22-12-30 Most disappointing politicians - VisPol > .
Centrist incumbent president Emmanuel Macron has been re-elected French president with an estimated 58.2% of the vote, while his far-right challenger Marine Le Pen, took 41.8%. After a fractious campaign that has seen the far right come its closest yet to winning power.
21-6-27 France elections: Far-right-wrong National Rally loses key battleground states - poll: France's far-right-wrong National Rally (RN) look to have failed in their bid to win their first ever region. Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur was a target for Marine Le Pen's party. But exit polls suggest their hotly-tipped candidate, Thierry Mariani, took only 43% of the vote and lost to the centre-right Republicans.
The election - which saw a potentially record low turnout of less than 30% - also brought disappointment for President Emmanuel Macron. His centrist party, La République En Marche (LREM), also failed to win control of any region. It also performed badly in the first round, which was held last week. It was the first time President Macron's party has taken part in regional elections, as it did not exist the last time they were held in 2015.
Other early results from the second round suggest wins for traditional centre-right parties, and for the left.
Comment: "French citizen here,
Le Pen currently seems to be ahead in the polls by around 2%, as much as many people outside the country may think, it is very unlikely that Le Pen will win. In order to win the election without a second round happening, you need more than 50% of the votes, which is extremely unlikely nowadays.
That means that the second round will happen between Macron (or another candidate) and Le Pen. It always happened this way: if the National Rally is in the second round of any election, the rest of the entire French political spectrum will vote against Le Pen. This is why Macron and Le Pen as a duel seemed pretty tight during the first round of 2017, but Macron ended up winning with 60% of the votes during the second round.
Contrary to the US, being the incumbent candidate in France usually isn't an advantage, it's hard to be popular as a President in France, your average President in France doesn't have a very high popularity. In the case of Macron however.. as much as he is unpopular among many, if he ends in the second round against Le Pen, he will be the first President to pull off a second term since 2002.
As for Les Républicains, they are indeed on the Center-Right, however their most Right-wing side is usually very Conservative and tends to try to "steal" electors from the National Rally by talking against the migration crisis and about security. The Socialist Party is pretty much done and the major force in the Left-Wing is now "La France Insoumise", though it's very unlikely they will pass the first round.
Could Le Pen Win? I don't think she will, but feel free to return to this comment if I do end up being wrong. It's possible she will gain more votes than last time however, one can be impressed by how she managed to recover from her 2017 disastrous debate. See you next year!"
Other early results from the second round suggest wins for traditional centre-right parties, and for the left.
Comment: "French citizen here,
Le Pen currently seems to be ahead in the polls by around 2%, as much as many people outside the country may think, it is very unlikely that Le Pen will win. In order to win the election without a second round happening, you need more than 50% of the votes, which is extremely unlikely nowadays.
That means that the second round will happen between Macron (or another candidate) and Le Pen. It always happened this way: if the National Rally is in the second round of any election, the rest of the entire French political spectrum will vote against Le Pen. This is why Macron and Le Pen as a duel seemed pretty tight during the first round of 2017, but Macron ended up winning with 60% of the votes during the second round.
Contrary to the US, being the incumbent candidate in France usually isn't an advantage, it's hard to be popular as a President in France, your average President in France doesn't have a very high popularity. In the case of Macron however.. as much as he is unpopular among many, if he ends in the second round against Le Pen, he will be the first President to pull off a second term since 2002.
As for Les Républicains, they are indeed on the Center-Right, however their most Right-wing side is usually very Conservative and tends to try to "steal" electors from the National Rally by talking against the migration crisis and about security. The Socialist Party is pretty much done and the major force in the Left-Wing is now "La France Insoumise", though it's very unlikely they will pass the first round.
Could Le Pen Win? I don't think she will, but feel free to return to this comment if I do end up being wrong. It's possible she will gain more votes than last time however, one can be impressed by how she managed to recover from her 2017 disastrous debate. See you next year!"
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