Tuesday, August 31, 2021

● Ċold Ŵar 2 ◊

>> Ċold Ŵar 2 >>
[We are not yet in the overt military-posturing phase typical of Cold War 1, but the Western world has finally understood that the CCP plans to attain hegemonic primacy.]

⧫ Anti-West - governments, alliances ..
⧫ Budgets (Military) ..

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Cold War 2

21-4-9 Cold War II—Just How Dangerous Is China? [bullying CCP] - Hoover > .
24-5-14 Calder Walton's "Spies": Century-long East-West Espionage War - SiCu > .
23-12-2 Xina's Modern Military - Big, Imperialistic, Unproven - Armchair > .
23-11-17 America's 3 New Nukes (weapons they counter) - Sandboxx > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-9-14 Hx Japan vs Xina: Why Xina and Japan are headed to war - BuBa > .
23-8-30 Internet Backbone = Hidden Infrastructure - B1M > .
23-8-29 Dictatorships: From Spin to Fear | Ruscist Regression (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-25 How Xi secured power by reforming Xina’s military - Lei > .
23-8-17 [Twisted] History Book | [Lying] High School P00paganda (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-7 Xina's Reliance On Western Innovation | John Lee > .
23-8-5 New Ċold Ŵar? With Robert Kaplan | Intelligence Squared > .
23-7-29 Taiwan: Japanese & US Moves | Update > .
23-7-9 How Wars End - Negotiations, Coercion, War Termination Theory - Perun > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
23-4-16 R-U Hybrid Warfare: P00paganda, cyber, hybrid methods - Perun > .
23-4-6 Technology Disrupting the Intelligence World | Amy Zegart - fa > .
23-3-18 Sociopaths have useful idiots, not "friendship" - Warographics > .
23-3-13 Yi Fuxian: The Chinese Century Is Already Over - Update > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-3-8 [Slumping] Xina Blaming & Threatening USA - Focus > .
23-2-28 Xina & ROC war prep: martial law, nuclear emergency, wartime controls > .
23-2-8 Ruscia’s Zociopathy | Once “decent” people провоенный (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-3 [Demented Krumblin Conspiracy Poopaganda] (subs) - Katz > .
23-1-29 Ruscist Information Warfare - LIES, Confusion, Credulity - Perun > .
23-1-24 Pooti's Ztupid R-U Miscalculation: Self-Inflicted Disaster - Spaniel > .
23-1-19 Kremlin's Bizarre Ideological Mission for 2023 - Vlad > .
23-1-12 Stories for children vs aggressive poopaganda (subs) - Katz > .
22-12-28 Beware: Soft Ruscist Poopaganda and Fake YTers = Danger - Anna > .
22-12-20 US military in Pacific to prevent Xinese invasion of Taiwan - PBS > .
22-12-18 Poopaganda calls for "people's war" | [Message Shift] (subs) > .
22-11-27 Poopaganda: Soviet Future Faking to "Correct Past" (subs) - MK > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-19 Splinternet - Xina 1st of 35+ Countries Leaving Global Internet - Tech > .
22-11-17 Poopagandistic malice | [Demented] reactions to Kherson (subs) - Katz > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-31 How could war between Xina & Taiwan play out? | Four Corners > .
22-11-1 "Overreach" | Susan Shirk, Kevin Rudd | Asia Society > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-24 Xi's [Probably Unachievable] Goals - Digging > . 
22-10-11 Dear Elon, Please SHUT UP - laowhy86 > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-25 Xi vs Li: Xina’s dual-leadership after the 20th Party Congress? - Lei > .
22-8-18 Ruscism: World's Last Colonial Empire: Collapse or Survival - gtbt > .
22-8-15 Taiwan could repel invasion; wargamed cost high to Taiwan and US > .
22-8-3 Economic Disaster is Already Here - Peter Zeihan - Triggernometry > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
China is a nation with 1.3 billion people, an economy projected to become bigger than the United States’ in just a few years, and a rapidly growing military. Hong Kong has already fallen under its authority. Meanwhile, Taiwan looms in the distance—with a population of almost 24 million, it’s a technology hub and the world’s leading manufacturer of microchips and other items essential to high tech. What are China’s ambitions toward Taiwan? And if they are ominous, what should the US response to Chinese aggression be? To answer these questions, we’re joined by two experts: former national security advisor (and current Hoover Institution senior fellow) H. R. McMaster and former US deputy national security advisor (and current Hoover distinguished visiting fellow) Matthew Pottinger. They also discuss the Biden administration’s recent diplomatic encounters with China, and which countries might be allies in a conflict with China—and which ones would not be.

● Future? ..


The defence ministry said the aircraft, including nuclear-capable bombers, entered its air defence identification zone (ADIZ) in two waves. Taiwan responded by scrambling its jets and deploying missile systems. China sees democratic Taiwan as a breakaway province, but Taiwan sees itself as a sovereign state. Taiwan has been complaining for more than a year about repeated missions by China's air force near the island.

Australia, NZ

Costs

Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..

