Saturday, January 24, 2015

Europe's Three Seas Initiative

Europe's plan to checkmate Russia - CaRe > .
Black Sea & Russia-Turkey Conflicts > .
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Poland's strategy of the Intermarium > .
21-7-14 Lithuania accuses Belarus of using refugees as 'political weapon' - BBC > .
21-6-26 Lukashenko losing grip on Belarus? - Into > .

NATO

Russia has regained much of its ability to project power abroad, but twelve nations in East Europe are designing a deterrence known as Three Seas (launched in 2015 by Croatian and Polish policymakers).
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The Three Seas Initiative (3SI, TSI, I3M), also known as the Baltic, Adriatic, Black Sea (BABS) Initiative, or simply the Three Seas, is a forum of twelve states in the European Union, located in Central and Eastern Europe. The combined area connects the Adriatic Sea, Baltic Sea, and Black Sea. The initiative aims to create a regional dialogue on a variety of questions affecting the member states. The twelve members met for their first summit in 2016, in Dubrovnik.

The Three Seas Initiative has twelve member states along a north–south axis from the Baltic Sea to the Adriatic Sea and the Black SeaAustria#, Bulgaria*, Croatia*, Czech Republic*, Estonia*, Hungary*, Latvia*, Lithuania*, Poland*, Romania*, Slovakia* and Slovenia*. [* = NATO member; # = NATO partner]

The initiative held its first summit in Dubrovnik on 25–26 August 2016. The two-day event ended with a declaration of co-operation in economic matters, particularly in the field of energy as well as transport and communications infrastructure.
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Intermarium (Polish: Międzymorze; Ukrainian: Міжмор'я, Belarusian: Міжмор’е) was a geopolitical project conceived by politicians in successor states of the former Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth in several iterations, some of which anticipated the inclusion as well of other, neighboring states. The proposed multinational polity would have extended across territories lying between the Baltic, Black and Adriatic Seas, hence the Latinate name Intermarium, meaning "Between-Seas".

Prospectively a federation of Central and Eastern European countries, the post-World War I Intermarium plan pursued by Polish leader and former political prisoner of the Russian Empire, Józef Piłsudski (1867–1935), sought to recruit to the proposed federation the Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia), FinlandBelarus, Ukraine, Hungary, Romania, Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia. The Polish name Międzymorze (from między, "between"; and morze, "sea"), meaning "Between-Seas", was rendered into Latin as "Intermarium."

The proposed federation was meant to emulate the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth, stretching from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea, that, from the end of the 16th century to the end of the 18th, had united the Kingdom of Poland and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania. Intermarium complemented Piłsudski's other geopolitical vision—Prometheism, whose goal was the dismemberment of the Russian Empire and that Empire's divestment of its territorial acquisitions.

Intermarium was, however, perceived by some Lithuanians as a threat to their newly established independence, and by some Ukrainians as a threat to their aspirations for independence, and while France backed the proposal, it was opposed by Russia and by most other Western powers. Within two decades of the failure of Piłsudski's grand scheme, all the countries that he had viewed as candidates for membership in the Intermarium federation had fallen to the Soviet Union or Nazi Germany, except for Finland (which suffered some territorial losses in the 1939–40 Winter War with the Soviet Union).



Thursday, January 22, 2015

Gazprom Corruption

Russia turns to China with landmark gas pipeline > .

Geographic Challenge - Russia

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Russia's Geographic Benefits & Challenges - Geek > .
24-1-9 Volga River - History, Importance; Volga-Don Canal - Animation > .
22-12-14 Failing, Backfiring Ruscist Poopaganda (subs) - Katz > .

Sunday, January 18, 2015

Kaliningrad

2020 Kaliningrad, Russian Military Base within Europe - VisPol > .
24-5-25 [Ruscia stripping Kaliningrad of defensive weaponry] - OBF > .
24-3-28 Reasons Lithuanians Dislike Ruscians (Konstantin) - Explained > .
23-10-28 Poland's military dream: A tank too far? - Geo Perspective > .
23-10-23 Poland Must Defend Ukraine against Historical Rival: Russia - GeoP > .
23-10-8 Could Poland Become Next Germany? | EcEx > .
23-10-6 Poland orders US HIMARS & SK Chunmoo systems - Binkov > .
23-8-31 Poland: powerhouse in the making - Caspian > .
22-11-27 Polish military modernisation & buying Korean kit - Perun > .
22-8-6 Kaliningrad: russian thorn in NATO's side - Nova Lectio > .
22-7-22 Poland could become strongest land force in the EU - Binkov > .
22-7-21 How the economy of Russia is dying (English subtitles) - Максим Кац > .
22-7-5 Kaliningrad Stand-Off - Lithuania vs Russia - gtbt > .
22-6-28 Jacek Bartosiak - Kaliningrad, Suwalki Gap - Ruscia, Poland, Ukraine - S&F > .
22-6-24 Russia's Kaliningrad Problem with Lithuania = Ukraine 2.0-ish - Spaniel > .
22-6-21 Kaliningrad at center of dispute between Russia and Lithuania | DW > .
22-6-21 Lithuania enforces sanctions on Ruscist shipments to Kaliningrad - Denys > .
Kaliningrad - Калининград - Present Tense >> .
Poland & Hinterland - CoRo >> .

Geostrategic Projection
European Geostrategic Projection ..

Kaliningrad is a historical rarity. This piece of land which was called Königsberg until 1945, ended up becoming a kind of Russian island in the middle of the European Union. A small semi-exclave surrounded on land, sea, and air by NATO territories but which has nevertheless become Russia's largest military base and the spearhead of Vladimir Putin's policy of pressure on Europe.

