx > .

25-2-5 US-China Trade War 2.0 | China & Panama | SXS - Update > .

25-1-19 [AI Chip War: Biden Tightens Export Controls] - Update > .

> Chip & Tech War 2025 >>    > Chip War >> >> Chip Wars >>>

Trade Logistics, Shipping  

25-1-21 Report: X's Dominance of Maritime, Logistics & Shipbuilding Sectors - Sal > .

Xina's EV wars 

2-1-6 Tesla tricks within Xina's EV "Warring States Period" - Update > .

>> Competition, Economic Warfare >>>

Ports, Controlling Cargo - Naval Gazing >> .

⇒ 2025 ..

Decline of USA ..

DUHmented Tariffs ..

DUHplicitous Idiocrazies 2025 ..

Econopolitics 2025 ..

Resource Logistics 2025 ..
Resisting DUH 2025 ..

⇒ 2024 ..
➾ 2023 ..
➾ 2022 ..

Untrustworthy Swamp of America

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25-2-21 Europe Should Take Over Ukrainian Skies and War Leadership - gtbt > .

Declining American Empire - Blue Gray >> .

Xitonomics 2025

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24-11-14 [Xitonomic Implosion - Xi's Tofu-Dreg Xina Xitting Wall] - gtbt > . skip > .

>> Competition, Economic Warfare >>>

> DeepSeek >>    >> DeepSeek >>>

25-2-21 [Seeking outside investment & more high-powered chips] - Update > .

25-2-19 [Xinese Censorship & Political Loyalty Test in DeepSeek] - Update > .

25-2-17 [AI Shortcut: How DeepSeek Hacked ChatGPT’s Secrets] - Digging > .

25-2-6 US-China: DeepSeek, AI Race, Loopoles in US Sanctions  - Update > .

> FikFük >>

25-1-18 TikTok Is Banned - Legal Eagle > .

25-1-18 [SCOTUS upholds TikTok Ban] - Update > .

> HuángXi >>

25-2-7 [Xi's ignorant misunderstanding of investment in innovation] - Digging > .

25-1-22 4 signs of internal struggles costing the Xi dearly - Lei > .

> ImploXion 2025 >>   > Xitting the Wall - Xina's Economic Decline >>

25-2-15 [Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plummets 99%] - Update > . 

25-1-20 [Innovation-Reducing Insistence on Loyalty & Control] - Uncensored > .

25-1-18 [Michael Pettis: Demographic Risks vs Redistribution Failure] - Update > .

25-1-11 Xina Bonds Crash as Investors Jump Ship | US-Xina AI Race - Update > .
25-1-10 [Pettis on Necessary-but-Unlikely Redistribution of Income] - Update > .

25-1-8 [Naughton, Pettis on Structural Crises in Xina's Economy] - Update > .

[The Wire China - Barry Naughton on the state of the Xi Jinping Economy]

25-1-3 [Fall of Xina: What To Expect In 2025 | Transformed Economy] - Update > .

25-1-2 [Ticking Time Bomb - $18T Lost, Unproductive Debt] - Update > .

Infrastructure

25-1-2 [Yarlung Tsangpo Hydroelectric Dam Project Angers India] - Update > .

>> PLA >>>

UvXIR  > Eu-UK-US-X Trade >>   > Europe & US vs XIR >>

25-1-2 [Import of Taiwan, Japan, South Korea in X-US relations] - Lei > .

24-12-23 Chaos Is The New Order. World A.D. 2025 - gtbt > .

> Xitty Strife >>   > Xinsanity >>   > XIR >>   X Skullduggery    > XPD >>

25-2-13 [Petulant Xinese Bullying = Xinese Lawfare] - Update > .  SLAPP w

> Deglobalization >>  > HuángXi >>   > ImploXion 2024 >>   > Trade War 2024 >>

Eagle vs Dragon - Oriēns >> .

Modern Xina - Icarus Project >> .

