Monday, June 22, 2020

Geopolitical Choke Points - CCP's Narrow Passes



Speaking of long-term Chinese strategy: "The concept of “geopolitical choke points” — 關隘, literally, narrow passes — has long been part of the vocabulary of primary school students in China, who can readily rattle off, by way of simply rhymed classical poems, the names of half a dozen such sites in China, all marking the historical expansion of the country’s boundaries into the homelands of so-called barbarians.

Chinese children also study “The Art of War” by Sun Tzu, which has two chapters, “Terrain” and “The Nine Situations,” that deal with strategic topography. In 2015, the text became required reading in junior high schools. Some publishers have put out an illustrated version for 7- to 14-year-olds.

The 14th-century novel “Romance of The Three Kingdoms,” which chronicles the wars of the third century, is one of China’s most popular fictional texts, especially among young people — and it has inspired competitive internet games that involve attacking and defending critical choke points.

The next generation is being reared to be no less strategic in its thinking than the previous ones.

Yet even analysts who fear the Chinese Communist Party’s global aspirations have underestimated some of its inroads. Western governments have been on to China’s hard-power geopolitical-choke-point strategy. But they are only just beginning to appreciate its far more invasive soft-power strategy — and it might already be too late.
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China’s move to establish physical footholds around the world is easy enough to recognize as evidence of a coherent game plan, in part because those perches are readily marked on a map and because other major powers positioned themselves in much the same way in the past. Beijing has also bragged about these projects — and its intentions — by giving them grand monikers like the Belt and Road Initiative.

Not so with its soft-power ambitions, whose growth has been much less noticed — at least until UNpresident Idiot-in-Chief started picking a fight with Beijing. And yet these are much more intrusive, and potentially far more dangerous.

The Chinese government is essentially forward-deploying and setting up various outposts within the United States and other developed democratic countries, in classrooms, boardrooms and bedrooms.

GSI - Global Security Initiative - X

22-7-9 Global Security Initiative -  XiXiP Propaganda > .
23-9-25 Xi's Transforming Xina [for the worse] - Xina's Changing Trajectory - Dig > .
23-9-24 $6.5T Problem: BRI, Unproductive, Decaying Infrastructure | EcEx > .
23-9-16 "Belt & Road to Death" - [XiXiP targeted corrupt governments] - Obs > .
23-4-16 Logan Wright Grasping Shadows X-Ec 1 - Update > . 2 > .
23-3-13 Yi Fuxian: The Chinese Century Is Already Over - Update > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-22 Xina is Using [Western] Media Against [West]! - cfc > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-24 Xi's [Probably Unachievable] Goals - Digging > . 
22-10-15 Xina's Economy is in Bad Shape - ColdFusion > .
Xitting the Wall - Buck >> .

00:00 Introduction
00:11 Beijing & Shanghai 
02:13 Global Security Initiative
05:25 South-to-North Water Diversion Project 
06:59 Chinese Economy: Caixin & Pettis Exchange Over PBoC

Xina’s Xi Proposes Global Security Initiative: Despite the hypocrisy, (outright dishonesty) and power politics at the foundation of the GSI, it would be foolish to dismiss it or assume that it will not garner support from other countries.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has come up with a new global security proposal questioning implicitly the logic of the Indo-Pacific strategy, as well as the Quad involving Australia, Japan, India, and the United States. Xi proposed a new “Global Security Initiative” at the Boao Forum for Asia’s annual conference in China on April 21, while calling out Cold War mentality, hegemonism, and power politics as issues that would “endanger world peace” and “exacerbate security challenges in the 21st century.” 


3:13 Xi's LIES [edited for accuracy]: "On the surface the Ruscia-Ukraine conflict that broke out [actually, invasion initiated by Ruscia, with the encouragement/complicity of the XiXiP] in February 2022 appeared to be initiated by a Russian attack [it was]. But [Xi's LIE] it was actually the result of the US promotion of NATO's eastward expansion [in response to Ruscian aggression] and the squeezing of Ruscia's strategic space [Xi's LIE]. Fundamentally the Ruscia-Ukraine conflict is of a hegemonic [Ruscist imperial ambitions] and anti-hegemonic [protection of a sovereign nation] nature and is also a battle between the old [Ruscist imperialist] and new [independent western democracies] systems. In the bigger context of an international power transfer [Ruscian power grab] after the conflict broke out, the United States and other western countries constantly fanned the flames [supported an invaded sovereign democratic ] using the provision of military aid to Ukraine and the staging [defense against Ruscia's] "proxy war" with the aim of [LIE] prolonging the [economically expensive] war as long as possible to [LIE] profit from it as the once in a century pandemic [which began in, and was covered up by Xina] and the Ruscia-Ukraine conflict intersect. The world dominated by a traditional western notion of security [decades of Pax Americana] is facing unprecedented turbulence and uncertainty unbalanced global development and increasingly apparent international contradictions [initiated by Ruscia, Xina, and certain Gulf nations] have spawned more unstable factors and international security issues. The traditional western security concept with bullying protecting the weak and protecting oneself at the expense of [when threatened by belligerent imperialist ambitions of others as its core is arousing the dissatisfaction and opposition of more countries and peoples [aversive to bullying authoritarian and totalitarian regimes] around the world against the backdrop of the accelerated adjustment of the international landscape countries around the world and developing countries in particular are urgently calling for the establishment of a new security concept based on [the rules based principle of liberal democracies] equality and mutual trust on a global scale based on [wariness of debt trap corruption underlying] Xi's "global security self-interest initiative" which aims at safeguarding the security interests of a wider range of people around the world [the Han Chinese] was born." 