Resource Conflicts

Russia


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Sunday, August 15, 2021

New Cold War

Structural Realism - International Relations (1/7) - Open University > .
John Mearsheimer "The Past and Future of the US-China Relations" (US-Russia) > .

In his new essay for the New York-based Foreign Affairs magazine, Mearsheimer argues that the US and China are locked in a dangerous security competition, more perilous than the first Cold War. In essence, once China grew wealthy, a US-China cold war was inevitable. Had US policymakers understood this logic in the early 1990s, they would have tried to slow down Chinese growth and maximise the power gap between Beijing and Washington.

However, the US did the opposite: it pursued a policy of engagement, which aimed to help China grow wealthier – based on the assumption that China would become a democracy and a responsible stakeholder, which would lead to a more peaceful world. Instead of fostering harmonious relations between China and the US, engagement led to an intense rivalry.

Is Australia and the world in deep trouble? Absent a major internal Chinese crisis, Washington and Beijing are consigned to waging a dangerous security competition. Can we manage on the margins to prevent disaster?

21-4-9 Cold War II—Just How Dangerous Is China? [bullying CCP] - Hoover > .

Australia, NZ

◊ Indo-Pacific ..

Resource War
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Wednesday, August 11, 2021

Russia-China Against West

22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-28 China's Economic Rise—End of the Road - cfr > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For China - Rudd > .
22-3-10 Sweden's pro-NATO reaction to Russian aggression - Force Tech > .
22-2-10 Hiding in Plain Sight: China's Military Power, 1995-2020 - CISAC Stanford > .
23-1-10 1st anniversary of Elbasy’s ousting. Lessons for Pootin - Katz > .
22-1-27 Kazakhstan & Ukraine: Russia's Political and Military Manipulations - VP > .
22-1-13 Impact of Kazakh unrest: Kazakhstan-Russia-China relations - Lei > .
> PLA >>  


Mystery of alleged 22-2-23 Chinese hack on eve of Ukraine invasion . 

The Times first reported that hackers, alleged to be based in China, began targeting Ukrainian websites on 23 February, the day before the invasion. That [suggests] they had advance notice of Moscow's plans and if their intention was somehow to support Russia.

A broad set of Ukrainian government and commercial organisations were said to have been targeted by hackers, including organisations linked to nuclear power. It is unclear how far this activity was scanning for vulnerabilities online and how many websites were actually compromised. The aim looks to have been espionage - stealing secrets - rather than the kind of sabotage operations which Russia was accused of carrying out just before the invasion, and when it started.

22-1-19 In 2001 Beijing and Moscow signed the Sino-Russian Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation. This treaty was signed after NATO’s bombing of Yugoslavia and direct hit on China’s embassy in Belgrade. Today, Russia and China are once more feeling the pressure. Last June, China and Russia renewed the 20-year-old treaty after the NATO summit declared that China’s “ambitions and assertive behavior presents systemic challenges to the rules-based international order” and to Alliance security. China’s military links with Russia were also singled out. President Vladimir Putin hailed the treaty as a “fundamental international legal document” that "plays a stabilizing role in global affairs," while President Xi Jinping has called it a “vivid example of building a new type of international relations and community with a shared future for mankind.” [Not a shared future that the sane would welcome.]
........
America’s renowned geostrategist, Zbigniew Brzezinski, proclaimed four years ago that the most dangerous scenario facing the US would be a grand coalition of China and Russia, united not by ideology but by complimentary shared grievances.

New thesis proposed by Emeritus Professor Paul Dibb is that such a grand coalition of China and Russia is now fast becoming a geopolitical fact in an era of growing tensions among the major powers.

China and Russia are the two leading revisionist powers leagued together in their contempt for the West. Both these authoritarian states see a West that they believe is preoccupied with debilitating political challenges at home. The evidence now is accumulating to suggest that the relationship between China and Russia is at its closest since the 1950s.

If the China-Russia military partnership continues its upward trend, it will inevitably seek to undermine the international security order by challenging the system of US-centred alliances in the Asia-Pacific region and Europe. Moreover, both China and Russia have outstanding territorial ambitions they seem intent on pursuing.

So, what are the chances of Beijing and Moscow concluding that now is the time to challenge the West and take advantage of what they both consider to be Western weaknesses? Is the strategic alignment between China and Russia in effect now a de facto alliance or not?
 .............
On October 18th, 2021 10 Chinese and Russian warships crossed the Tsugaru Strait between Honshu and Hokkaido. It's the first time Japan has seen Russian and Chinese warships crossing the Strait simultaneously. It has made Japan, and perhaps South Korea, nervous. "Japan's Maritime Self-Defence Force yesterday on October 18th confirmed that five Chinese naval ships and five Russian naval ships sailed the Tsugaru Strait moving east towards the Pacific Ocean." ... "The Japanese government has a strong interest in the activities of Chinese and Russian naval ships around Japan, so we are closely monitoring."

Fanthug Diaspora (Oz) & Money Laundering ..
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sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

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