Nearly 20,000 soldiers, an entire fleet, almost 200 warplanes, and helicopters and more than 800 tanks form just one part of its huge war inventory. Even more dangerously, since 2014 Russia has deployed its powerful Iskander missiles on this territory. Tactical missiles with nuclear capability and whose launch systems are capable of attacking simultaneously with 32 such missiles in a single salvo.

In other words, Putin could launch dozens of nuclear warheads from Kaliningrad against NATO positions that would barely have time to react. The Iskander missiles are considered one of the critical systems in Russia's powerful nuclear deterrent arsenal. And now, for the first time in decades, such systems are deployed in the heart of Europe.

Kazakhstan

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24-6-28 Booming Demographics of Kazakhstan - KaiserBauch > .23-1-10 1st anniversary of Elbasy’s ousting. Lessons for Pootin - Katz > .
Commonwealth of Independent States
Political Geography - Kazakhstan - GeoNow > .


Russian-led forces entered Kazakhstan 22-1-6, under the guise of a Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) peacekeeping mission. The former Soviet state and significant oil producer has seen several days of sustained public protests turned violent after raising the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cannisters, a key local transportation fuel. Although the government reversed its decision to halt fuel subsidies, the move triggered widening protests outside the initial cluster in the resource-rich Mangystau region eventually reaching the largest city, Almaty. Several cabinet officials resigned as protests grew in scope and intensity; many Kazakhs are frustrated by the economic challenges of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, entrenched social inequality, and endemic corruption of the Kazakh state. After protestors stormed the Almaty airport January 5 and set fire to city administration building, Kazakh president Kassym-Jomart Tokayev allowed CSTO forces into the country to help quell unrest. Details are increasingly difficult to come by amidst an internet and media blackout, but security forces have already claimed to have killed dozens of protestors. The challenges facing Tokayev are legion, and easily discerned. What is a little less obvious are the opportunities now present for Moscow. Instability in former Soviet areas is always a delicate balancing act for Russia; protestor grievances in Kazakhstan likely mirror many of those not only in Russia, but throughout states on its periphery. Unrest is typically met with cracked skulls. But Kazakhstan's oil and gas wealth has afforded it more economic independence from Moscow than many of the other Central Asian states. Having Kazakhstan on the ropes and in need of aid--including an open invitation for Russian soldiers that are unlikely to leave after protestors go home--is right where Russia likes its neighbors to be.

Kazakhstan, officially the Republic of Kazakhstan, is a transcontinental country mainly located in Central Asia with a smaller portion west of the Ural River in Eastern Europe. It covers a land area of 2,724,900 square kilometres (1,052,100 sq mi), and shares land borders with Russia in the north, China in the east, and KyrgyzstanUzbekistan, and Turkmenistan in the south while also adjoining a large part of the Caspian Sea in the southwest. Kazakhstan does not border Mongolia, although they are only 37 kilometers apart, separated by a short portion of the border between Russia and China.

Kazakhstan is the world's largest landlocked country, and the ninth-largest country in the world. It has a population of 18.8 million residents, and has one of the lowest population densities in the world, at fewer than 6 people per square kilometre (15 people per sq mi). Since 1997, the capital is Nur-Sultan, formerly known as Astana. It was moved from Almaty, the country's largest city.

The territory of Kazakhstan has historically been inhabited by nomadic groups and empires. In antiquity, the nomadic Scythians inhabited the land and the Persian Achaemenid Empire expanded towards the southern territory of the modern country. Turkic nomads, who trace their ancestry to many Turkic states such as the First and Second Turkic Khaganates, have inhabited the country throughout its history. In the 13th century, the territory was subjugated by the Mongol Empire under Genghis Khan. By the 16th century, the Kazakh emerged as a distinct group, divided into three jüz. The Russians began advancing into the Kazakh steppe in the 18th century, and by the mid-19th century, they nominally ruled all of Kazakhstan as part of the Russian Empire. Following the 1917 Russian Revolution, and subsequent civil war, the territory of Kazakhstan was reorganised several times. In 1936, it was made the Kazakh Soviet Socialist Republic, part of the Soviet Union. Kazakhstan was the last of the Soviet republics to declare independence during the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991. Human rights organisations have described the Kazakh government as authoritarian, and regularly describe Kazakhstan's human rights situation as poor.

Kazakhstan is the most dominant nation of Central Asia economically, generating 60% of the region's GDP, primarily through its oil and gas industry. It also has vast mineral resources, and is officially a democratic, secular, unitary, constitutional republic with a diverse cultural heritage. Kazakhstan is a member of the United Nations (UN), WTOCIS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasian Economic UnionCSTOOSCEOICCCTS, the Turkic Council and TURKSOY

In early 2022 riots of an unprecedented scale broke out in Almaty, Kazakhstan. Kazakhs decided to bluntly express their dissatisfaction with the regime, while the wave of protests was followed by several events with a major impact on the order in the Central Asian region.
00:00 Intro
00:55 Balancing Autocrat
04:40 Power Struggle
09:18 International Police Force
18:10 Outro

Comment:
This video is interesting because it mentions the realities involving Kazakhstan and getting rid of the western lens of how people in the US and Europe see the world and events. Though one thing I would like to add is even though recently China has become important for investments into Kazakhstan it must be made clear that Kazakhstan along with the rest of central Asia is firmly in Moscow's grip. Russia has military bases in these countries and helps to facilitate the corruption in each of them to maintain it's influence. China doesn't come close to having this influence. Though that doesn't mean in the future they will [not] try to usurp Russia's position in the region

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...