Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Al-Zawahiri ⇐ Justice


The president holds a press conference to announce that a U.S. drone strike killed al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri over the weekend.

Rachel Maddow reviews the depraved history of Al Qaeda terrorist leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, partner to Osama bin Laden in the September 11th attacks and now dead by U.S. Hellfire missile strike.

“When superstitious Bronze Age primitives invented God, they gave him every single human character flaw they had, because they simply projected their own uneducated thoughts onto their imaginary God.” ― Oliver Markus Malloy, Atheism Memes: 40 Reasons Why I'm An Atheist .
I am as firmly convinced that religions do harm as I am that they are untrue ~ Bertrand Russell
Of all the tyrannies that affect mankind, tyranny in religion is the worst ~ Thomas Paine .
"Religion doesn't make people bigots. People are bigots and they use religion to justify their ideology." — Reza Azlan, author and public intellectual
Of all the animosities which have existed among mankind, those which are caused by a difference of sentiments in religion appear to be the most inveterate and distressing, and ought to be deprecated. I was in hopes that the enlightened and liberal policy, which has marked the present age, would at least have reconciled Christians of every denomination so far that we should never again see the religious disputes carried to such a pitch as to endanger the peace of society. ~ George Washington .

 

2021 Asia Forecast

Sunday, July 26, 2015

Central & South Asian -Stans

2021 Central Asia on the verge of a water war - Caspian > .
24-6-21 [Aghanistan Conflicts: Tribalism, Water Conflict, Georivalry] - Real > .
24-5-10 Why Kazakhstan is Insanely Empty - Real > .
24-3-6 Could the Mossad Have Stopped Iran? | Unpacked > .
24-1-2 Stans: Why Central Asia Is So Big Yet So Weak - Versed > .
23-11-5 [XIR] Corrupt, Sanctioned Iran's Military, Proxies, Power Projection - Perun > .
23-10-10 Hamas: Gazan terrorist militants behind atrocities in Israel | ABC > .
23-10-14 [Nefarious Hybrid XIR "want to destroy America" Plot] - Versed > .
23-9-22 75-Yr Conflict India (+USSR) vs Pakistan (+USA) vs Kashmir (+X) - gtbt > .
23-9-14 Iran and Afghanistan headed to war over water? - Caspian > .
23-7-15 Why Pakistan's on the Brink of Collapse - T&P > .
23-7-2 Ruscia and Xina seek Eurasian dominance - CaspianReport > .
20-4-30 Why Pakistan's Geography Sucks - Real > .
23-5-2 Why Iran is Helping Ruscia’s Invasion of Ukraine - Real > .
23-3-13 Iran, Xina, Saudi Arabia - Influence  Wangling - Update > .
23-1-26 Pan-Turkism & Turkey's Ambitions in Central Asia - gtbt > .
22-12-30 [Kurds] Why Turkey is Preparing to Invade Syria (Again) - Real > .
22-11-8 USSR/Ruscia Destroyed World's 4th Biggest Lake - Real > .
22-8-22 Does Afghanistan have a future? - Caspian Report > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
23-1-10 1st anniversary of Elbasy’s ousting. Lessons for Pootin - Katz > .
22-1-13 Impact of Kazakh unrest: Kazakhstan-Russia-China relations - Lei > .
22-1-5 Gravitas: Kazakhstan is in a 'state of emergency' - WION > .
GeoPol - Middle East, Stans - Bal >> .

Central Asia is a region in Asia which stretches from the Caspian Sea in the west to China and Mongolia in the east, and from Afghanistan and Iran in the south to Russia in the north, including the former Soviet republics of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. It is also colloquially referred to as "the stans" as the countries all have names ending with the Persian suffix "-stan", meaning "land of".

Central Asia was historically closely tied to the Silk Road, acting as a crossroads for the movement of people, goods, and ideas between Europe and Asia.

Pre- and early Islamic Central Asia was predominantly Iranian, populated by Eastern Iranian-speaking Bactrians, Sogdians, Chorasmians and the semi-nomadic Scythians and Dahae. After expansion by Turkic peoples, Central Asia also became the homeland for the Kazakhs, Uzbeks, Tatars, Turkmen, Kyrgyz, and Uyghurs; Turkic languages largely replaced the Iranian languages spoken in the area.

From the mid-19th century until almost the end of the 20th century, Central Asia was colonised by the Russians, and incorporated into the Russian Empire, and later the Soviet Union, which led to Russians and other Slavs emigrating into the area. Modern-day Central Asia is home to a large population of European settlers, who mostly live in Kazakhstan; 7 million Russians, 500,000 Ukrainians, and about 170,000 GermansStalinist-era forced deportation policies also mean that over 300,000 Koreans live there.

