Secession Movements

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25-2-12 Every US Secession Movement Explained - Versed > .

24-10-20 Why Modern Independence Movements Never Succeed - Versed > .

17-11-19 Struggles for independence; impact of redrawing borders - Economist > .

Thirteen Keys

24-3-6 Alan Lichtman: Biden can ‘absolutely’ win the US election > .

24-2-8 Biden to defeat Trump in election 2024 | Allan Lichtman > .

> MAGAtry >>

24-8-6 Anne Applebaum: XIR & Autocracy “Infecting US Politics” | A&Co > .

> Political Affiliation >>

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. When five or fewer of the following statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. When six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose. 

1. Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. No primary contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. No third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Strong short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Strong long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Major policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. No social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. No scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. No foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Major foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Charismatic incumbent: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

American Democracy Threatened ..

Insurrection 2021-1-6 ..
MAGAtry ..
Overton Window ..
Political Shifts ..

Schade [failed assassination attempt, attendee killed] 24-7-13 ..

Thirteen Keys ..
Tools of Political Warfare ..
Undermining Democracy ..

Tools of Political Warfare

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24-3-21 Political Warfare Toolbox: Russia - FPRI > .

> MAGAtry >>

24-10-23 Political Ponerology (Study of Evil) - Notes > .

24-10-22 Democrat vs Republican brain scans - Jack Gordon > .

24-8-6 Anne Applebaum: XIR & Autocracy “Infecting US Politics” | A&Co > .

> Political Affiliation >>

American Democracy Threatened ..

fIQ - Cognitive Flexibility/Rigidity .. 

Free Speech in the West ⇻

Free Speech vs Censorship ⇻

Freedom To vs Freedom From ⇻

Insurrection 2021-1-6 ..
MAGAtry ..

Misogyny And Gynephobia Again ⇻

Morale ..
Overton Window ..

Political Impact of Social Media ⇻
Political Shifts ..

Schade [failed assassination attempt, attendee killed] 24-7-13 ..

Thirteen Keys ..
Tools of Political Warfare ..
Undermining Democracy ..

Warlord Geocorruption ..

● Politics

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

B3W - Build Back Better World ..

Canada Politics ..

Coups d'État ..

DARVO → 

Deep State - Technocrats Pulling Levers ..

Democratic Backsliding, Competitive Authoritarianism (Europe, 21st) ⇻

DORA - Defence of the Realm Act, 1914 .. 

Dual-Sector Model (developing economies) ..

Dystopian Denunciations - Counterespionage ..

ECE - Economic Corridors - Europe ..

Economic Information Unit ..

Economics of Defense ..

Emergency Powers (Defence) Act 1939 ..

EPo - Europolitics ..

Espionage Act - USA ..

EU 'R Bust - Europe WW2 to 2014+ (EU) ..

EU's Future? ..

Evolution of English Law; 600 BCE+ ➼

Fifth Column ..

Filibuster - History of Anti-Democracy ..

Geostrategic Power - Instruments ..

Global Cooperative Organizations ..

Great Power Relations ..

Hierarchies ..

How Civil Wars Start (2022) ..

Hungary's 21st C Slide ..

Inflation Reduction Act ↬

"Liberal" History ..

Low Trust Societies & Greek debt crisis ..

MAGAtry ..

Maskirovka - Маскировка ..

Military Alliances - Global 21st ..

MIC - Military Industrial Complex ..
New World Order & Geopolitics of Competition ..
Neutrality Acts - Isolationist America & Lend-Lease ..

NSA - USA's National Security Agency .. 

Oppressive Stratagems ..

Parliament at War .. 

Pentagon ..

Political Attitudes & Electoral Systems ⇻

Political Squabbles - UK, 21st ..

Private Truths, Public Lies (1995) ..

Putin's Puppet - Worst Presidency ..

Rogue Superpower - USA ..

Rule-Based Co-operation vs Philosophical Anarchy ⇻

Size Matters? - Advantages of Small Nations ..

Speeches - Good, Bad, Ugly ..  

Supply and Demand ↠

Thirteen Keys ..

Treachery Act 1940 ..

Tory Reign - UK, 21st ..

TTC - EU-US Trade and Technology Council ..

UKUSA Agreement - FVEY ..

UNCLOS - Law of the Sea 1994 ..

Voting Systems ..

War - Philosophy of War ⇻

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Worst Prime Minister? ..

Anocracy, Autocracy, >> Authoritarianism >>>

Anocracy ..

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

Coups d'État ..

Impact of War

Lessons from War - Margaret MacMillan ..

War - Philosophy of War ⇻

21st century

Bye, Bye, BoJo (22-9-6) ..

Canada Politics ..

CCP Crackdown on Business ..