Washington-based Bill Bishop warns that we need to follow this new foreign policy
initiative very closely. Expressing this week that the "global security initiative" recently launched by Xi is something that should be taken very seriously. It is another initiative to undermine the United States and its allies and their global order, and it is likely to have more takers [in underdeveloped, authoritarian, and corrupt nations] than the US would like to believe.

Sunday, June 21, 2020

Hegemonic Aspirations - XiXiP

22-2-10 Hiding in Plain Sight: China's Military Power, 1995-2020 - CISAC Stanford > .
24-5-25 Why We Cannot [Easily] Stop Dictators - Versed > . 
24-3-21 USN's 30-Year Plan on Shipbuilding - 2024 - Shipping > .
24-2-17 Taiwan Question & World Order | X Economy - Update > .
23-11-14 Israel, Islam & the New Cold War | Niall Ferguson - John Anderson > .
23-10-25 US & [I-P-CW] vs Xina: Preparations to Fight War - Real > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-9-28 China's Military History; Why Xina Is Not A Military Power - ModHi > .
23-9-25 Xi's Transforming Xina [for the worse] - Xina's Changing Trajectory - Dig > .
23-9-21 A Xinese blockade against Taiwan 'won't work' | Tim Cross > .
23-9-16 "Belt & Road to Death" - [XiXiP targeted corrupt governments] - Obs > .
23-9-14 Hx Japan vs Xina: Why Xina and Japan are headed to war - BuBa > .
23-9-9 Xina Preparing For War With USA? | BRI | US-X Relations - Update > .
23-9-7 Xi's Mess: Wartime Economy Rising, Imminent Societal Collapse > .
23-8-26 Xina vs Japan relations - Update > .
23-8-23 China vs Japan: Japan Preparing for War with Xina - BuBa > .
23-8-15 Oppenheimer's nuclear warnings more relevant than ever - Caspian > .
23-8-2 Xi's Anti-Corruption Purge of PLA Rocket Force | PLA structure - Digging > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-28 PLAN's Indo-Pacific Bases - Ream, Djibouti, Hambantota, Tonga - Focus > .
23-7-12 Xina prepares for war - Hudson > .
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-18 Xi absolute power through Party Constitution and XXP princelings - Lei > .
22-9-28 Beijing regrets "no limit" friendship with Pootin. Xi unhappy > .
22-9-9 No, China is Not A Peaceful Nation - laowhy86 > .
22-7-28 Have Mao and Deng predicted XXP's downfall? Untold history of China - Lei > .
22-4-21 Fake data re Chinese economy: GDP, import-export, unemployment - Lei > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .

How do rising powers like China manage to build power in international systems dominated by one or more established great powers? International relations theory provides some answers, but most assume emulation of successful approaches. This paper leverages the established business literature on how new companies gain market share in markets dominated by established companies to develop a new theory of power accumulation. Oriana Mastro argues that only under very narrow circumstances can rising powers build power and influence through emulation. Instead, China has built enough power over the past 25 years to be considered a great power competitor by doing things differently. Specifically, it exploits US blind spots, maneuvers in areas of strategic uncertainty and engages in entrepreneurial actions. Mastro demonstrates that Chinese military strategy exhibits these components in its responses to key pillars of US foreign policy strategy like global power projection, foreign military intervention, and in conventional and nuclear posture decisions. The findings have significant implications for great power competition as well as for power transition theory.


Himalayas - China vs India

> PLA > 

Since the fall of the British Empire and the rise of the communist party in Beijing, India and China have been struggling to establish a favorable border in the Himalayas. The conflict has dragged on for decades and is hampered by extremely difficult conditions and extreme topography. In the last decade, the fighting has intensified even more. What is the situation on the Line of Actual Control? 

Saturday, June 20, 2020

Imperialist Ambitions - ΧΧР, РLА

21-11-13 Connection between ΧΧР’s factional politics and Taiwan war - Lei > .

CCP politics, military & Taiwan Strait - Lei's Real Talk >> .China, Chinese society & People - Lei's Real Talk >> .
Chinese Population and labor Market - Lei's Real Talk >> .

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...