Wednesday, June 16, 2021

Maritime Strategy - Australia

2021 Australia Maritime Strategy - Kamome > .
24-11-10 Ranking USA's Most Important Military Bases - Aaron Watson > .
24-5-19 Detection Advances vs Future of Ballistic, Attack Submarines - Perun > .
24-2-27 Australia: a middle-power between West and East - STG > .
24-2-18 Gallagher's Call for US Sealift Capacity Expansion vs Xina - Shipping > .
24-1-9 Ċold Ŵar 2: NATO-like alliance vs Xina in the Indo-Pacific? | DW > .
23-12-18 Xinese Agression in the South China Sea (SXS) - Warographics > . 
23-12-2 RNDF 2023: Deepening Defense Cooperation through AUKUS > .
23-10-25 US & [I-P-CW] vs Xina: Preparations to Fight War - Real > .
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-8-17 Xina will watch AFU's marines as Ruscia attempts A2/AD | Tele > .
23-8-1 Australian Security: X-T conflict could erupt ‘on accident’ | Treverton > .
23-5-16 Australia’s New Submarines Fuse Western Military Tech | WSJ > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
23-4-29 [Macron's AUKUS Sulk => Lu Shaye] - Baltic World > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-1 Xina Battles US [Aus] for Control of Pacific Islands - Uncensored > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Nancy Peolosi’s trip ⇝ XXP and Xina-Taiwan relations - Lei > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-7-4 QUAD going beyond military exercises — Xina watching > .
22-4-28 Almost 60% of Australians want Australia to be tougher on China > .
22-4-19 Uncertainty re building of Australia’s nuclear submarines | ABC > .
22-4-4 Peter Jennings | China & National Security - John Anderson > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-25 A2/AD: A Strategy for Defence of Australia in 21st Century - hypo > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-1-13 Sea control and sea denial — naval vs land warfare - Anders > .
Australia's CCP Problem - Rap >> .

Tuesday, June 15, 2021

NZ, Aus, USA vs China in Pacific

24-7-29 How USA Benefits From Overseas Territories - Versed > . skip > .





21-4-21 Australia provokes China anger over scrapped deals: Australia has scrapped agreements tied to China's Belt and Road initiative, prompting anger from Beijing and adding further strain to tense relations between the countries. The federal government used new powers to rip up two deals made between the state of Victoria and China.

Canberra said it was backing away from the agreements to protect Australia's national interestIt is the first time Canberra has used the powers to veto deals made by states, local governments or public universities with foreign countries. The laws allow the government to cancel agreements deemed to threaten Australia's national interest.

In addition to the China deals, Foreign Minister Marise Payne also scrapped agreements with Iran and Syria. They were a memorandum of understanding sealed between Victoria's education department and Iran, signed in 2004, and a 1999 scientific cooperation agreement signed with Syria. Senator Payne said the four agreements were "inconsistent with Australia's foreign policy or adverse to our foreign relations".

Canberra has taken other steps to curtail China's influence in the country, including putting a ban on telecoms giant Huawei from building Australia's 5G network and tightening foreign investment laws.

21-11-24 US restricts trade with a dozen more Chinese technology firmsThe US government has added a dozen more Chinese companies to its restricted trade list, citing national security and foreign policy concerns. Washington says that some of the firms are helping develop the Chinese military's quantum computing programme. Chinese telecoms giant Huawei was added to the list in 2019 over claims that it posed a risk US national security. The new move cut it off from some of its key suppliers and made it difficult for the company to produce mobile phones. A total of 27 new entities were added to the list from China, Japan, Pakistan, and Singapore.

Eight Chinese-based technology firms were added to the so-called "Entity List" for their alleged role in assisting the Chinese military's quantum computing efforts and acquiring or attempting "to acquire US origin-items in support of military applications". This entity list has increasingly been used for national security reasons since the previous tRUMP Badministration.

The US Commerce Department also said 16 individuals and entities operating in China and Pakistan were added to the list due to their involvement in "Pakistan's unsafeguarded nuclear activities or ballistic missile program." 

Separately, the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology was added to the department's military end user list, although the listing gave no more details other than it had produced military equipment.

