Monday, July 26, 2021

CCP Expansionism

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Xina Expanding its Empire into Russia's backyard? - VisPol > .
24-2-19 Book of Lord Shang: Ancient Path to Power; Ongoing Suffering - Digging > .
24-2-17 Taiwan Question & World Order | X Economy - Update > .
23-12-2 Xina’s Real Impact on Africa - Attempted Thought > .
23-12-11 India Rising? Xina Reversing? Asian Tigers - gtbt > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-10-21 [Bilk & Raid Imperialism 1: Xina Wants NoXious World Order] - Update > .  
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-10-17 [BRI Scam; Xina Using H-I War; MENA Policy] | Update > .
23-10-15 [NoXious Suppression of Autocratic Regime's Fodder] - serpentza > .
23-10-4 Expensive XiPaganda, Twisting History, Han Supremacy - Uncensored > .
23-9-29 Decoding P00ti-PooXi blueprint for NoXious World Order | DW > .
23-9-22 Xina’s New BRI $6B Railway in Laos: Massive Debt Trap | WSJ > .
23-9-9 Xina Preparing For War With USA? | BRI | US-X Relations - Update > .
23-9-7 Kidnappings, ghost towns: 10 years of Xi’s BRI masterplan | Tele > .
23-8-25 How Xi secured power by reforming Xina’s military - Lei > .
23-8-2 Xi's Anti-Corruption Purge of PLA Rocket Force | PLA structure - Digging > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-28 PLAN's Indo-Pacific Bases - Ream, Djibouti, Hambantota, Tonga - Focus > .
23-7-8 Taiwan citizens preparing for war with Xina - SBS > .
23-6-1 Sex Scandals - Untold stories of PLAN (2) - Lei > .
23-5-31 Xina is Backstabbing Ruscia - Uncensored > .
23-4-16 Logan Wright Grasping Shadows X-Ec 1 - Update > . 2 > .
23-3-13 Yi Fuxian: The Chinese Century Is Already Over - Update > .
23-3-8 US-China: Qin & Conflict Warning - Update > .
23-3-8 [Slumping] Xina Blaming & Threatening USA - Focus > .
23-1-22 Politics Can Destroy Armies: Factionalism & R-U War - Perun > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
23-1-18 Middle Corridor - Inland Silk Road - Caspian > .
22-12-16 Xina vs India, Water Crisis, Xina Scared of India - BuBa > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-11-1 "Overreach" | Susan Shirk, Kevin Rudd | Asia Society > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-18 Xi absolute power through Party Constitution and XXP princelings - Lei > .
22-10-15 Xina's Economy is in Bad Shape - ColdFusion > .
22-9-9 No, China is Not A Peaceful Nation - laowhy86 > .
22-8-31 Shocking Chinese Mercenary Groups Around the World - T&P > .
22-8-26 How Xina wages an unseen war for strategic influence | FT > .
22-8-25 Xi vs Li: Xina’s dual-leadership after the 20th Party Congress? - Lei > .
22-8-22 Does Afghanistan have a future? - Caspian Report > .
22-8-4 What Killed Sri Lanka's Economy? - Patrick Boyle > . skip ad > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-8-3 Housing Crisis Pulls Down China’s Huge Steel Industry | Pelosi | Update > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
2021 Xi Presents his Own Ideology as Natural Next Path. Deng Despised | Digging > .


