Saturday, November 2, 2024

Elections 2024

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24-4-6 What a 2nd tRUMP Term Could Mean | Sam Harris and Jonathan Rauch > .24-6-16 ANC has fallen. Next for South Africa? - My Take > .24-7-18 Von der Leyen Wins EU Presidency! Her Vision for Europe - Simple > .
24-7-1 French [Snap, Round 1] Election Results Explained - Simple > . comment .
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24-6-5 What Happens After the EU Elections - Into Europe > . 
24-5-10 Von der Leyen [might] be dethroned - But by whom? - Simple > .
24-3-10 Who Will Be The Next EU President? - Simple > .
24-3-3 How France Could Influence the EU Elections - Simple > .
24-2-25 Weak Polish PiS Could Impact EU's 2024 Elections - Simple > .
24-9-29 Austria’s Shocking [Far-Right] Election Results - EUMS > .
28 January (first round) & 11 February (second round)
24-2-12 Alexander Stubb, C-R Former PM: Wins Finland's Presidency | CNBC > .24-9-22 Germany's Historic Election Results Explained - EUMS > .
24-4-13 India elections: Money, Manipur, [Modious's] south push | ABC Aus > .24-4-9 Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi | India Votes 2024 | ABC Aus > .
& 3 November (second round)
24-11-3 Maia Sandu wins second term in Moldovan election in rebuke to Krumblin: 
Incumbent wins presidential runoff with 97% of votes counted, defeating Russia-leaning rival

Netherlands 2023 Dutch general election, 22 November 2023
In what was described as "one of the biggest political upsets in Dutch politics since World War II", the right-wing populist Party for Freedom (PVV), led by Geert Wilders, won 37 seats in the 150-seat House of Representatives, becoming the largest party for the first time. All four parties of the incumbent coalition government suffered losses.
After the election, a cabinet formation began to determine which parties would form the next government. Subsequently on 16 May 2024, a coalition agreement was settled upon by PVV, VVD, NSC and BBB. Furthermore, immigration policy has been heavily prioritised on the incoming government's agenda, as coalition representatives stated they would embrace the "strictest" asylum policy. Numerous reforms are also expected across areas such as welfare and health, as emphasised upon by NSC leader Pieter Omtzigt during the election campaign, similar to addressing issues having surfaced in the aftermath of the Dutch childcare benefits scandal. Several observers have described the new government as the most right-wing in recent history.
Romania 2024 Romanian presidential election, 24 November (first round) 
24-11-25 Far-right Candidate LEADS Romania's Presidential Race - EUMS > .
8 December (second round)
24-3-15 Dare Ruscians Protest Fake-Election? | Belton, Litvinenko - Times > .24-4-12 Superpowers watching the Solomon Islands election | ABC Aus > .24-4-8 Erdoğan’s crushing local election defeat in ‘heartland’ - Times > .


⇒ 2024 ..

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in March 2024. In accordance with electoral law, the first round will be held on Sunday, 17 March. 

2024 Taiwanese presidential election w  
ROC (Taiwan) presidential elections are scheduled to be held on 13 January 2024.

2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024.

Thirteen Keys ..  The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. When five or fewer of the following statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. When six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose. Alan Lichtman: Biden can ‘absolutely’ win the US election > .


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Enemy Caliphate Within

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22-9-21 What is Hezbollah? [Iran's Terrorist Militia] - Unpacked > .
>> Iran, XIR >>> > Iran >> > Iran~ >> > Iran - Allies, Enemies >>
25-1-8 How Hezbollah Took Over Lebanon | Explained > .24-9-13 Why the US Navy [doesn't] stop Houthi rebels - Caspian > .
24-7-30 Is Israel-Hezbollah War Inevitable? - gtbt > .
24-7-1 [skip] Israel to launch ground invasion of Lebanon? - CaspianReport > .
24-7-14 "There is No Genocide, No Apartheid, No Occupation" | Triggernometry > .
24-8-30 [Potential Impacts of Iraq-Turkey 'Development Road'] - Caspian > .

