24-1-9 Volga River - History, Importance; Volga-Don Canal - Animation > .
23-10-23 Poland Must Defend Ukraine against Historical Rival: Russia - GeoP > .
23-9-10 Battle for Black Sea. R-U: Geopolitics, Grain, Naval Drones - U24 > .
23-8-31 P00ti’s Black Sea blockade is a sham | Defence in Depth - Telegraph > .
23-6-4 Freedom for Belarus tied to Freedom for Ukraine - Perspective > .
23-1-30 Inside Polish Armored Infantry (Squad to Division) - Battle > .
23-1-8 War Economies - Russia and Ukraine won't collapse tomorrow - Perun > .
22-11-22 Why [the Ruscian Federation] cannot become a democracy - Caspian > .
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
22-9-22 How many troops can [desperate] Russia really mobilize? - Binkov > .
22-9-7 Intermarium - Poland Ukraine Baltics | George Friedman > .
22-7-22 Poland could become strongest land force in the EU - Binkov > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
22-7-4 Intermarium: Is Strongest Union In Europe About To Appear? - Complete > .
22-6-30 Russia's Cyberattack on Lithuania ~ NATO's Deeper Problems - Spaniel > .
22-6-28 Jacek Bartosiak - Kaliningrad, Suwalki Gap - Ruscia, Poland, Ukraine - S&F > .
22-6-24 Russia's Kaliningrad Problem with Lithuania = Ukraine 2.0-ish - Spaniel > .
22-6-21 Kaliningrad at center of dispute between Russia and Lithuania | DW > .
22-12-1 Belarus: Lukashenko: Europe's Last Dicktatorship [sic] - Shadows > .
22-5-6 Could Ukraine cause fall of Belarusian Dictator? - VisPol > . skip ad > .
22-3-23 Polish citizens join army b/o Russian invasion of Ukraine - BBC > .
22-3-17 Russia’s Nuclear Arsenal, World’s Largest, Comparisons | WSJ > .
23-1-10 1st anniversary of Elbasy’s ousting. Lessons for Pootin - Katz > .
22-1-27 Kazakhstan & Ukraine: Russia's Political and Military Manipulations - VP > .
21-12-30 What's Next for U.S. and Russia as Tensions Grow Over Ukraine | WSJ > .
22-1-27 Russia-Ukraine: Countdown To The Next European War? - gtbt > .
22-1-15 Finland and Sweden consider NATO membership - Caspian > .
22-1-10 Why Ukraine is Not a NATO Member - NATO > .
21-7-14 Lithuania accuses Belarus of using refugees as 'political weapon' - BBC > .
21-6-26 Lukashenko losing grip on Belarus? - Into > .
21-4-23 Alexei Navalny: will the West stand up to Russia? | Economist > .
The situation in eastern Ukraine is escalating. The conflict involves many international players, and each of them pursues its national interest. What is the current balance of power? Can the fighting in Donbas escalate into a full-blown war?
00:00 Intro .
Lenin Volga–Don Shipping Canal (Волго-Донской судоходный канал имени, В. И. Ленина, Volga-Donskoy soudokhodniy kanal imeni V. I. Lenina, abbreviated ВДСК, VDSK) is a broad ship canal that connects the Volga and the Don at their closest points. Opened in 1952, its length is 101 km (63 mi), 45 km (28 mi) of which is through rivers and reservoirs.
The canal forms a part of the Unified Deep Water System of European Russia. Together with the lower Volga and the lower Don, the canal provides the shortest navigable connection between the Caspian Sea and the world's oceans, if the Mediterranean is counted, via the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea.
21-4-30 Is Russia Becoming Irrelevant? - CoCa > .
21-1-12 What is Russia's Endgame? - gtbt > .
20-7-19 Russia - Ukraine War. Act Two? - gtbt > .