Trade was among the items discussed at a virtual summit between the leaders of both countries earlier this month. This latest move comes as tensions grow between the US and China over the status of Taiwan and other issues.

The new listings will help prevent American technology from supporting the development of Chinese and Russian "military advancement and activities of non-proliferation concern like Pakistan's unsafeguarded nuclear activities or ballistic missile program," Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said in a statement.

Saturday, June 12, 2021

QUAD - QSD

AIJU, QSD - The making of an Asian NATO > . Australia, India, Japan, USA
24-4-12 India | [Modious's] Dying Democracy? - Prof J K-L > .
24-1-9 Ċold Ŵar 2: NATO-like alliance vs Xina in the Indo-Pacific? | DW > .
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-9-14 Hx Japan vs Xina: Why Xina and Japan are headed to war - BuBa > .
23-8-23 China vs Japan: Japan Preparing for War with Xina - BuBa > .
23-7-29 Taiwan: Japanese & US Moves | Update > .
23-7-28 PLAN's Indo-Pacific Bases - Ream, Djibouti, Hambantota, Tonga - Focus > .
23-7-23 South Korean Defence Strategy - Mass, Firepower, Industry - Perun > .
23-7-21 Brain Drain & Capital Issues Plague India's Tech Industry || Peter Zeihan > .
23-6-2 AUKUS: Australia Preparing for War - T&P > .
23-5-1 Australia’s nuclear submarines enough to deter Xina? | ABC > .
23-4-23 Japanese History, Defence Strategy & Rearmament - Perun > .
23-3-13 Yi Fuxian: The Chinese Century Is Already Over - Update > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-2-28 Xina & ROC war prep: martial law, nuclear emergency, wartime controls > .
23-2-10 Why Japan's Military is Gladly Readying for War - T&P > .
23-1-13 US & Japan boost cooperation; Marines ready to counter Xina > .
22-12-14 US National Security Strategy in 6 points – Geopolitics c Alex Stubb > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-11-17 US-Xina-Taiwan relations (G20 2022) - Update > .
22-11-2 Photos - Xina’s Massive Military Buildup in South China Sea - Unc > .
22-10-15 Japan - national debt, liquidity trap vs artificial inflation - VisEco > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-10-1 India Will Not Be The Next Xina - EcEx > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-9-21 How China’s Military Drills Could Choke Off Taiwan’s Internet | WSJ > .
22-8-31 Shocking Chinese Mercenary Groups Around the World - T&P > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-21 Japan Is (Again) Becoming a Military Powerhouse - gtbt > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-21 Why Every NATO Member Joined (Why Others Haven't) - Spaniel > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-7-4 QUAD going beyond military exercises — Xina watching > .
22-6-26 US administration's plan to control Asia-Pacific - VisPol > . skip ad > .
22-4-28 Almost 60% of Australians want Australia to be tougher on China > .
22-3-31 Darwin new port - Australian military and industry | ABC > .
22-3-26 China has “Fully Militarized” the South China Sea - Uncensored > .
22-3-25 US & World Should Have A 'Coherent, Bipartisan' Strategy For China - Rudd > .
22-3-1 Tim Harcourt | Russia's Commodity-Heavy Sanctions & Australia - rh > .
22-2-10 Hiding in Plain Sight: China's Military Power, 1995-2020 - CISAC Stanford > .
22-1-31 Will Taiwan Spark a US-China Conflict? - Whatifalthist > .
22-1-12 India's Armed Forces Special Powers Act - extended in Nagaland - Sengupta > .
22-1-6 Australia & Japan sign security cooperation treaty - Focus > .
2021 (Ishigaki Plan) Could Japan save Taiwan from China? - VisPol > .
2021 Remote Islands - Technically Part of Tokyo [Prefecture] - Half > .
2021 - QUAD vs CCP - Bal Pow >> .
ASEAN, AUKUS, CPTPP, QUAD - Compass Rose >> .


