Thursday, January 6, 2022

West ➾ Russia 2022

22-6-23 Germany's $100 Billion Military Upgrade - CaspianReport > .
22-4-14 Lithuanian Army Ready For War? Task & Purpose > .
22-4-8 How (so many) Russian Tanks Are Being Destroyed - CoCa > .
22-4-5 Do Sanctions Work? - Economics Explained > . skip ad > .
22-4-4 Russia’s David vs Ukraine’s Goliath? Manpower woes - Binkov > .
22-4-1 Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine Sparking NATO Defense Spending Spree? > .
22-3-31 The weapons Ukraine uses against Russia - CaspianReport > .
22-3-30 Cold War 1, Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Ċold Ŵar 2 Sanctions > .
22-3-30 How will Germany spend its massive €100 billion military budget? | DW > .
22-3-29 The Sanctioned Russian Economy 🇷🇺 : A new Russia? - Action > .
22-3-27 Are Tanks Obsolete? [Vlad's Disaster &] The Future of Warfare - nwyt > .
22-3-25 “Bear Trap” – War in Ukraine: 1 Month of Russian Invasion - Animarchy > .
22-3-23 Polish citizens join army b/o Russian invasion of Ukraine - BBC > .
22-3-22 Cold War 2.0? Global Economic Impact of Sanctions Against Russia | WSJ > .
22-3-20 Ukraine’s ‘secret weapons’: Training foreign fighters | 60 Min Aus > .
22-3-19 [Тѕаr Rυnt dragging] Russia headed to strategic defeat in Ukraine - Caspian > .
22-3-18 The Rather Pathetic Economy of Russia - EcEx > .
22-3-13 Russia Failing - Ukraine Operational & Historical Overview - Animarchy > .

Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..
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Worries ➾ 2022

22-1-13 What to Worry About in 2022 - CoFR > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-8-21 Japan Is (Again) Becoming a Military Powerhouse - gtbt > .
22-8-3 Economic Disaster is Already Here - Peter Zeihan - Triggernometry > .
22-7-22 Poland could become strongest land force in the EU - Binkov > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
22-7-19 Central Asia ⇌ Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, USA - gtbt > .
22-2-2 Russia-Ukraine Escalation | John Kirby U.S. Pentagon - geopop > .
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Wednesday, January 5, 2022

Χίna ➾ Globe 2022

21-12-30 What will China do in 2022? - Economist > .
23-10-22 [Bilk & Raid Imperialism 2: Xi+P00 NoXious Arab Plans ] - Update > .    
23-8-26 Will BRICS Overthrow US Dollar | Xina Using BRICS vs West? - Update > .
23-8-15 Oppenheimer's nuclear warnings more relevant than ever - Caspian > .
23-7-15 Why Pakistan's on the Brink of Collapse - T&P > .
23-6-1 Sex Scandals - Untold stories of PLAN (2) - Lei > .
23-5-21 Should We Be Worried About The BRICS? | EcEx > .
23-1-20 Taiwan - Democracy and the digital world | DW Doc > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-12-20 US military in Pacific to prevent Xinese invasion of Taiwan - PBS > .
22-10-20 Xina’s global police stations: War prep, strategy vs Taiwan - Lei > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-16 G20 '22 - Xina distancing itself from Ruscist fallout - Update > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-28 How China Is Helping to Reduce Inflation - Patrick Boyle > .
22-11-6 Defending Taiwan vs Xina's looming war threat | 60 Min Aus > .
22-10-10 Coming Conflict with China | Michael Beckley > . full > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-24 Xi's [Probably Unachievable] Goals - Digging > . 
22-10-20 Xina’s global police stations: War prep, strategy vs Taiwan - Lei > .
22-10-17 China Rebrands Confucius Institutes to Hide Subversive Past - Unc > .
22-10-15 Xina's Economy is in Bad Shape - ColdFusion > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-10-9 "Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise" | Susan Shirk - CU > .
22-9-28 Beijing regrets "no limit" friendship with Pootin. Xi unhappy > .
22-9-27 "Unrestricted warfare" & weaknesses of Xinese military - Lei > .
22-9-21 Western scholars debate decoupling; Xi plots tech dominance - Digging > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-25 Xi vs Li: Xina’s dual-leadership after the 20th Party Congress? - Lei > .
22-8-21 Japan Is (Again) Becoming a Military Powerhouse - gtbt > .
22-8-15 Taiwan could repel invasion; wargamed cost high to Taiwan and US > .
22-8-15 How worried is Japan about Xina-Taiwan tensions? - ABC Aus > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-13 Xina's Popularity Plunging |Geopolitical surveys - Lei > .
22-4-22 Xina Won't Bail Out the Russian Economy - VisPol > .
22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-3-28 China's Economic Rise—End of the Road - cfr > .
22-3-28 Conversation with Australian Senator the Hon Penny Wong - CSIS > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For China - Rudd > .
22-3-10 China's Embarrassing Flip Flop on Russia - laowhy86 > .
22-2-14 Arrogant Bullying Punishment of China's Enemies - VP > . skip ad > .
> PLA >>  
φ8c 2022+ China = Crisis, Threat - anffyddiaeth >> .
China’s Xi Jinping seems likely to have his third term in office ratified by the Communist Party Congress in 2022. What could that mean for China, and for the rest of the world? 00:00 What will China do in 2022?
02:38 Chinese nationalism is at an all time high
03:39 The death of private enterprise in China?
04:15 China’s relationship with the United States
05:50 Will China invade Taiwan?
07:12 Understanding China is our most important job.