2014 P00ti vs West - BBC Select > .
"Eastern Europe"
Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..A Ryanair plane from Greece to Lithuania was diverted to Belarus for several hours on Sunday, with activists saying it was done to arrest a dissident journalist on board. EU leaders are due to discuss their response to what the union's executive called a "hijacking" and the US state department said was "a shocking act". Belarus scrambled a fighter jet to force the plane to land in Minsk, claiming a bomb threat. Police came and took Roman Protasevich away when passengers disembarked.
In recent weeks, Russia has been increasing its military presence on their border with Ukraine, leading many to worry the country might be preparing for conflict. So in this video we explain the context or Russian Ukrainian conflict and discuss if Russia's readying for war.
In recent weeks, Russia has been increasing its military presence on their border with Ukraine, leading many to worry the country might be preparing for conflict. So in this video we explain the context or Russian Ukrainian conflict and discuss if Russia's readying for war.
00:00 Intro .
01:04 Mobilization .
03:57 Novorossiya .
07:10 NATO or a nuclear weapon .
11:10 Realpolitik .
12:16 Outro .
The canal forms a part of the Unified Deep Water System of European Russia. Together with the lower Volga and the lower Don, the canal provides the shortest navigable connection between the Caspian Sea and the world's oceans, if the Mediterranean is counted, via the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea.
2014 Strategic Importance of the Caspian Sea - Strat > .
00:00 Intro
00:59 A state of constant vulnerability
05:00 The end of the unipolar world
08:00 The interior problem
11:10 A place at the table
14:30 Outro
The Protocol on the results of consultations of the Trilateral Contact Group on Ukraine, or commonly known as the Minsk Protocol, is an agreement to halt the war in the Donbas region of Ukraine, signed by representatives of that country, the Russian Federation, the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), the Luhansk People's Republic (LPR), and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) on 5 September 2014. It was signed after extensive talks in Minsk, Belarus, under the auspices of the OSCE. The agreement, which followed multiple previous attempts to stop the fighting in the Donbas, implemented an immediate ceasefire. It failed to stop fighting in Donbas, and was thus followed with a new package of measures, called Minsk II, which was agreed to on 12 February 2015. This too failed to stop the fighting, but the Minsk agreements remain the basis for any future resolution to the conflict, as agreed at the Normandy Format meeting.
The Normandy Format talks (Format Normandie) involve the representatives of four countries, Germany, Russia, Ukraine and France, who met informally during the 2014 D-Day celebration in Normandy, and who aim to resolve the war in Donbas. It has been also known as the Normandy contact group.
The group was created on June 6, 2014, when leaders from France, Germany, Russia, and Ukraine met on the margins of the 70th anniversary of the D-Day allied landings in Normandy. It operates mainly through telephone calls between the leaders and their respective ministers of foreign affairs. The Normandy Format has sometimes been expanded to include Belarus, Italy and the United Kingdom.
Negotiations and talks were stalled from 2016 until autumn 2019.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in his May 2019 inaugural address made peace talks with Russia his top priority. He reaffirmed that priority in July that year when he invited via YouTube his co-equal to a dialogue with the words:
The revelation in late September 2019 of a phone call between DJT and Zelenskiy in which the latter described the support of France and Germany as lukewarm damaged Zelenskiy's image in Europe. On 10 October, Zelenskiy repeated his statement in a public news conference. On 21 September, "continuing bickering" had been cited as causing "a political tug-of-war" over the preliminaries to negotiations, as they had been ever since the Normandy Format meeting in 2016 at Berlin, but the 9 September agreement between French President Emmanuel Macron and Russian President Vladimir Putin to reconvene quadripartite talks was duly remembered, and the decision to hold new talks was cemented at a joint Franco-German leaders meeting on 16 October.
Russia's Endgame?
Russia does not have a good press in the west. But what's under the slogans? What is the imperative for Russia?
