Thursday, March 24, 2022
Monday, March 21, 2022
Hacktivism ➾ 2022
22-3-3 Ukraine's Hacker Army Is Targeting Russia - Seytonic > .
24-1-6 R-U War: First Сyberwar in History 1 - UA > .
22-11-19 Splinternet - Xina 1st of 35+ Countries Leaving Global Internet - Tech > .
22-9-29 Is Your Laptop's Microphone Spying On You? - Seytonic > .
22-9-29 Pegasus: The Most Dangerous Virus In The World - Tech > .
22-9-26 Google: Hackers Working With Russia to Coordinate Cyberattacks | WSJ > .
22-9-4 Cyber War in Ukraine - Red Line > .
22-8-29 "US" Propaganda Bots Spam Memes at Russia - Seytonic > .
22-8-18 Protecting Satellites From Hackers: Calls for Standards Grow | WSJ > .
22-8-6 Pegasus Spyware Leaks - Seytonic > .
22-8-29 "US" Propaganda Bots Spam Memes at Russia - Seytonic > .
22-8-18 Protecting Satellites From Hackers: Calls for Standards Grow | WSJ > .
22-8-6 Pegasus Spyware Leaks - Seytonic > .
22-6-30 Russia's Cyberattack on Lithuania ~ NATO's Deeper Problems - Spaniel > .
22-6-21 Understanding R-U War (16) - Technology c Lucia Velasco > .
22-4-28 Great Firewall of Russia (RuNet) - TechAltar > .
22-4-25 Ronan Farrow: How Democracies Spy on their Citizens | A&Co > .
22-4-19 How Cyberwarfare Actually Works (Stuxnet +) - Wendover > .
22-4-16 Russian TV Network Hacked - Seytonic > .
22-4-7 Ukraine's battle of the airwaves | FT > .
22-3-24 Warning of “First Major Cyber War Between 2 Powers” - A&Co > .
22-3-18 Fake DDoS Tool Targets Ukraine Hacker Army - Seytonic > .
Monday, March 14, 2022
Ċold Ŵar 2 ➾ WW3?
“I do not know with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.” – attributed to Albert Einstein. Albert would probably be amused to learn that sticks are already being used effectively by the AFU in Ukraine.
24-3-6 EU Defense Union: How Far Should We Integrate? - Simple > . skip > .24-2-20 Why Europe is Reinstating Conscription - TLDR > .23-12-23 Future of EU Defense: NATO or the EU? (ft. UEF) - Simple > .
Herman Kahn (February 15, 1922 – July 7, 1983) was a founder of the Hudson Institute and one of the preeminent futurists of the latter part of the twentieth century. He originally came to prominence as a military strategist and systems theorist while employed at the RAND Corporation. He became known for analyzing the likely consequences of nuclear war and recommending ways to improve survivability, making him one of the historical inspirations for the title character of Stanley Kubrick's classic black comedy film satire Dr. Strangelove. In his commentary for Fail Safe, director Sidney Lumet remarked that the Professor Groeteschele character is also based on Herman Kahn. Kahn's theories contributed heavily to the development of the nuclear strategy of the United States.
The Escalation Ladder
1. Sub crisis Disagreement
2. Crisis
3. Political, Diplomatic & Economic Gestures
4. Show of Force
5. Modest Mobilization
6. Acts of Violence
7. Limited Military Confrontation
8. Intense Crisis
9. Limited Evacuation
10. Super Ready Status
11. Controlled Local War
12. Spectacular Show of Force
13. Limited, Non Local War
14. Complete Evacuation
15. All Out War
16. Aftermath
One thing is certain, Тѕаr Rυnt cannot win WW3.
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
22-3-31 Putin's Armageddon Weapon - mfp > .
22-3-22 Ukraine war: How might it end? - Sky > .
22-3-16 The Tyrant: Will Vladimir Pootin spark another world war? | 60 Min Aus > . (NB, Tony Kevin is an effing ar8elicking-PooTinist idiot)
Proxy Warfare
23-8-19 Art of War: Proxy Warfare - Warographics > . skip > .
> EuM - European Defense >> EU Army?
Geostrategic Projection > Strategy >>
GMD - Ground-Based Midcourse Defense
24-4-19 GMD - America's Missile Defense - T&P > .
➾ 2022 ..
1. Sub crisis Disagreement
2. Crisis
3. Political, Diplomatic & Economic Gestures
4. Show of Force
5. Modest Mobilization
6. Acts of Violence
7. Limited Military Confrontation
8. Intense Crisis
9. Limited Evacuation
10. Super Ready Status
11. Controlled Local War
12. Spectacular Show of Force
13. Limited, Non Local War
14. Complete Evacuation
15. All Out War
16. Aftermath
Thursday, March 3, 2022
Threat & Response ➾ 2022
22-3-25 Are Tanks Obsolete? [Vlad's Disaster &] The Future of Warfare - nwyt > .
23-8-20 NATO's Rearmament & Spending - NATO's R-U Response - Perun > .
23-6-13 NATO IAMD | NATO Integrated Air and Missile Defence > .
23-5-13 [Ztupidity: P00, Babitchkas, Prickozhin, Fodder, nukes, Xi] - CBC > .
23-2-22 How Ukraine Saved Kyiv: Ruscian Missteps, Ukrainian Ingenuity - Spaniel > .
22-12-8 History Behind Russia's Expansionary Foreign Policy - Kotkin | Policy > .
22-12-8 War in Ukraine 'has activated the West', expert says - Forces > .
22-12-8 War in Ukraine 'has activated the West', expert says - Forces > .