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Χίna ➾ Taiwan 2022+

0:00 Intro
1:14 Unsinkable Aircraft Carrier
8:39 Arms Race
13:22 Barriers
17:15 Possible Scenarios
19:55 Outro
Indo-Pacific Militaries 
22-10-26 Tension between XXP and Taiwan increases after 20th Congress > .22-8-11 Xina and Taiwan: How their militaries compare - Forces > .

Annex by 2049? Born 15 June 1953, Xi Jinping would turn 96 in 2049. Thus, promising seizure of Taiwan by 2049 (100th anniversary of Mao's victory over the Kuomintang (国民党, KMT) and the founding of Taiwan's KMT government) would almost certainly be another politician's problem. Meanwhile, aggressive posturing is politically useful.

What will China do in 2022? - Economist > .
China’s Xi Jinping seems likely to have his third term in office ratified by the Communist Party Congress in 2022. What could that mean for China, and for the rest of the world?
00:00 What will China do in 2022?
02:38 Chinese nationalism is at an all time high
03:39 The death of private enterprise in China?
04:15 China’s relationship with the United States
05:50 Will China invade Taiwan?
07:12 Understanding China is our most important job.

ROC military: As of March 2022, Taiwanese men are conscripted for four months of service. Taiwan's military has just doubled the length of call-back training, but some critics say the country is still sorely underprepared for battle.


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Xina ➾ USA 2022

22-2-2 Xina - The War Has Already Begun - laowhy86 > .
23-7-29 Taiwan: Japanese & US Moves | Update > .
23-6-1 Sex Scandals - Untold stories of PLAN (2) - Lei > .
23-5-21 Should We Be Worried About The BRICS? | EcEx > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-3-8 [Slumping] Xina Blaming & Threatening USA - Focus > .
23-3-1 House Panel Lays Out Xina Threats | Focus > .
23-1-26 Xinhua & Xina's Most Obnoxious Karen - serpentza > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-12-20 US military in Pacific to prevent Xinese invasion of Taiwan - PBS > .
22-10-20 Xina’s global police stations: War prep, strategy vs Taiwan - Lei > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-22 Xina is Using [Western] Media Against [West]! - cfc > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-16 G20 '22 - Xina distancing itself from Ruscist fallout - Update > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-24 Xi's [Probably Unachievable] Goals - Digging > . 
22-10-17 China Rebrands Confucius Institutes to Hide Subversive Past - Unc > .
22-10-10 Coming Conflict with China | Michael Beckley > . full > .
22-10-9 "Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise" | Susan Shirk - CU > .
22-9-28 Beijing regrets "no limit" friendship with Pootin. Xi unhappy > .
22-9-27 "Unrestricted warfare" & weaknesses of Xinese military - Lei > .
22-8-15 Taiwan could repel invasion; wargamed cost high to Taiwan and US > .
22-8-15 How worried is Japan about Xina-Taiwan tensions? - ABC Aus > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-13 Xina's Popularity Plunging |Geopolitical surveys - Lei > .
22-4-22 Xina Won't Bail Out the Russian Economy - VisPol > .
22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-4-7 Χίna isn't overtly supporting PoooTin in Ukraine - VisPol > .
22-3-28 Conversation with Australian Senator the Hon Penny Wong - CSIS > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For Xina - Rudd > .
22-3-16 Xina: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-3-10 Xina's Embarrassing Flip Flop on Russia - laowhy86 > .
22-3-3 How Xina Secretly Helped Russia Invade Ukraine - laowhy86 > .
22-2-14 Arrogant Bullying Punishment of Xina's Enemies - VP > . skip ad > .
>> Xina >>>

Comment on Evacuating US citizens from Taiwan: 
Every US Embassy has an RSO (Regional Security Officer) whose job it is to prepare contingency evacuation plans in the event that US citizens and key host nation personnel need to be evacuated. On the surface it may seem fairly simple in evacuating the Embassy personnel. There are USAID contractors, US humanitarian organizations, US citizens with dual passports, and expatriates living in the country. They are scattered all over the country, including in remote locations. The RSO works in very close coordination with the military through the attaches. The attaches are responsible for collecting much of the on the ground intelligence about the capacity of bridges, fuel storage and fuel connectors at airports, available rural landing strips, the condition of roads needed for evacuation, and the kind of security forces that may be necessary. ....

Taiwan has some 80,000 plus to evacuate. The good news is that it's a small island and helicopters can do a lot of the work as long as they are not in danger. But you have to put 80,000 people somewhere which is usually aboard ship because the transit distances for cargo aircraft are too long. And if Taiwan is under attack, that probably means our Naval forces are under attack as well. My point is that with my experience dealing with both Embassy RSO's and the military, no matter what plan they come up with, it ain't going to pretty and lots lives will be lost in the process if Taiwan is under attack. True, we may some advanced warning of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, but not enough time to evacuate all 80'000 plus Americans or dual passport holders. Many thousands will be left behind just like we left thousands of US citizens behind in Afghanistan, which the MSM ignored in order to protect incompetent Biden. After Biden left them all behind, only private organizations of US veterans were able to smuggle thousands of them out without the help of our military and State Department. It was a very dark day for the USA. I'll tell you what my plan would be. Create enormous caves in the mountains for the evacuees to go to with at least a years worth of provisions and accommodations where they would be safe until the US and other nations could evacuate them in small groups. In an evacuation of US citizens, their safety is paramount until there are sufficient resources to evacuate them. Unfortunately, I think Taiwan is so strategic to the US, Japan, the Philippines, Vietnam, the Malacca Striates, Indonesia, and even India and Australia that any attempt by China to invade Taiwan would be one hell of a bloody mess. God only know who would prevail.
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sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

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