00:59 A state of constant vulnerability
05:00 The end of the unipolar world
08:00 The interior problem
11:10 A place at the table
14:30 Outro
Negotiations and talks were stalled from 2016 until autumn 2019.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in his May 2019 inaugural address made peace talks with Russia his top priority. He reaffirmed that priority in July that year when he invited via YouTube his co-equal to a dialogue with the words:
Let's discuss who Crimea belongs to and who isn't in the Donbas region.On 18 July, a "comprehensive" cease-fire was agreed with arbitration by the Trilateral Contact Group on Ukraine.
The revelation in late September 2019 of a phone call between DJT and Zelenskiy in which the latter described the support of France and Germany as lukewarm damaged Zelenskiy's image in Europe. On 10 October, Zelenskiy repeated his statement in a public news conference. On 21 September, "continuing bickering" had been cited as causing "a political tug-of-war" over the preliminaries to negotiations, as they had been ever since the Normandy Format meeting in 2016 at Berlin, but the 9 September agreement between French President Emmanuel Macron and Russian President Vladimir Putin to reconvene quadripartite talks was duly remembered, and the decision to hold new talks was cemented at a joint Franco-German leaders meeting on 16 October.
The Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances refers to three identical political agreements signed at the OSCE conference in Budapest, Hungary on 5 December 1994 to provide security assurances by its signatories relating to the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. The memorandum was originally signed by three nuclear powers: the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, and the United States. China and France gave somewhat weaker individual assurances in separate documents.
The memorandum included security assurances against threats or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan.
As a result, between 1994 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons. Until then, Ukraine had the world's third-largest nuclear weapons stockpile, of which Ukraine had physical, if not operational, control. Their use was dependent on Russian-controlled electronic Permissive Action Links and the Russian command and control system.
In 2009, Russia and the United States released a joint statement that the memorandum's security assurances would still be respected after the expiration of the START Treaty.
After the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014, the US, Canada, the UK, along with other countries, stated that Russian involvement was a breach of its obligations to Ukraine under the Budapest Memorandum, which was transmitted to the United Nations under the signature of Sergei Lavrov and others, and in violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity. On 4 March 2014, the Russian president Vladimir Putin replied to a question on the violation of Budapest Memorandum, describing current Ukrainian situation as a revolution "a new state arises, but with this state and in respect to this state, we have not signed any obligatory documents." Russia stated that it had never been under obligation to "force any part of Ukraine's civilian population to stay in Ukraine against its will." Russia tried to suggest that the US was in violation of the Budapest Memorandum and described the Euromaidan as a US-instigated coup.
The memorandum included security assurances against threats or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan.
As a result, between 1994 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons. Until then, Ukraine had the world's third-largest nuclear weapons stockpile, of which Ukraine had physical, if not operational, control. Their use was dependent on Russian-controlled electronic Permissive Action Links and the Russian command and control system.
In 2009, Russia and the United States released a joint statement that the memorandum's security assurances would still be respected after the expiration of the START Treaty.
After the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014, the US, Canada, the UK, along with other countries, stated that Russian involvement was a breach of its obligations to Ukraine under the Budapest Memorandum, which was transmitted to the United Nations under the signature of Sergei Lavrov and others, and in violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity. On 4 March 2014, the Russian president Vladimir Putin replied to a question on the violation of Budapest Memorandum, describing current Ukrainian situation as a revolution "a new state arises, but with this state and in respect to this state, we have not signed any obligatory documents." Russia stated that it had never been under obligation to "force any part of Ukraine's civilian population to stay in Ukraine against its will." Russia tried to suggest that the US was in violation of the Budapest Memorandum and described the Euromaidan as a US-instigated coup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum_on_Security_Assurances .
2021-4-6 Ukraine-Russia tensions - BBC > .
Ukraine says 25,000 Russian troops have been stationed on its borders. This has drawn attention to Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 – the biggest landgrab in Europe since World War Two.
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11 - https://www.euronews.com/2021/04/12/g... .
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18 - https://www.theguardian.com/world/202... .
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