The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QSD, also known as the Quad) is an informal strategic dialogue between the United States, Japan, Australia and India that is maintained by talks between member countries. The dialogue was initiated in 2007 by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan, with the support of Vice President Dick Cheney of the US, Prime Minister John Howard of Australia and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh of India. The dialogue was paralleled by joint military exercises of an unprecedented scale, titled Exercise Malabar. The diplomatic and military arrangement was widely viewed as a response to increased Chinese economic and military power, and the Chinese government responded to the Quadrilateral dialogue by issuing formal diplomatic protests to its members.

The QSD ceased following the withdrawal of Australia during Kevin Rudd’s tenure as prime minister, reflecting ambivalence in Australian policy over the growing tension between the United States and China in the Asia-Pacific. Following Rudd's replacement by Julia Gillard in 2010, enhanced military cooperation between the United States and Australia was resumed, leading to the placement of US Marines near Darwin, Australia, overlooking the Timor Sea and Lombok Strait. India, Japan, and the United States continue to hold joint naval exercises through Malabar.

During the 2017 ASEAN Summits in Manila, all four former members led by Shinzo Abe, Narendra Modi, Malcolm Turnbull, and DJT agreed to revive the quadrilateral alliance in order to counter China militarily and diplomatically in the South China Sea. Tensions between Quad members and China have led to fears of what was dubbed by some commentators as "a new Cold War" in the region.

In a 2021 joint statement, "The Spirit of the Quad," Quad members described "a shared vision for a Free and Open Indo-Pacific," and a "rules-based maritime order in the East and South China Seas," which Quad members state are needed to counter Chinese maritime claims. The Quad pledged to respond to COVID-19, and held a first Quad Plus meeting that included representatives from New Zealand, South Korea and Vietnam to work on its response to it. Widely viewed as intending to curb "China's growing power," the Quad's joint statement drew criticism from China's foreign ministry, which said the Quad "openly incites discord" among regional powers in Asia

Anglosphere - CANZUK ..


Sunday, May 23, 2021

French Diplomacy

21-10-9 Les [Puériles] Français - Peter Zeihan > .
23-5-14 French Defence Strategy & Rearmament - strategic autonomy - Perun > .
23-1-3 Macron's Neo-Gaullism - plans for hegemony - Caspian Report > .
22-12-30 Most disappointing politicians - VisPol > .
22-7-26 France's Geostrategic Choices in Central Europe - gtbt > .
22-5-9 Macron's Plan to Revive France - VisPol > .

Foreign Relations of France: In the 19th century France built a new French colonial empire second only to the British Empire. It was humiliated in the Franco-Prussian War of 1870–71, which marked the rise of Germany to dominance in Europe. France allied with Great Britain and Russia and was on the winning side of the First World War. If it was initially easily defeated early in the Second World War, Free France, through its Free French Forces and the Resistance, continued to fight against the Axis powers as an Allied nation and was ultimately considered one of the victors of the war, as the allocation of an French occupations zone in Germany and West Berlin testifies, as well as the status of permanent member of the United Nations Security Council. It fought losing colonial wars in Indochina (ending in 1954) and Algeria (ending in 1962). The Fourth Republic collapsed and the Fifth Republic began in 1958 to the present. Under Charles De Gaulle it tried to block American and British influence on the European community. Since 1945, France has been a founding member of the United Nations, of NATO, and of the European Coal and Steel Community (the European Union's predecessor). As a charter member of the United Nations, France holds one of the permanent seats in the Security Council and is a member of most of its specialized and related agencies.

France is also a founding member of the Union for the Mediterranean and the La Francophonie and plays a key role, both in regional and in international affairs.

Charles de Gaulle: De Gaulle's foreign policy was centered around an attempt to limit the power and influence of both superpowers, and at the same time increase France's international prestige. De Gaulle hoped to move France from being a follower of the United States to becoming the leading nation of a large group of non-aligned countries. The nations de Gaulle looked at as potential participants in this group were those in France's traditional spheres of influence: Africa and the Middle East. The former French colonies in eastern and northern Africa were quite agreeable to these close relations with France. These nations had close economic and cultural ties to France, and they also had few other suitors amongst the major powers. This new orientation of French foreign policy also appealed strongly to the leaders of the Arab nations. None of them wanted to be dominated by either of the superpowers, and they supported France's policy of trying to balance the US and the USSR and to prevent either from becoming dominant in the region. The Middle Eastern leaders wanted to be free to pursue their own goals and objectives, and did not want to be chained to either alliance bloc. De Gaulle hoped to use this common foundation to build strong relations between the nations. He also hoped that good relations would improve France's trade with the region. De Gaulle also imagined that these allies would look up to the more powerful French nation, and would look to it in leadership in matters of foreign policy.

