Monday, July 26, 2021

CCP's Tech Seizure

21-8-30 Why China's cracking down on tech — and what's next | CNBC > .
23-9-25 Xi's Transforming Xina [for the worse] - Xina's Changing Trajectory - Dig > .
23-1-23 Xina’s Two-Year Tech Crackdown Winds Up | WSJ > .
> PLA > 

Beijing's regulatory blitz has shocked outsiders and befuddled investors. Here's why it's happening, and what it could mean for China and beyond. 

00:00 - Intro
03:28 - Why now?
05:58 - Shift in mentality
07:35 - New economic order
10:07 - Jack Ma's speech
13:08 - Motivations
15:10 - The issue with data
19:09 - Reallocating resources
22:54 - Regulatory impact
25:12 - Regulatory co-ordination
27:55 - Regulatory risk
29:52 - What's next?

Chimerica - Coupled China/US Economy

2021 Visualizing Next Crisis - Hyperinflation? Stagflation? ⇑ Interest Rates? - gtbt > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-12-14 US National Security Strategy in 6 points – Geopolitics c Alex Stubb > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-28 How China Is Helping to Reduce Inflation - Patrick Boyle > .
22-11-1 "Overreach" | Susan Shirk, Kevin Rudd | Asia Society > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-6-26 US administration's plan to control Asia-Pacific - VisPol > . skip ad > .
22-4-21 Fake data re Chinese economy: GDP, import-export, unemployment - Lei > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
Ascent of Money Episode 6: Chimerica - Niall Ferguson > .The economic impact of COVID-19 - Money & Macro >> .Fair vs CON Economics - Bellum F > .
How central banks work- Money & Macro >> .
Debt Diplomacy - Weighs >> .
Debt-Trap Diplomacy - Tzu >> .Globalization & Fragile Supply Chains - Means >> .
Feifs to Economic Liberalism - Fallax >> .
Central vs Entrepreneurial Control - Weighs >> .
Ups & Downs & Ups - Weighs >> .

History of Globalization æ

Chimerica is a neologism and portmanteau coined by Niall Ferguson and Moritz Schularick describing the symbiotic relationship between China and the United States, with incidental reference to the legendary chimera. Though the term is largely in reference to economics, there is also a political element.

Historian Niall Ferguson and economist Moritz Schularick first coined "chimerica" in late 2006, arguing that saving by the Chinese and overspending by Americans led to an incredible period of wealth creation that contributed to the financial crisis of 2007–08. For years, China accumulated large currency reserves and channeled them into US government securities, which kept nominal and real long-term interest rates artificially low in the United States. Ferguson describes Chimerica as one economy which "accounts for around 13 percent of the world's land surface, a quarter of its population, about a third of its gross domestic product, and somewhere over half of the global economic growth of the past six years." He suggests Chimerica could end if China were to decouple from the United States bringing with it a shift in global power and allowing China "to explore other spheres of global influence, from the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, of which Russia is also a member, to its own informal nascent empire in commodity-rich Africa." [Let's face it, neither the CCP nor the Kremlin display signs of being trustworthy in relation to the "West".]

The accumulation of American debt, which has been estimated at over $800 billion, suggests the two nations are intrinsically linked; the economic symbiosis prevalent between the two suggests that separation would harm both countries and be disastrous for the global economy. Another way to measure this integration is the trade deficit. The US trade deficit with China was $295 billion in 2011, meaning the US imported that much more goods and services from China than it exported to China. The Economic Policy Institute estimated that from 2001 to 2011, 2.7 million US jobs were lost to China.

The idea of Chimerica features prominently in Ferguson's 2008 book and adapted television documentary The Ascent of Money, which reviews the history of money, credit, and banking.

The concept of Chimerica supplements and/or supplants Nichibei, or the similarly constructed Japan-U.S. economic model and relationship that had been prominent in years before the development of Chimerica.

Alan M. Taylor's collaboration with Moritz Schularick
Bretton Woods II .
Chindia .
Global saving glut .
Group of Two .
Moritz Schularick on German Wikipedia
Sino-American relations .


China’s Economic Reckoning

22-4-26 Political struggle of central vs local governments & debts - Lei > .
22-4-21 Fake data re Chinese economy: GDP, import-export, unemployment - Lei > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
22-1-23 China’s Domestic Drivers | Kevin Rudd - geopop > .

China's Resurgent Economy

2021 How China became the world’s factory - Caspian Report > .

Comprehensive Agreement on Investment

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The EU-China Investment Agreement - IntoEu > .
...
23-10-23 Poland Must Defend Ukraine against Historical Rival: Russia - GeoP > .
22-7-4 Intermarium: Is Strongest Union In Europe About To Appear? - Complete > .


The European Union and Xina have signed an investment deal in principle. The deal is set to rebalance the relationship that the two blocks have. Xina’s forced technology transfers and other discriminatory practices against European firms will be brought to an end – on paper.

Despite being welcomed by businesses, the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment falls short on tackling human rights issues in Xina, which will lead to backlash on the deal within the European Parliament. Opposition by the United States, which wants Europe to pursue a common policy with it on Xina and from the European public may yet scupper the deal.

Sources: 

sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...