Saturday, June 13, 2020

Primacy - China’s Quest

...
22-4-21 Russia–Ukraine war, US–China rivalry, Thucydides’s Trap > .
22-4-5 Russia-Ukraine war → Xi's new strategy for Taiwan reunification - Lei > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-28 China's Economic Rise—End of the Road - cfr > .
22-3-26 China has “Fully Militarized” the South China Sea - Uncensored > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For China - Rudd > .
22-2-15 China’s Taiwan Invasion? | Peter Zeihan @ Fort Benning Q & A > .
22-1-13 Sea control and sea denial — naval vs land warfare - Anders > .
21-12-28 Why China Wants to Annex Taiwan | What Could Go Wrong - gtbt > .
21-12-16 Taiwan: a full Chinese invasion would be difficult for PLA - Focus > .
2021 Why the US Military worries about Chinese Air Power - mah > .
PLA/N Plan - enDürer >> .
TaiXi - China vs Taiwan, Western Pacific - enDürer >> .
ChOz - China-Australia Tensions - enDürer >> .
AUKUS, QUAD vs CCP - enDürer >> .
InCh - India vs China+Pakistan - enDürer >> .



"Hugh White is a bit of a rock star in Australia having predicted the issues with China way back. He disagrees with Peter Zeihan in two major and interesting ways. 
1. He doesn't think that China is going away or going to collapse in any way. 
2. He thinks that the USA wants to remain in the region and fight for primacy."


A decade ago, former senior Australian government advisor on national strategic and defence policy Professor Hugh White, foreshadowed Australia’s future as a middle power in the Asia Pacific divided between the People Republic of China's (PRC) growing economic strength and the American leadership that has long kept Asia peaceful and Australia secure. In his thesis ‘Power Shift: Australia’s future between Washington and Beijing’, published in the Quarterly Essay, he argued that Australian foreign and strategic policy should aim to promote a new order in Asia whereby the US is persuaded to relinquish primacy in the region, in favour of working with the PRC and others in a shared regional leadership.

In 2021, there appears growing evidence that contrary to White’s advice, Canberra is throwing its support behind Washington in a competition between great powers. And Washington and Beijing are struggling to find a way to work together peacefully as relative power shifts from one to the other. Has the ‘bleak’ future foreshadowed in White’s analysis been confirmed? Is it too late for Australia to change tack? Or have weaknesses in White’s thesis been revealed, and does an alternative, potentially more positive future for Australia await even as relations between its security guarantor and most important economic partner deteriorate?

21-12-28 From economic miracle to mirage – will China’s GDP ever overtake the US?: Analysis: issues of governance, rising debt, COVID and property market turmoil will delay Beijing’s quest to become the global economy’s No 1.

Comment:
China's Global Peace Plan: 
中国对外友好方策: 
1. Geopolitical jousting with all of its neighbors. 
2. The incursions in the South China Sea 
3. The naval aggression in the Indo-Pacific 
4. The border provocations in Ladakh, India. 
5. The bullying acts against Taiwan. 
6. The erasure of Tibetan identity 
7. The repression of Uyghurs in Xinjiang. 
8. The purging of political opponents. 
9. The crack down on the rich and influential. 
10. The suppression of Mongolian language and culture. 
11. The suppression of Religion in China; Islam , Christianity, Fa Lun Gong, and even Tibetan Buddhism. 
12. Arresting Human Rights lawyers. 
13. Illegal Organ Harvesting of Prisoners and Dissent. 
14. Using the Belt and Road Initiative as a tool to control other countries into submission using Debt Diplomacy. 
15. Using the Belt and Road Initiative as a tool to plunder other countries' natural resources and to build military bases in the guise of airports and seaports. 
16. CCP Distorting UN Resolutions . 
17. Revoking of Licenses of Human rights Lawyers in China .


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