The end of the Algerian conflict in 1962 accomplished much in this regard. France could not portray itself as a leader of the oppressed nations of the world if it still was enforcing its colonial rule upon another nation. The battle against the Muslim separatists that France waged in favour of the minority of white settlers was an extremely unpopular one throughout the Muslim world. With the conflict raging it would have been close to impossible for France to have had positive relations with the nations of the Middle East. The Middle Eastern support for the FLN guerillas was another strain on relations that the end of the conflict removed. Most of the financial and material support for the FLN had come from the nations of the Middle East and North Africa. This was especially true of Nasser's Egypt, which had long supported the separatists. Egypt is also the most direct example of improved relations after the end of hostilities. The end of the war brought an immediate thaw to Franco-Egyptian relations, Egypt ended the trial of four French officers accused of espionage, and France ended its trade embargo against Egypt.

In 1967 de Gaulle completely overturned France's Israel policy. De Gaulle and his ministers reacted very harshly to Israel's actions in the Six-Day War. The French government and de Gaulle condemned Israel's treatment of refugees, warned that it was a mistake to occupy the West Bank and Gaza Strip, and also refused to recognize the Israeli control of Jerusalem. The French government continued to criticize Israel after the war and de Gaulle spoke out against other Israeli actions, such as the operations against the Palestine Liberation Organization in Lebanon. France began to use its veto power to oppose Israel in the UN, and France sided with the Arab states on almost all issues brought to the international body. Most importantly of all, however, de Gaulle's government imposed an arms embargo on the Israeli state. The embargo was in fact applied to all the combatants, but very soon France began selling weaponry to the Arab states again. As early as 1970 France sold Libya a hundred Dassault Mirage fighter jets. However, after 1967 France continued to support Israel's right to exist, as well as Israel's many preferential agreements with France and the European Economic Community.

Emmanuel Macron, 2017+

Sophie Meunier in 2017 ponders whether France is still relevant in world affairs:
France does not have as much relative global clout as it used to. Decolonization ... diminished France’s territorial holdings and therefore its influence. Other countries acquired nuclear weapons and built up their armies. The message of “universal” values carried by French foreign policy has encountered much resistance, as other countries have developed following a different political trajectory than the one preached by France. By the 1990s, the country had become, in the words of Stanley Hoffmann, an “ordinary power, neither a basket case nor a challenger.” Public opinion, especially in the United States, no longer sees France as an essential power. The last time that its foreign policy put France back in the world spotlight was at the outset of the Iraq intervention...[with] France’s refusal to join the US-led coalition....In reality, however, France is still a highly relevant power in world affairs....France is a country of major military importance nowadays...., France also showed it mattered in world environmental affairs with....the Paris Agreement, a global accord to reduce carbon emissions. The election of DJT in 2016 may reinforce demands for France to step in and lead global environmental governance if the US disengages, as the new president has promised, from a variety of policies.
Polls indicate that American president Barack Obama was highly popular in France, but DJT has been extremely unpopular [true of most "sane" nations]. Natalie Nougayrède argues:
Yet behind this widespread revulsion lies a diplomatic opportunity. With the United States looking inward and DJT having torn up the traditional foreign policy rule book...Macron, is seeking to reinvigorate the European project as a way of restoring French leadership. French power is no substitute for American power, of course. But with the United States’ image, global role, and reliability newly uncertain, Europeans feel a void that someone must fill—and France thinks it should at least try to do just that.
In July 2019, the UN ambassadors from 22 nations, including France, signed a joint letter to the UNHRC condemning China’s mistreatment of the Uyghurs as well as its mistreatment of other minority groups, urging the Chinese government to close the Xinjiang re-education camps.

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...