CCP's Tech Seizure ..

Deep State - Technocrats Pulling Levers ..

Democratic Backsliding, Competitive Authoritarianism (Europe, 21st) ⇻

DIME & National Power ..

EPo - Europolitics ..

Espionage Act - USA ..

French Diplomacy ..

Geostrategy - Big 5, 21st ..

Global Cooperative Organizations ..

Glocalization, Neomedievalism ..

How Civil Wars Start (2022) ..

Hungary's 21st C Slide ..

警察 - Jǐngchá - Xinese Police ..

Low Trust Societies & Greek debt crisis ..

Merkel, Angela ..

Military Alliances - Global 21st ..

Political Attitudes & Electoral Systems ⇻

Putin's Puppet - Worst Presidency ..

21-11-11 Ramping up Authoritarianism ..

Threats to Democracy - 21st century ..

Trudeau, Pierre Elliott ..

TTC - EU-US Trade and Technology Council ..

Tyranny of the Minority (2023) ⇻

Voting Systems ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Canada 

Canada Politics ..

Trudeau, Pierre Elliott ..

CCP vs USA

Central Control (CCP, China) or Collapse ..

Fifth Column ..

警察 - Jǐngchá - Xinese Police ..

Phases - XXP ..

Primacy - China’s Quest vs USA, QUAD ..

21-11-11 Ramping up Authoritarianism ..

89-6-4 Tiananmen Square Massacre - Tiān'ānmén dà túshā ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Crypto, Currency

Blockchains, Cryptocurrencies, NFTs ↠

Citizens, 21st

Nervous Neighbors (Preppers, Survival) ..

Education

Education - Council, Board, Butler, Ministry ..

Education, Training, Universities - post-WW1 ..

Teacher Training - 1899-1951 ..

Europe

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

Democratic Backsliding, Competitive Authoritarianism (Europe, 21st) ⇻

EPo - Europolitics ..

EU 'R Bust - Europe WW2 to 2014+ (EU) ..

French Diplomacy ..

Hungary's 21st C Slide ..

"Strategic Autonomy" of EU ..

TTC - EU-US Trade and Technology Council ..

Germany

Anti-Nazism in Germany ..

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

Deutsche Wiedervereinigung - '89-'90 Reunification ..
Edelweiß Pirates ..
Eiserne Front und Drei Pfeile ..

Hitlerjugend ..

Merkel, Angela ..

Nazi Leaders' Cars ↠

35-9-15 Nürnberger Gesetze ..

Swingjugend & Counter-Culture Cool ..

Japan

Meiji Japan ..

Hirohito during WW2 ..

Alliances - Power Projection, Trade

Anglosphere - CANZUK ..

CAI, RCEP - Asia, Europe, USA ..

Cold War mapped - '45-'91 ..

Djibouti Bases - China's 1st Abroad .. 

ECE - Economic Corridors - Europe ..

Eurasia & Power Competition at Sea ..

Freedom of Navigation ..

Geostrategy - Big 5, 21st ..

Glocalization, Neomedievalism ..

MIC - Military Industrial Complex ..

Military Alliances - Global 21st ..
Military Ambitions - China 2021 ..

NZ, Aus, USA vs China in Pacific ..

QUAD - PATO ..
Superpower Potential ..
2021 Power Projection - US Military ..

Power of Geography ..
Prisoners of Geography ↬

RCEP - Asia-Pacific trading bloc ..

TTC - EU-US Trade and Technology Council ..
US Overseas Territories ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Communications

SCN - Skeleton Cable Network ..

Logistics, Modeling, Strategy

Churchill vs Chamberlain: Road to Dunkirk ..

Deep State - Technocrats Pulling Levers ..

DIME & National Power ..

Freedom of Navigation ..

Geostrategy - Big 5, 21st ..

Hawk vs Dove - Aggression vs Pacifism .. 

Lanchester's Laws ..

Maths of War ↠

MIC - Military Industrial Complex ..

Power of Geography ..

Private Truths, Public Lies (1995) ..

Salvo Combat Model ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Nordic, Baltic

Cold War mapped - '45-'91 ..

Sweden's NATO Question ..

> Political Affiliation >>

Political Shenanigans 

DARVO → 

Post-WW2:
1948 Arab-Israeli War ..    

2021 Power Projection - US Military ..

Prisons

Wakefield Prison '30s+ ..

Religionism

Joke Francis on Ukraine ⇻

Resistance

Resisting Tyranny ..

Resources

Future 21st C Battle? - Seabed Mining ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

● Securing Democracy 21st ..
Securing Democracy 21st Century ..

Social Progress - Britain, Commonwealth

Colquhoun, Maureen - 1st Lesbian MP ..

