Monday, June 28, 2021

Australia - Military Threat from China

22-4-28 Almost 60% of Australians want Australia to be tougher on China > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-28 Conversation with Senator the Hon Penny Wong - CSIS > .
22-3-27 Avoidable War - Kevin Rudd: US future conflict with China | 9 Aus > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-3-1 Tim Harcourt | Russia's Commodity-Heavy Sanctions & Australia - rh > .
2021 Economic & Military Implications of China's BRI (Kevin Rudd) - Asia Society > .
2021 Australia has rebelled against China (South Korea not followed) - VisPol > .Australia's CCP Problem - Rap >> .
ASEAN, AUKUS, CPTPP, QUAD - Compass Rose >> .
Indo-Pacific Security & Threats - Γαῖα >> .


Resources
Coming Resource Conflicts ..

Just when we thought Australia's relationship with China couldn’t get any worse, Beijing has delivered Australia another punch. It’s in the form of a list of 14 grievances it has with us and is polished off with an almighty threat: if you make an enemy of China, China will be the enemy! [More like: China will drop the smiley mask.] When that belligerence is combined with the upheaval of a new administration in Washington, it’s clear we are facing a dangerous new world order, and the Pacific is likely to be an especially vulnerable region. For the best analysis of what the immediate future might hold, 60 Minutes Australia speaks with H. R. McMaster, a highly respected military man and former U.S. national security adviser. But his expert assessment includes a grim warning. Australia, he reckons, has a battle on its hands.

Paul Dibb AM (born 3 October 1939) is an English-born Australian strategist, academic and former defence intelligence official. He is currently emeritus professor of strategic studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre which is part of the Australian National University.

He was the head of the National Assessments Staff (the predecessor to the Office of National Assessments) from 1974 to 1978, the director of the Joint Intelligence Organisation (the predecessor to the Defence Intelligence Organisation) from 1986 to 1988, and the head of the Defence Strategy and Intelligence Group with the rank of Deputy Secretary in the Department of Defence from 1988 to 1991. Dibb is also known for his contribution to Australian defence strategy through writing the 1986 Review of Australia’s defence capabilities, known as the Dibb Report, and being the primary author of the 1987 Defence White Paper. From 1965 to 1984, Dibb worked for the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation, tasked with gaining intelligence and recruiting KGB and GRU agents in Canberra. In 1991, Dibb retired from the Australian Public Service and became the director of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, part of the Australian National University until 2003–where he is currently the emeritus professor. During the Government of Prime Minister John Howard, Dibb was a member of the Foreign Minister's Foreign Policy Advisory Council.

Dibb's report was published in March 1986 and recommended for Australia to abandon the remaining elements of the forward defence policy but concentrate its military resources on the geographic areas relevant to defending the country and its economic interests from direct attack.

Dibb's recommendations were based around an assessment that "Australia is one of the most secure countries on earth" and that while there was the potential for regional conflict, the longer-term intentions and capabilities of countries in Australia's region could not be predicted and so did not form a suitable basis for planning.

Dibb recommended for Australia's military posture to be based on a strategy of denying aggressors the ability to attack the country. That was to be achieved through using a layered defence of Jindalee Operational Radar Network (over-the-horizon radar), patrol aircraft and maritime strike aircraft to protect Australia's approaches with the Army's Operational Deployment Force being responsible for defeating any landings on the Australian mainland. That would require changes to the Australian Defence Force's structure and equipment acquisition programs. The policy of self-reliance proposed by Dibb also placed less emphasis on ANZUS, its alliance with the United States, than previous policies.

The Dibb Report received a mixed response. Some experts regarded it as being an important contribution to developing an independent Australian defence posture. Other experts criticised the report for calling for an essentially defensive military strategy, implying that existing Australian military capabilities be abandoned and making optimistic assumptions about the period of time available to detect and respond to new threats to Australia. Many of the Dibb Report's assumptions were used in developing the 1987 Defence White Paper, but the Government did not adopt some of Dibb's key recommendations, such as those concerning Australia's relationship with the United States and the Australian military's role in the Pacific.

2019: China has released a new white paper on national defense, laying out the country's military preparedness and security strategy. It singled out the United States, Japan and Australia as actors allegedly causing security uncertainties in the Pacific region. The paper discusses those nations' moves to beef up their military presence and alliances. China claimed its own military does not pose a threat. Chinese officials say one of their top concerns remains independence movements in Tibet and in the northwestern Chinese province of Xinjiang. The paper also goes on to warn against independence for Taiwan, a self-governed island that China claims as part of its territory.