Central Asia (2019) has a population of about 72 million, consisting of five republics: Kazakhstan (pop. 18 million), Kyrgyzstan (6 million), Tajikistan (9 million), Turkmenistan (6 million), and Uzbekistan (33 million).

South Asia is the southern region of Asia, which is defined in both geographical and ethno-cultural terms. The region consists of the countries of AfghanistanBangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Maldives. Topographically, it is dominated by the Indian Plate and defined largely by the Indian Ocean on the south, and the Himalayas, Karakoram, and Pamir mountains on the north. The Amu Darya, which rises north of the Hindu Kush, forms part of the northwestern border. On land (clockwise), South Asia is bounded by Western Asia, Central Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia.

The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) is an economic cooperation organisation in the region which was established in 1985 and includes all eight nations comprising South Asia. South Asia covers about 5.2 million km2 (2.0 million sq mi), which is 11.71% of the Asian continent or 3.5% of the world's land surface area. The population of South Asia is about 1.891 billion or about one-fourth of the world's population, making it both the most populous and the most densely populated geographical region in the world. Overall, it accounts for about 39.49% of Asia's population, over 24% of the world's population, and is home to a vast array of people.

In 2010, South Asia had the world's largest populations of Hindus, Muslims, Sikhs, Jains and Zoroastrians. South Asia alone accounts for 98.47% of Hindus, 90.5% of Sikhs, and 31% of Muslims worldwide, as well as 35 million Christians and 25 million Buddhists.

2021 China's Five Year Plan

2021 China's latest 5-year plan - Stratfor > .
23-9-24 $6.5T Problem: BRI, Unproductive, Decaying Infrastructure | EcEx > .
23-8-9 Global Aging Institute: Xina's Accelerating Demographic Decline - Update > .
23-7-7 Xina, Japan - Impact of Demographic Decline - Real > .
23-6-29 New Chinese Demographic Data = Population COLLAPSE | PZ > .
23-1-20 Xina's 1st population drop in six decades - demographic crisis. | Digging > .
23-1-17 Xina Records First Population Drop in Decades | Focus > .
22-12-28 Too many people? Challenges of demographic change | DW > .
22-12-6 Xina’s Demographic crisis looms over Xi’s 3rd term | Peter Zeihan > .
22-12-5 China’s One-Child Policy Created Millions of Illegal Children - Uncensored > .
22-10-22 Xina's Population Has Peaked, 800 Million less by 2100 - gtbt > .
22-10-14 Young Xinese women remaining single by choice - Digging > .
22-8-17 Xina already in absolute population decline = coffins > cradles - Digging > .
22-2-18 How The One Child Policy Destroyed China - Versed > .
22-2-15 China’s Vulnerability | Peter Zeihan @ Fort Benning - geopop > .
22-2-4 Will China Grow Old Before it Becomes Rich? Demographics - TCO > .

China - Rare Earth Control

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Battle of Rare Earth Elements. Greenland Independence? - gtbt > .

China dominates the world's production and supply of rare earths - obscure elements that are vital for high tech manufacturing.

Rare earth elements (REEs) are a group of 15 elements referred to as the lanthanide series in the periodic table of elements. Scandium and yttrium, while not true REEs, are also included in this categorization because they exhibit similar properties to the lanthanides and are always found in the same ore bodies. REEs are key components in many electronic devices that we use in our daily lives, as well as in a variety of industrial applications, including electronics, clean energy, aerospace, automotive and defence.

The manufacturing of magnets represents the single largest and most important end use for REEs, accounting for 21% of total consumption.

Comment: There is nothing rare about rare earths, they are in everybody's backyard. The real issues are: 1) Finding them in commercially viable concentrations (>300 parts per million (ppm)), and 2) Environmental concerns from the dirty rare earth refining process. Just last month North Dakota announced a huge find of greater than 2,570 ppm in a state survey of coal seams that are no longer viable as an energy source. 

And the North Dakota State Geological Department has only taken 1,700 samples from a fraction of its coal seams. The US could easily find it has more rare earth reserves than China once you start looking for them. As recently as the 1980s the US produced about 90% of the World's rare earths. The problem is that cost-wise in terms of mining, extracting, and refining them and it's hard to compete with China not because they have huge reserves, but because Chinese producers have extremely low environmental standards and virtually bottomless supplies of Chinese government financing. It was this cost advantage, not the Chinese reserves which all but shut down US rare earth mining and refining operations in the 2000s. 

It should also be noted that the US is the second largest producer of mined rare earth products in the world after China. 43,000 MT vs 210,000MT for China in 2021. The irony is nearly all mined rare earth in the US are sent to China for the final refining steps (A new refinery in Mountain Pass, CA is just being brought online). So most of those Chinese exports to the US are actually US-mined rare earths that were sent to China for refining and then re-exported to the US, if the US refined the rare earth it currently mines it would largely be self-sufficient in meeting its needs.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...