Wednesday, May 4, 2022

Gaming Alternatives

22-5-4 Ten Ways the Ukraine-Russia War Could End - Spaniel > .
23-11-17 America's 3 New Nukes (weapons they counter) - Sandboxx > .
23-10-19 [R-U & NoXious XIR Axis behind Hamas atrocities] - DiD > .
23-9-10 Industrial Competition & Consolidation, Military Procurement - Perun > .
23-9-2 When the Elites Will Topple P00ti (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-29 Dictatorships: From Spin to Fear | Ruscist Regression (subs) - Katz > .
23-8-20 NATO's Rearmament & Spending - NATO's R-U Response - Perun > .
23-8-15 Oppenheimer's nuclear warnings more relevant than ever - Caspian > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-5-13 [P00pagandistic manipulation and public opinion] (subs) - Katz > .
23-4-16 R-U Hybrid Warfare: P00paganda, cyber, hybrid methods - Perun > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
23-2-10 Political Apoothy | Blame Game, Coping Strategies (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-9 Russians vs Ruzzians - "Public" Opinion re Pooti - Times > .
23-2-5 Scary Stalinism vs Pathetic Pootinism [electioneering] (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-3 [Demented Krumblin Conspiracy Poopaganda] (subs) - Katz > .
23-2-3 Fiona Hill - NATO = Barrier to Pooti's Imperial Ambitions - SC > .
23-1-29 Ruscist Information Warfare - LIES, Confusion, Credulity - Perun > .
23-1-26 Ruscist poopaganda 0 : Ukrainian propaganda 1 - Forces > .
23-1-24 Pooti's Ztupid R-U Miscalculation: Self-Inflicted Disaster - Spaniel > .
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-18 What will end the war in Ukraine? - Binkov > .
23-5-14 Month 10 | Fake News: Ruscian Poopaganda for Beginners | ARTE > .
22-12-18 Poopaganda calls for "people's war" | [Message Shift] (subs) > .
22-12-14 Failing, Backfiring Ruscist Poopaganda (subs) - Katz > .
22-11-27 Poopaganda: Soviet Future Faking to "Correct Past" (subs) - MK > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
22-9-4 6 Months of Ukraine War - Economics, Endurance, Energy War - Perun > .
22-5-26 Russia Unlikely to Rise Up Against Putin - Complete History > .
Proxy Warfare 
R-U - Latest Map 2022 - αλλο >> .

This video covers ten of the most important possibilities, ranging from a complete Russian victory, to a Ukrainian upset, to World War III.
0:18 Afghanistan Syndrome
1:41 Putin Removed from Office
2:42 Victory Day "Victory"
4:20 Putin Gambles for Resurrection
6:08 Negotiated Settlement
7:13 Zelensky Eliminated
8:13 Complete Military Defeat of Ukraine
9:27 Ukraine Destroyed
10:35 It Doesn't
12:10 World War III

Causes?
0:00 Outline
1:19 Separatist Regions
3:54 Crimean Land Bridge
5:02 Russian Irredentism
6:42 East-West Rivalry
7:49 Energy
9:36 Water
10:34 Nazis
12:20 Substantive Explanations Are Half-Causes
12:54 Visualizing War's Expected Outcome (LINES ON MAPS)
14:21 Costs Incentivize Bargaining
15:09 Bargaining over Oil
17:00 Bargaining over Autonomy
17:34 Why War Is Puzzling
18:52 Preventive War and Shifting Power
21:00 Preemptive War and First Strikes
24:20 Uncertainty and Miscalculation
26:24 Rational, Unitary Actor Explanations for War
27:05 Irrationality
29:39 Personal Benefits
31:28 Substantive Cases and War Termination
32:57 Leadership Change
36:36 Stopping Power Shifts
39:52 Information Convergence
42:29 Endgame

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igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum

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