21st C - Australian Defence

21-8-30 Australia's Defence Complacency | Senator Jim Molan - John Anderson > .
24-2-27 Australia: a middle-power between West and East - STG > .
23-12-2 RNDF 2023: Deepening Defense Cooperation through AUKUS > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-9-10 Industrial Competition & Consolidation, Military Procurement - Perun > .
23-9-9 Xina Preparing For War With USA? | BRI | US-X Relations - Update > .
23-8-1 Australian Security: X-T conflict could erupt ‘on accident’ | Treverton > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-28 PLAN's Indo-Pacific Bases - Ream, Djibouti, Hambantota, Tonga - Focus > .
23-7-12 China Prepares (economics, resources) for War: A Timeline - Hudson > .
23-6-18 Procurement vs Efficacy - Requirements, R&D pitfalls - Perun > .
23-6-13 NATO IAMD | NATO Integrated Air and Missile Defence > .
23-5-31 Partnership of Freedom: AUKUS & Its Architects - Hudson > .
23-5-16 Australia’s New Submarines Fuse Western Military Tech | WSJ > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
23-4-29 [Macron's AUKUS Sulk => Lu Shaye] - Baltic World > .
22-12-20 US military in Pacific to prevent Xinese invasion of Taiwan - PBS > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-11-6 Defending Taiwan vs Xina's looming war threat | 60 Min Aus > .
22-10-1 Xina Battles US [Aus] for Control of Pacific Islands - Uncensored > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-4-28 Almost 60% of Australians want Australia to be tougher on China > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-4-2 Survey Reveals US-China-Taiwan-Japan Dynamics Post Ukraine War - Lei > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-25 A2/AD: A Strategy for Defence of Australia in 21st Century - hypo > .
22-1-6 Australia & Japan sign security cooperation treaty - Focus > .
22-3-1 Tim Harcourt | Russia's Commodity-Heavy Sanctions & Australia - rh > .
Australia's CCP Problem - Rap >> .

Senator Jim Molan, AO, DSC, a former Major-General in the Australian Army is currently Senator for New South Wales in the Australian Senate. The conversation re-examines Australia's defence and national security threats in the wake of the United States' disastrous exit from Afghanistan, and consider the potential for war with China in the coming years; how it could come about, how it might be waged, Australia's defence preparedness and the readiness with which we can rely on the United States for support. 

Jim Molan's military service included a broad range of command and staff appointments in operations, training, staff, and military diplomacy. His career saw him deployed to Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, East Timor, Malaysia, Germany, the US, and Iraq, where he served as Chief of Operations for Coalition forces in 2004. He is an accomplished infantryman, Indonesian speaker, and helicopter pilot. 

00:00 Intro
00:12 Introducing Jim Molan
02:00 Afghanistan - a giant wake-up call
06:23 America's military capacity
13:37 Australia's dangerous complacency
20:51 Cultural self-sabotage
28:54 What are China's objectives in the region?
32:15 'Grey-zone conflict'
33:39 The threat of cyber warfare
34:58 How would a war with China play out?
38:35 Australia's military - can it meet future challenges?
49:50 The key to meeting future threats
52:26 Concluding comments


Costs


Resources

Australian Foreign Policy

.
Senator Penny Wong on Expanding Australia’s Power and Influence - ANU > .
24-2-27 Australia: a middle-power between West and East - STG > .
24-1-9 Ċold Ŵar 2: NATO-like alliance vs Xina in the Indo-Pacific? | DW > .
23-8-1 Australian Security: X-T conflict could erupt ‘on accident’ | Treverton > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-28 PLAN's Indo-Pacific Bases - Ream, Djibouti, Hambantota, Tonga - Focus > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
Indo-Pacific AntiX - Naval Gazing >> .

Penelope Ying-Yen Wong (born 5 November 1968) is an Australian politician who has been a Senator for South Australia since 2002. She has served as Senate leader of the Australian Labor Party (ALP) since 2013, and is currently [2021] Leader of the Opposition in the Senate. She was a cabinet minister in the Rudd and Gillard Governments from 2007 to 2013.