N.B. Many Muslims who have immigrated to Western nations have fled Islamist violence and its accompanying socio-economic dysfunction. Wanting only a better life, they continue to suffer the side effects of their host populations' understandable distrust of those associated with socially-dysfunctional, violent Islamist youth.   

Death to America is an anti-American political slogan widely used in North Korea (as Death to the United States imperialists), Iran, Afghanistan, Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and Pakistan. Originally used by North Korea since the Korean War, Ruhollah Khomeini, the first supreme leader of Iran, popularized the term. He opposed the chant for radio and television, but [did] not [oppose the chant] for protests and other occasions.

The literal meaning of the Persian phrase "Marg bar Âmrikâ" is "Death to America." In most official Iranian translations, the phrase is [DIS]translated into English as the less crude "Down with America." The chant "Death to America" has come to be employed by various anti-American groups and protesters worldwide.
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Islamism (also often called political Islam) is a religio-political ideology. The advocates of Islamism, also known as "al-Islamiyyun", are dedicated to realizing their ideological interpretation of Islam within the context of the state or society. The majority of them are affiliated with Islamic institutions or social mobilization movements, often designated as "al-harakat al-Islamiyyah." Islamists emphasize the implementation of sharia, pan-Islamic political unity, the creation of Islamic states, (eventually unified), and rejection of non-Muslim influences—particularly Western or universal economic, military, political, social, or cultural.

In its original formulation, Islamism described an ideology seeking to revive Islam to its 'past assertiveness and glory, purifying it of foreign elements, reasserting its role' into "social and political as well as personal life"; and in particular "reordering government and society in accordance with laws prescribed by Islam" (i.e. Sharia). According to at least one observer (author Robin Wright), Islamist movements have "arguably altered the Middle East more than any trend since the modern states gained independence", redefining "politics and even borders".
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Supporters of Hezbollah, the Shi'a Islamic [Islamist] militant group based in Lebanon that is closely aligned to Iran, regularly chant "Death to America" in street demonstrations. A week before the March 20, 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq, Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah declared, "In the past, when the Marines were in Beirut, we screamed, 'Death to America!' Today, when the region is being filled with hundreds of thousands of American soldiers, 'Death to America!' was, is and will stay our slogan."

The slogan of the Houthis, a Shi'a rebel group in Yemen also supported by Iran, is "God is Great, Death to America, Death to Israel, A curse upon the Jews, Victory to Islam."


Iranian officials generally explain claim that the ["Death to America"] slogan in its historical context has been provoked by the U.S. government's hostile policies towards Iran and expresses outrage at those policies, and [LIE that it] does not wish for literal death for American people themselves. In a speech to university students, Iran's Supreme Leader, Khamenei, interpreted the slogan as "death to the U.S.'s policies, death to arrogance." Following a meeting with Army and Air Force commanders, Khamenei declared prevaricated that the Iranian people are not against American people, but that "Death to America" means down with American leaders, [at the time, DUH (UNpresident)], John Bolton (National Security Advisor), and Mike Pompeo (Secretary of State).

“How dreadful are the curses which Mohammedanism lays on its votaries! Besides the fanatical frenzy, which is as dangerous in a man as hydrophobia in a dog, there is this fearful fatalistic apathy. The effects are apparent in many countries. Improvident habits, slovenly systems of agriculture, sluggish methods of commerce, and insecurity of property exist wherever the followers of the Prophet rule or live. A degraded sensualism deprives this life of its grace and refinement; the next of its dignity and sanctity. The fact that in Mohammedan law every woman must belong to some man as his absolute property – either as a child, a wife, or a concubine – must delay the final extinction of slavery until the faith of Islam has ceased to be a great power among men. Thousands become the brave and loyal soldiers of the faith: all know how to die but the influence of the religion paralyses the social development of those who follow it. No stronger retrograde force exists in the world. Far from being moribund, Mohammedanism is a militant and proselytizing faith. It has already spread throughout Central Africa, raising fearless warriors at every step; and were it not that Christianity is sheltered in the strong arms of science, the science against which it had vainly struggled, the civilisation of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilisation of ancient Rome.”
― Winston Churchill, The River War .
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EU 2024