Contagious Diseases Acts 1864-9 →

1832 Great Reform Act ..

1893-11-28 NZ Women Vote ..

Progress, Reversal - Women in WW1 ..

Sex Disqualification (Removal) Act 1919 .. 

Welfare State ⇦ WW2 ..

Women & Children - Home Front ..

Social Progress/Regress - USA

1865-1-31 Abolition of Slavery, 13th Amendment .. 

DARVO → 

Enfranchisement - 19th Amendment ..

Filibuster - History of Anti-Democracy ..

How Civil Wars Start (2022) ..

Prohibition, USA - 1920 - ends 1933 ..

1854-3-20 Republican Party ..     

73-1-22 Roe v Wade ..

69-6-28 Stonewall Riots ..

Women & Children - Home Front ..

Social Regress - China

21-11-11 Ramping up Authoritarianism ..

89-6-4 Tiananmen Square Massacre - Tiān'ānmén dà túshā ..

Systems of Government

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

Oppressive Stratagems ..

The End of History and the Last Man (1992) ..

Treaties/Alliances

Treaties ..
TSG-19 - Treaty of Saint-Germain-en-Laye ..
TS-20 Treaty of Sèvres ..

TT-20 Treaty of Trianon ..  

TBL-18 Treaty of Brest-Litovsk ..

TNS-19 Treaty of Neuilly-sur-Seine .. 

UNCLOS - Law of the Sea 1994 ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

Asia

Freedom of Navigation .. 

2021 Myanmar Military Coup ..

Meiji Japan ..

Phases - XXP ..

Wumaos - 50 Cent Party ..

Europe

Authoritarian Manipulations ..

Cold War mapped - '45-'91 ..

Democratic Backsliding, Competitive Authoritarianism (Europe, 21st) ⇻

Deutsche Wiedervereinigung - '89-'90 Reunification ..

EPo - Europolitics ..

EU 'R Bust - Europe WW2 to 2014+ (EU) ..

French Diplomacy ..

USA

1865-1-31 Abolition of Slavery, 13th Amendment .. 

1792-5-17 Buttonwood Agreement → NYSE ..

1916-6-1 Brandeis, Louis - SCOTUS ..

Cold War mapped - '45-'91 ..

1787 Constitutional Convention (US) ..

1946-9-24 Containment as US Policy ..

DIME & National Power ..

Eleanor Roosevelt (USA) ..

Enfranchisement - 19th Amendment ..

Espionage Act - USA ..

Federal Reserve ~ Downturns, Depressions ..

Freedom of Navigation .. 

Geostrategy - Big 5, 21st ..

GPS - Global Positioning Systems ..

How Civil Wars Start (2022) ..

MIC - Military Industrial Complex ..

1823 Monroe Doctrine 1898 ..

[Oligarchic] System: Who Rigged It, How We Fix It ⇻

Original Constitutional Intent ⇻

1896-5-18 Plessy v. Ferguson ..

Political Attitudes & Electoral Systems ⇻

2021 Power Projection - US Military ..

Prohibition, USA 1919-1-16 ..

Prohibition, USA - 1920 - 1933 ..

US Political Labels ..

US Propaganda ..

Putin's Puppet - Worst Presidency ..

73-1-22 Roe v Wade ..

Rogue Superpower - USA ..

69-6-28 Stonewall Riots ..

Threats to Democracy - 21st century ..

TTC - EU-US Trade and Technology Council ..

Tyranny of the Minority (2023) ⇻

1968 - Washington, D.C. Rebellion ..

Weaponized Interdependence - Global Economic Coercion ..

USSR / Russian Federation

Cold War mapped - '45-'91 ..

Communist War on [Rival] Religion ..

1946-9-24 Containment as US Policy ..

Deutsche Wiedervereinigung - '89-'90 Reunification ..

Fifth Column ..

Komsomol, post-WW2 ..

Kremlin ..

Maskirovka - Маскировка ..

Oppressive Stratagems ..

Rigged Again - Russian Election ..

Scouting, Hitlerjugend, Komsomol ..

Stalin's Daughter - Svetlana Alliluyeva ..

Stan Water Conflict ..

Soviet Courts ⇒ Serving State ..

Soviet Youth Organizations - Cold War ..

Sweden's NATO Question ..

▲ Ukraine History ➧

What If Russia Collapsed? ..

XiXiPee

Fifth Column ..

警察 - Jǐngchá - Xinese Police ..

Phases - XXP ..

21-11-11 Ramping up Authoritarianism ..

●● Education, Training .. 

▲ Imperialism ➧

2025 Down Under

24-12-31 New Year's 2025: Sydney Harbour, NSW, Australia > .

Iceland Annual Icelandic Firework Madness - Drone View - Just Icelandic > .

⇒ 2025 ..