Resources

Wednesday, June 16, 2021

Maritime Strategy - Australia

2021 Australia Maritime Strategy - Kamome > .
24-11-10 Ranking USA's Most Important Military Bases - Aaron Watson > .
24-5-19 Detection Advances vs Future of Ballistic, Attack Submarines - Perun > .
24-2-27 Australia: a middle-power between West and East - STG > .
24-2-18 Gallagher's Call for US Sealift Capacity Expansion vs Xina - Shipping > .
24-1-9 Ċold Ŵar 2: NATO-like alliance vs Xina in the Indo-Pacific? | DW > .
23-12-18 Xinese Agression in the South China Sea (SXS) - Warographics > . 
23-12-2 RNDF 2023: Deepening Defense Cooperation through AUKUS > .
23-10-25 US & [I-P-CW] vs Xina: Preparations to Fight War - Real > .
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-8-17 Xina will watch AFU's marines as Ruscia attempts A2/AD | Tele > .
23-8-1 Australian Security: X-T conflict could erupt ‘on accident’ | Treverton > .
23-5-16 Australia’s New Submarines Fuse Western Military Tech | WSJ > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
23-4-29 [Macron's AUKUS Sulk => Lu Shaye] - Baltic World > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-1 Xina Battles US [Aus] for Control of Pacific Islands - Uncensored > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-7-4 QUAD going beyond military exercises — Xina watching > .
22-4-28 Almost 60% of Australians want Australia to be tougher on China > .
22-4-19 Uncertainty re building of Australia’s nuclear submarines | ABC > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-25 A2/AD: A Strategy for Defence of Australia in 21st Century - hypo > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-1-13 Sea control and sea denial — naval vs land warfare - Anders > .
Australia's CCP Problem - Rap >> .

Tuesday, June 15, 2021

NZ, Aus, USA vs China in Pacific

24-7-29 How USA Benefits From Overseas Territories - Versed > . skip > .





21-4-21 Australia provokes China anger over scrapped deals: Australia has scrapped agreements tied to China's Belt and Road initiative, prompting anger from Beijing and adding further strain to tense relations between the countries. The federal government used new powers to rip up two deals made between the state of Victoria and China.

Canberra said it was backing away from the agreements to protect Australia's national interestIt is the first time Canberra has used the powers to veto deals made by states, local governments or public universities with foreign countries. The laws allow the government to cancel agreements deemed to threaten Australia's national interest.

In addition to the China deals, Foreign Minister Marise Payne also scrapped agreements with Iran and Syria. They were a memorandum of understanding sealed between Victoria's education department and Iran, signed in 2004, and a 1999 scientific cooperation agreement signed with Syria. Senator Payne said the four agreements were "inconsistent with Australia's foreign policy or adverse to our foreign relations".

Canberra has taken other steps to curtail China's influence in the country, including putting a ban on telecoms giant Huawei from building Australia's 5G network and tightening foreign investment laws.

21-11-24 US restricts trade with a dozen more Chinese technology firmsThe US government has added a dozen more Chinese companies to its restricted trade list, citing national security and foreign policy concerns. Washington says that some of the firms are helping develop the Chinese military's quantum computing programme. Chinese telecoms giant Huawei was added to the list in 2019 over claims that it posed a risk US national security. The new move cut it off from some of its key suppliers and made it difficult for the company to produce mobile phones. A total of 27 new entities were added to the list from China, Japan, Pakistan, and Singapore.

Eight Chinese-based technology firms were added to the so-called "Entity List" for their alleged role in assisting the Chinese military's quantum computing efforts and acquiring or attempting "to acquire US origin-items in support of military applications". This entity list has increasingly been used for national security reasons since the previous tRUMP Badministration.

The US Commerce Department also said 16 individuals and entities operating in China and Pakistan were added to the list due to their involvement in "Pakistan's unsafeguarded nuclear activities or ballistic missile program." 

Separately, the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology was added to the department's military end user list, although the listing gave no more details other than it had produced military equipment.

Trade was among the items discussed at a virtual summit between the leaders of both countries earlier this month. This latest move comes as tensions grow between the US and China over the status of Taiwan and other issues.

The new listings will help prevent American technology from supporting the development of Chinese and Russian "military advancement and activities of non-proliferation concern like Pakistan's unsafeguarded nuclear activities or ballistic missile program," Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said in a statement.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...