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24-6-9 Macron calls snap election in National Assembly - ABC Aus > .
24-7-1 French [Snap, Round 1] Election Results Explained - Simple > . comment .
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24-6-5 What Happens After the EU Elections - Into Europe > . 24-3-26 Explaining EU's Electoral System: Parties' Positions - Talk > .
> EU Migrant Crisis >>  Economic & Climate Migrants 
EU Member States - EU Made Simple >> .
EU Political Groups Explained - EU Made Simple >> .
European Union Explained - EU Made Simple >> .

Adding another election to 2024's large tally: France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, has said he intends to dissolve parliament and call snap legislative elections [National AssemblyNational Assembly] in the wake of his allies’ crushing defeat to the far right National Rally (RN) in Sunday’s European parliament elections.

According to usually reliable projections, Macron’s centrist list was on course to score between 14.8% and 15.2% of the vote, less than half of RN’s tally of 31.5%-33% - the party’s highest ever in a nationwide election - and only just ahead of the Socialist list on 14%.

The French president, whose second term had more than two years to run before elections due in 2027, said he would shortly sign a decree calling the elections, and that the first round would be held on 30 June and the second on 7 July.
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The RN was far from the only far-right party to be celebrating gains on Sunday night. Exit polls indicated that the hard-right populists had also expanded their share of the vote in Germany, Austria and the Netherlands.

Although the centre-right alliance appeared to have taken a decisive lead in Germany, exit polls indicated the far-right Alternative für Deutschland had made significant gains, while the governing Greens and Social Democrats had slumped.

The Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union, now in opposition, was on course for 29.5% of the vote, while the AfD had jumped to 16.5% from 11% in 2019. The AfD’s success comes despite a slew of scandals, including its lead candidate saying that the SS, the Nazi’s main paramilitary force, were “not all criminals”.
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The parties of Olaf Scholz’s ruling coalition were on course for a disastrous night, as the Social Democrats slid to 14%, worse than its weakest ever result in 2019, according to the exit poll. The Greens, who came second in 2019 with 20.5%, were knocked down to fourth place with 12 %-12.5%.

Tens of thousands of Germans took to the streets in cities including Berlin, Dresden and Munich to protest against rightwing extremism on Sunday, the final day of European elections in 21 countries.
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In Austria, meanwhile, the far-right Freedom party was forecast to have come top, with a projected 27%, ahead of the conservative People’s party and the Social Democrats, on 23.5% and 23% respectively.

In the Netherlands Geert Wilders’ far-right party was running a close second behind a Left-Green alliance. The Freedom party looked set to win 17.7% of the vote, while the Left-Green alliance, led by the former EU Commission vice-president, Frans Timmermans, was on 21.6%.
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However, the narrowing overall majorities for mainstream pro-European parties could endanger the passing of ambitious laws on climate action. It is also likely to complicate Von der Leyen’s hopes of winning a second term as European Commission president, as she needs to win the support of at least 361 of the new members of parliament.
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Europe 2024

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EU 2024 .. 
23-12-23 Future of EU Defense: NATO or the EU? (ft. UEF) - Simple > .
24-5-9 Europe is Pretty Great (Europe Day Special) - Into Europe > .
Farming, Agriculture 
24-2-1 Disgruntled Farmers Storm the EU - Simple > .
Federal Europe? 
23-11-3 BIG step towards a federal Europe? (ft. UEF) 1 - Simple > .Industrial Fronts ..   > Industry >>  >> Industrial, IP Espionage >>>24-11-14 Is Europe turning Muslim? - Into Europe > .
Liberal Democracies 
R-U 
Ruscia 
U$A/NATO 
> XIR >> risks 
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sī vīs pācem, parā bellum

igitur quī dēsīderat pācem praeparet bellum    therefore, he who desires peace, let him prepare for war sī vīs pācem, parā bellum if you wan...

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