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CCP's String of Pearls

2020 China's String of Pearls Strategy | Geopolitics - Globe > .
24-4-12 India | [Modious's] Dying Democracy? - Prof J K-L > .
24-2-17 Taiwan Question & World Order | X Economy - Update > .
23-12-2 Xina’s Real Impact on Africa - Attempted Thought > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-24 [PooXi, P00ti Secrets at BRI Forum: NoXious World Order - Insight > .
23-10-21 [Bilk & Raid Imperialism 1: Xina Wants NoXious World Order] - Update > .  
23-10-20 Xina's PLAN Expansion vs USN's Hegemony - gtbt > . skip > .
23-10-17 [BRI Scam; Xina Using H-I War; MENA Policy] | Update > .
23-9-16 "Belt & Road to Death" - [XiXiP targeted corrupt governments] - Obs > .
23-9-7 Kidnappings, ghost towns: 10 years of Xi’s BRI masterplan | Tele > .
23-7-29 Ream, Hambantota, Tonga Naval Bases; Australia - Focus > .
23-7-24 Xina's Nine-Dash Line: [Illegal Claims in South China Sea] - Geoff > .
23-5-12 Pakistan is dying ⇒ global problem - Caspian > .
23-4-26 Why powerful nations want bases in tiny Djibouti - Real > .
23-3-13 Xina ~ Sri Lanka Debt Restructuring - Update > .
23-2-28 Xina & ROC war prep: martial law, nuclear emergency, wartime controls > .
23-2-22 US Bases & Philippine Fight Against Xina - T&P > .
23-2-15 India's Necklace of Diamonds Plan to Checkmate Xina - Caspian > .
23-1-13 US & Japan boost cooperation; Marines ready to counter Xina > .
23-1-11 Xinese Warships Spotted in South Pacific - Focus > .
22-12-28 Too many people? Challenges of demographic change | DW > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-19 G20 '22 Biden-Xi meeting = "start of a new Cold War" - Times > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-11-2 XiXiPee Said They Wouldn't Do It... THEY LIED! - cfc > .
22-10-20 XiXiPee Congress Day 3 - Update > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-9-24 Xina's and Australia’s power plays in the Pacific - Caspian > .
22-8-31 Shocking Chinese Mercenary Groups Around the World - T&P > .
22-8-15 Taiwan could repel invasion; wargamed cost high to Taiwan and US > .
22-8-15 How worried is Japan about Xina-Taiwan tensions? - ABC Aus > .
22-8-4 What Killed Sri Lanka's Economy? - Patrick Boyle > . skip ad > .
22-7-31 How PGII & IPEF could checkmate BRI - CaspianReport > .
22-7-21 Xina losing international trust, 10 Pacific nations rebuff joint agreement - CR > .
22-7-6 IISS Special Lecture: Australia, ASEAN and Southeast Asia > . 
22-4-27 How China [BRI] is TRAPPING INDIA via Pakistan & Sri Lanka - Think > .
22-3-26 China has “Fully Militarized” the South China Sea - Uncensored > .
22-3-18 "Myth" of the Chinese Debt Trap in Africa - Bloomberg > .
22-1-31 Will Taiwan Spark a US-China Conflict? - Whatifalthist > .
2021 Taiwan vs. China - The rocky road to democracy | DW Doc > .
24-5-23 India and Xina preparing for war? | ABC > .
> Pakistan >>
Redshift - China's Geoeconomic Tactics - anf >> .

CCP's String of Pearls ..


The String of Pearls is a geopolitical hypothesis proposed by United States political researchers in 2004. The term refers to the network of Chinese military and commercial facilities and relationships along its sea lines of communication, which extend from the Chinese mainland to Port Sudan in the Horn of Africa. The sea lines run through several major maritime choke points such as the Strait of Mandeb, the Strait of Malacca, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Lombok Strait as well as other strategic maritime centres in Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, the Maldives, and Somalia.

The term as a geopolitical concept was first used in an internal US Department of Defense report, "Energy Futures in Asia" in 2005. The term is also widely used in India's geopolitical and foreign policy narratives to highlight India's concerns over massive Chinese Belt and Road Initiative projects across southern Asia. According to the EUISS, the formation of Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (consisting of United States, India, Australia and Japan) is a direct result of China's assertive foreign and security policy in the Indo-Pacific region.

The “Belt and Road Initiative” is a Chinese led infrastructure initiative designed to connect Chinese manufacturers and markets with markets across Eurasia. The Initiative is primarily based on the ancient “silk road” which stretched from Italy in the West, to Southern China in the East. The “Belt” element of the project consists of overland routes through what was the original Silk Road and Russia, and the “Road” element, a series of shipping routes through which China and other states can move goods.

Many commentators in India believe the String of Pearls ["Road"] plan, together with the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor and other parts of China's Belt and Road Initiative under Chinese Communist Party general secretary Xi Jinping, is a threat to India's national security. Such a system would encircle India and threaten its power projection, trade, and potentially territorial integrity. Furthermore, China's support for India's traditional enemy of Pakistan and its Gwadar Port is viewed as a threat, compounded by fears that China may develop an overseas naval military base in Gwadar, which could allow China to conduct expeditionary warfare in the Indian Ocean Region. From the east, the deep-water port of Kyaukpyu is also viewed with a similar concern. The first comprehensive academic analyses of Chinese plan and its security implications for New Delhi was undertaken in February 2008 by an active-duty Indian naval officer. Antedating China's anti-piracy naval deployment in the Indian Ocean beginning in December 2008, and the ensuing acquisition of its first overseas military in Djibouti in August 2017, his analysis predicting China's "permanent military presence" in the Indian Ocean is viewed by Indian policymakers as prescient. Accordingly, India has since been making moves of various types to counter the perceived threat.