22-11-25 US Military's Biggest Crisis = Recruitment, Retention, Training - nwyt > .
22-10-21 Response if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in Ukraine? - J K-L > .
22-10-16 The most pointless war of the century (subs) - Katz > .
22-10-7 What If Pootin Nukes Ukraine? - OBF > .
22-10-1 America's Missile Defense Problem - Poly > .
22-9-4 6 Months of Ukraine War - Economics, Endurance, Energy War - Perun > .
22-8-20 How Long Will It Take Russia to Rebuild Its Military? - CoCa > .
> Satellite Imagery >>
Pootin and the Presidents: Interviews | PBS >> .
Marina Ovsyannikova: German outlet hires Russian protester 👍Marina Ovsyannikova: Protesting journalist says Russians zombified by propaganda .
Остановите войну, не верьте пропаганде, здесь вам врут.Ovsyannikova shouted:
[Stop the war, don't believe the propaganda, here you are being lied to.]
Russians against war
Остановите войну! Нет войне! [Stop the war! No war!]
After Ovsyannikova's on-air protest, Russian human rights group OVD-Info posted a video she had pre-recorded on Telegram. In the video, she stated that she was "ashamed of working for Kremlin propaganda":
"What is happening in Ukraine is a crime. Russia is an aggressor country and the responsibility for this aggression rests on the conscience of only one person. That person is Vladimir Putin. My father is Ukrainian, my mother is Russian, and they've never been enemies. This necklace I'm wearing is a symbol of that fact that Russia must immediately end this fratricidal war and our fraternal peoples will still be able to reconcile. Unfortunately, I've spent the last few years working for Channel One, doing Kremlin propaganda, and I'm very ashamed of this. Ashamed that I allowed lies to be broadcast from TV screens. Ashamed that I allowed others to zombify Russian people. We were silent in 2014 when all this started. We didn't protest when the Kremlin poisoned Navalny. We just silently watched this inhuman regime at work. And now the whole world has turned its back on us. And the next 10 generations won't wash away the stain of this fratricidal war. We Russians are thinking and intelligent people. It's in our power alone to stop all this madness. Go protest. Don't be afraid of anything. They can't lock us all away."Marina Ovsyannikova: Russian journalist tells of 14-hour interrogation .
BOAK ..
Monday, February 28, 2022
Absolving NATO - cāsūs bellī
22-7-8 Mearsheimer wrong about Russia's war in Ukraine. Stubb, 5 arguments | STG > .
23-2-3 Fiona Hill - NATO = Barrier to Pooti's Imperial Ambitions - SC > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
cāsūs bellī - pro libertate >> .
Comment:
The real cause for the war is fear on the part of Putin. He has five fears:
Comment:
The real cause for the war is fear on the part of Putin. He has five fears:
1) Fear of losing foreign revenue from the sale of oil and natural gas when Ukraine develops its own reserves, and becomes a competitor to Russia in the open market. If Ukraine joins the EU, they will likely give better prices to Europe, and reduce their foreign exports. Since these exports account for a large portion of Russia's external trade, it could devastate their economy. The areas that contain these oil and gas reserves are, not surprisingly, in the region of the Crimea (particularly offshore) and the Donbass. Big surprise these are the areas Russia took control of in 2014.
2) Fear of a wealthy free market Ukraine that is a liberal democracy appearing on Russia's doorsteps. This would be a bitter pill to swallow, since Ukraine has actually started in a worse economic position than Russia. If Ukraine suddenly becomes a dynamic economy with an open society, it will demonstrate beyond a doubt the bankruptcy of Russia's current system, and overthrow everything that Putin has been working towards. It will also show the fallacy of "Russkiy Mir" and Dugin's "Foundations of Geopolitics", things that are the bedrock of Putin's idealized Russia. In Putin's mind it is better to kill the messenger than listen to the message.
3) Fear of losing Crimea is the direct cause of this war, in my mind. Putin made his land grab in 2014 with two things in mind: extending Russian influence over the entirety of the northern Black Sea region (imperialism), and controlling the oil and gas reserves. By placing long-range anti-ship and anti-aircraft missile systems in Crimea, Putin is extending his imperialistic control of the region almost to the shores of Turkey in the south and Romania in the west. This feeds into his desire to dominate and control, i.e. Putin's megalomania. The oil and gas issue is discussed in 1) above. Problem is, when they took control of Crimea in 2014, Russia did not gain control of the North Crimea Canal, the primary source of water for irrigation and human consumption in the region. Ukraine blocked the canal, and in the intervening years the reservoirs in Crimea have dropped to 7% capacity. Using some quick and dirty math, this indicates Crimea would had to have been evacuated of most of its population this summer. Putin poured a lot of money into building the Kerch Bridge, emplacing all the AA and anti-ship weapon systems, and improving military infrastructure. And for want of a canal he would have lost it all this year.
4) Fear of looking weak is Putin's fourth fear. He is a strongman, a megalomaniac, and they never like to look weak. He could not allow Ukraine to corner him, so instead he attacked.
5) Related to 1) and 3), Putin is afraid of losing economic, military and political leverage, particularly over the EU countries. Loss of being the primary market for the EU's energy needs means loss of economic leverage, loss of Crimea means loss of military leverage, and losing in one or both of these fields means loss of political leverage. He is afraid of Russia losing its superpower status, and ability to coerce countries into doing its bidding. Please note that in none of this does NATO show up as a reason for the war. Putin's concern about NATO is that it would provide a shield for Ukraine, and he could never fulfill his dream of a "Greater Russia" incorporating all the Slavic nations, the old Czarist dream from the 1800s.
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sī vīs pācem, parā bellum
igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...