Oligarchy & Political Corruption - Penny Wyse >> .

Ports, Controlling Cargo - Naval Gazing >> .

Xitty Problems - Blue Gray >> .

⇒ 2025 ..

Xitty Conflict 2025 ..

⇒ 2024 ..
Geopolitics of Envious Resentment (CRINKS, XIR) ..

Western Opponents of XIR ..

➾ 2023 ..

➾ 2022 ..

Downturns (Xitting the Wall) ..

Comment (edited)
Officially the GDP has doubled since 2014. From what I and my friends see: 

• - Productivity growth in MOST sectors is pretty low since 2014. 
• - Innovation in the service sector is limited to low productivity services like delivery services (yes they are backed by high productivity digital services but that a small GDP contribution). 
• - Xi Jinping cracked down or discauraged many innovative sectors because they didn'T fit his vision. 
• - Money was funneled into whatever he liked. A LOT of infra and housing - but also SELECT high tech sectors, which he pampered with ridiculous amounts of money. 
• - A lot of money went into foreign investment, which was mostly unprofitable. But this has been scaled down a lot already. 
• - In the "focus industries" (but also in general) the internal competition is so bad that nobody makes a profit, everybody is just betting to come out on top in the end. 
• - For workers, even the highly qualified ones, this competition is pure hell. Quality of life is miserable. not in material terms, but psychologically, school pressure, work pressure, "get married and make children" pressure ... 

I see many many similarities to Japan in the 80s. Just on steroids. And we all know how this ended. BTW, I also speak Japanese and know the country well. Don't believe the conspiracies. The Japanese economy was a bubble in the 80s and everybody knew it.

Xitty Conflict 2025

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25-2-12 Xina's Power Peaking = Dangerous - Warfronts > .

UvXIR  > Eu-UK-US-X Trade >>   > Europe & US vs XIR >>

25-1-2 [Import of Taiwan, Japan, South Korea in X-US relations] - Lei > .

24-12-23 Chaos Is The New Order. World A.D. 2025 - gtbt > .

> Xitty Strife >>   > Xinsanity >>

25-1-22 [DUH vs Xina's Imploding Economy; US Industrialization] || PZ > .

25-1-10 [Angry, divided Xina will could topple the XiXiP regime] - Lei > .

X vs Oz 

25-2-14 [SXS: Oz protests: PLAAF J-16 fired flares at RAAF P-8A Poseidon] - Update > .

X vs US

25-2-11 [Xina countermeasure tariffs against DUH's tariffs] - Update > .

> XIR >>

25-2-7 Taiwan & South Korea in turmoil: Coincidence? [XiPaganda] Strategy? | Lei > .

25-1-15 Xina's strategy to sow discord: [NYT, DUH, Falun Gong, X-spies] - Lei > . 

25-1-6 Xina’s influence in Taiwan, Japan and South Korea? - Lei > .

...

24-12-31 [Xina's Terrible 2024 - 30 Trillion Destroyed] - Update > .

24-12-18 [Chip & Resource War] - Update > .

24-12-3 [Xi Dragging XiXiP Back to M-Lism] Deng Xiaoping's Capitalism - Digging > .

24-11-19 [Manufacturers & Investors Leaving Xina] - Update > .

24-11-15 [Youth Unemployment, Education, Exploitation] What Xi Fears - Poly > .

24-11-2 Michael Beckley: End of Xina’s Rise & [Risk to] Global Order | AEI > .

Xinese Skullduggery    > XPD >>

25-2-17 [The AI Shortcut: How DupeSpy Steals & Cheats] - Digging > .

25-2-13 [Petulant Xinese Bullying = Xinese Lawfare] - Update > .  SLAPP w

XiXiPee Censorship 

25-2-15 [Google bribed? YT employees bribed? XiXiP moles? all?] - laowhy86 > .

Modern Xina - Icarus Project >> .