The emergence of the String of Pearls is indicative of China's growing geopolitical influence through concerted efforts to increase access to ports and airfields, expand and modernise military forces, and foster stronger diplomatic relationships with trading partners. [Predictably] The Chinese government insists that China's burgeoning naval strategy is entirely peaceful and is only for the protection of regional trade interests. Chinese Communist Party general secretaries Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping have both asserted that China will never seek hegemony in foreign relations. A 2013 analysis by The Economist also found the Chinese moves to be commercial in nature. Although it has been claimed that China's actions are creating a security dilemma between China and India in the Indian Ocean, that has been questioned by some analysts, who point to China's fundamental strategic vulnerabilities.

The defence ministry said the aircraft, including nuclear-capable bombers, entered its air defence identification zone (ADIZ) in two waves. Taiwan responded by scrambling its jets and deploying missile systems. China sees democratic Taiwan as a breakaway province, but Taiwan sees itself as a sovereign state. Taiwan has been complaining for more than a year about repeated missions by China's air force near the island.
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CCP Crackdown

21-7-25 Why China Is Crashing Its Own Stock Market - Outlook > .
24-2-19 Book of Lord Shang: Ancient Path to Power; Ongoing Suffering - Digging > .
23-10-25 Understanding NoXious World (Dis)Order - Kotkin | Hoover > .
23-10-15 [NoXious Suppression of Autocratic Regime's Fodder] - serpentza > .
23-9-25 Xi's Transforming Xina [for the worse] - Xina's Changing Trajectory - Dig > .
23-9-16 "Belt & Road to Death" - [XiXiP targeted corrupt governments] - Obs > .
23-8-2 Xi's Anti-Corruption Purge of PLA Rocket Force | PLA structure - Digging > .
23-4-16 Logan Wright Grasping Shadows X-Ec 1 - Update > . 2 > .
23-1-23 Xina’s Two-Year Tech Crackdown Winds Up | WSJ > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-11-27 Dragon's Claw: Xina's Next 10 Years - Kamome > . skip > .
22-11-1 "Overreach" | Susan Shirk, Kevin Rudd | Asia Society > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-25 Xina's Q3 details - Update > .
22-10-18 Xi absolute power through Party Constitution and XXP princelings - Lei > .
22-8-25 Xi vs Li: Xina’s dual-leadership after the 20th Party Congress? - Lei > .
22-8-3 Housing Crisis Pulls Down China’s Huge Steel Industry | Pelosi | Update > .
22-3-28 China's Economic Rise—End of the Road - cfr > .

CCP Amplifies Control-Freakery ⇻
CCP Crackdown on Business ..
CCP Expansionism ..

Commenter: [dubious] "As a Chinese, I know the main motivation of this process of adjustment is to meet the challenges of the USA decoupling, which makes the government realize that many industry sectors are already in danger. That key strategy is to reduce the importance of real estate and financial assets, Internet and virtual economy, in order to improve the weakening manufactures and consumer sectors. It has been on the top list for years, and the US challenges just happen to accelerate its implementation."

China says crackdown on business to go on for years:

The Chinese government has unveiled a five-year plan outlining [even] tighter regulation of much of its economy. It says new rules will be introduced covering areas including national security, technology and monopolies in the world's second largest economy. The plan comes soon after Beijing started targeting the technology and education industries.

The 10-point plan, which runs to the end of 2025, was released jointly late on 21-8-11 by China's State Council and the Communist Party's Central Committee. It said laws will be strengthened for "important fields" such as science and technological innovation, culture and education. The plan also said the Chinese government aims to tackle monopolies and "foreign-related rule of law".

Regulations relating to China's digital economy, including "internet finance, artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing etc." will also be reviewed. The announcement raised fresh concerns that Beijing's crackdown on technology and private education companies is set to continue and expand in years to come. Shares in many Chinese companies listed in the US, Hong Kong and mainland China have fallen sharply this year as investors' concerns grow over the crackdown.

21-12-28 From economic miracle to mirage – will China’s GDP ever overtake the US?: Analysis: issues of governance, rising debt, COVID and property market turmoil will delay Beijing’s quest to become the global economy’s No 1.
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CCP's Tech Seizure

21-8-30 Why China's cracking down on tech — and what's next | CNBC > .
23-9-25 Xi's Transforming Xina [for the worse] - Xina's Changing Trajectory - Dig > .
23-1-23 Xina’s Two-Year Tech Crackdown Winds Up | WSJ > .
> PLA >>  

Beijing's regulatory blitz has shocked outsiders and befuddled investors. Here's why it's happening, and what it could mean for China and beyond. 

00:00 - Intro
03:28 - Why now?
05:58 - Shift in mentality
07:35 - New economic order
10:07 - Jack Ma's speech
13:08 - Motivations
15:10 - The issue with data
19:09 - Reallocating resources
22:54 - Regulatory impact
25:12 - Regulatory co-ordination
27:55 - Regulatory risk
29:52 - What's next?

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Chimerica - Coupled China/US Economy

2021 Visualizing Next Crisis - Hyperinflation? Stagflation? ⇑ Interest Rates? - gtbt > .
23-1-20 Xi's Biggest Errors - Kevin Rudd | Update > .
22-12-14 US National Security Strategy in 6 points – Geopolitics c Alex Stubb > .
22-11-11 Fortress Xina - Xi's Plans for World Domination - laowhy86 > .
22-10-28 How China Is Helping to Reduce Inflation - Patrick Boyle > .
22-11-1 "Overreach" | Susan Shirk, Kevin Rudd | Asia Society > .
22-10-27 Xina is "Pretty Much Screwed" - laowhy86 > .
22-10-11 Condeleeza Rice - Xina and Taiwan - Hoover > .
22-8-4 Situation Zoom: Pelosi Visits Taiwan | Goodfellows - Hoover > .
22-6-26 US administration's plan to control Asia-Pacific - VisPol > . skip ad > .
22-4-21 Fake data re Chinese economy: GDP, import-export, unemployment - Lei > .
22-3-30 China’s Secret Plan for a Pacific Military Base - Uncensored > .
22-3-16 China: "No. 1 Threat" to the West | Heinrichs - JoAnd > . full > .
Ascent of Money Episode 6: Chimerica - Niall Ferguson > .The economic impact of COVID-19 - Money & Macro >> .Fair vs CON Economics - Bellum F > .
How central banks work- Money & Macro >> .
Debt Diplomacy - Weighs >> .
Debt-Trap Diplomacy - Tzu >> .Globalization & Fragile Supply Chains - Means >> .
Feifs to Economic Liberalism - Fallax >> .
Central vs Entrepreneurial Control - Weighs >> .
Ups & Downs & Ups - Weighs >> .

History of Globalization æ

Chimerica is a neologism and portmanteau coined by Niall Ferguson and Moritz Schularick describing the symbiotic relationship between China and the United States, with incidental reference to the legendary chimera. Though the term is largely in reference to economics, there is also a political element.

Historian Niall Ferguson and economist Moritz Schularick first coined "chimerica" in late 2006, arguing that saving by the Chinese and overspending by Americans led to an incredible period of wealth creation that contributed to the financial crisis of 2007–08. For years, China accumulated large currency reserves and channeled them into US government securities, which kept nominal and real long-term interest rates artificially low in the United States. Ferguson describes Chimerica as one economy which "accounts for around 13 percent of the world's land surface, a quarter of its population, about a third of its gross domestic product, and somewhere over half of the global economic growth of the past six years." He suggests Chimerica could end if China were to decouple from the United States bringing with it a shift in global power and allowing China "to explore other spheres of global influence, from the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, of which Russia is also a member, to its own informal nascent empire in commodity-rich Africa." [Let's face it, neither the CCP nor the Kremlin display signs of being trustworthy in relation to the "West".]

The accumulation of American debt, which has been estimated at over $800 billion, suggests the two nations are intrinsically linked; the economic symbiosis prevalent between the two suggests that separation would harm both countries and be disastrous for the global economy. Another way to measure this integration is the trade deficit. The US trade deficit with China was $295 billion in 2011, meaning the US imported that much more goods and services from China than it exported to China. The Economic Policy Institute estimated that from 2001 to 2011, 2.7 million US jobs were lost to China.

The idea of Chimerica features prominently in Ferguson's 2008 book and adapted television documentary The Ascent of Money, which reviews the history of money, credit, and banking.

The concept of Chimerica supplements and/or supplants Nichibei, or the similarly constructed Japan-U.S. economic model and relationship that had been prominent in years before the development of Chimerica.

Alan M. Taylor's collaboration with Moritz Schularick
Bretton Woods II .
Chindia .
Global saving glut .
Group of Two .
Moritz Schularick on German Wikipedia
Sino-American relations .


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sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

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